TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Spread: Knicks (-15.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Knicksof Knicks, Pacers
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$396,932

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $396,932 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 191 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x8f03…64d6backed Pacers54c85,486$46,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46,162.681,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Knicks50c77,706$38,847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,859.051,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb5e9…4044backed Pacers50c56,013$27,802 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,801.999053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid-0.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Pacers56c22,500$12,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,599.841,12448.6%546 W · 578 L+13.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2f…eca9backed Pacers52c20,000$10,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,4006546.2%30 W · 35 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Knicks48c14,559$6,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,633.214,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Knicks48c12,223$5,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,405.699,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf668…5c69backed Pacers51c11,273$5,748 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,748.0736359.8%217 W · 146 L+23.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+14.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5212…c6fdbacked Knicks46c10,826$4,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,846.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+43.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Pacers54c10,462$5,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,649.611,33251.2%682 W · 650 L+7.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8013…5b52backed Pacers51c10,306$5,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,256.0617554.9%96 W · 79 L+15.0wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+31.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Knicks47c10,265$4,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,445.786,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Pacers53c10,192$5,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,401.931,82052.1%948 W · 872 L+48.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Knicks46c9,030$4,154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,876.2339842.5%169 W · 229 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-0.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Knicks44c9,021$3,969 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,051.761,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf059…6dd9backed Pacers50c8,729$4,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,35049246.3%228 W · 264 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Knicks46c7,881$3,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,255.535754.4%31 W · 26 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x00d5…ed84backed Pacers49c7,843$3,843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,843.0717050%85 W · 85 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x48e2…2a5fbacked Pacers54c7,203$3,915 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,915.4417550.9%89 W · 86 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1aa2…30ccbacked Knicks46c6,957$3,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,756.5238946%179 W · 210 L-13.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Knicks49c6,304$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,203.871,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…9858backed Knicks46c6,000$2,760 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,24012745.7%58 W · 69 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8bee…a369backed Knicks46c5,286$2,432 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,854.68148.1%39 W · 42 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Knicks46c5,281$2,429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,851.5334854%188 W · 160 L+15.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Pacers54c4,403$2,368 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,367.661,90854.5%1,040 W · 868 L+53.7wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Knicks47c4,187$1,965 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,222.234,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde79…2a1bbacked Pacers49c4,082$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00017349.7%86 W · 87 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d13…92f3backed Pacers49c3,710$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,81870246.4%326 W · 376 L-20.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Knicks43c3,617$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.61,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Knicks51c3,559$1,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,732.644,87848%2,341 W · 2,537 L+61.9wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Pacers52c3,555$1,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,848.654156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+39.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xac1a…f708backed Pacers51c3,519$1,794 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,794.519445.4%88 W · 106 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-7.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8bee…0ca9backed Knicks46c3,430$1,578 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,852.22454.2%13 W · 11 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Knicks49c3,062$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,561.751,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Pacers53c3,000$1,590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,59048054.2%260 W · 220 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Knicks49c2,701$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.633,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed Knicks44c2,655$1,168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,486.811940.3%48 W · 71 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x039c…b202backed Knicks44c2,650$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4842835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick33cpaid+12.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x443b…e8bbbacked Knicks46c2,619$1,205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,414.1613750.4%69 W · 68 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1c…a6c5backed Pacers49c2,473$1,212 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2125046%23 W · 27 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c52…5859backed Knicks47c2,101$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.763026.7%8 W · 22 L-5.3wins-0.18per pick44cpaid-47.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Pacers54c2,000$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,082.193,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6da6…7d01backed Pacers51c1,961$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0008647.7%41 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed Pacers53c1,837$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$973.8558449.7%290 W · 294 L+10.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Pacers55c1,809$995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$994.811,52249.6%755 W · 767 L+27.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Pacers56c1,786$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.9964944.7%290 W · 359 L-9.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x011c…31dfbacked Pacers56c1,607$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90033447.9%160 W · 174 L-6.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x629c…6c01backed Knicks47c1,500$705 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79513148.1%63 W · 68 L+0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Pacers48c1,472$699 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$699.122,46850.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L+38.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Knicks46c1,372$631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$740.7414061.4%86 W · 54 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef99…ef8dbacked Pacers51c1,332$674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$674.459952.5%52 W · 47 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f6e…84b4backed Pacers51c1,318$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.25349.1%26 W · 27 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Pacers52c1,229$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$638.922,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x91f7…4767backed Pacers51c1,175$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59910651.9%55 W · 51 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1bf…f357backed Pacers49c1,118$548 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$547.816953.3%90 W · 79 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Pacers49c1,006$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.9824744.1%109 W · 138 L-10.8wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf630…7e65backed Pacers55c1,000$550 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55029149.5%144 W · 147 L+1.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Knicks51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.3918448.9%90 W · 94 L-13.3wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-14.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Pacers50c899.93$454 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.9680737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Pacers56c892.85$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50024050.8%122 W · 118 L+0.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Knicks48c817.16$388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.941,27138.3%487 W · 784 L-13.4wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Knicks48c758$364 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$394.1654443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d3…8acebacked Knicks46c743.8$343 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$400.84740.4%19 W · 28 L-4.6wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-18.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed Pacers51c710.86$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.5436351.2%186 W · 177 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Knicks49c642.86$313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$329.732,40043.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L-82.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Knicks46c630$292 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.477549.2%381 W · 394 L-2.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe2b…8fe6backed Knicks52c611.63$316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.086261.3%38 W · 24 L+7.6wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+19.5%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfd3f…44f1backed Pacers51c588.24$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30025452.8%134 W · 120 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1f3…d99cbacked Pacers56c535.71$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30048546.4%225 W · 260 L-14.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Knicks47c491.22$233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.911,56247.4%741 W · 821 L-6.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Knicks50c476.65$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.2651438.7%199 W · 315 L-29.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Knicks48c469.17$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.8757650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6df…dda7backed Pacers49c457.55$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.224247.1%114 W · 128 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb0b…3790backed Knicks10c452.16$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$407.2227937.3%104 W · 175 L+57.6wins+0.21per pick17cpaid+187%equal weight71+0.19 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Knicks46c451.49$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.8118043.3%78 W · 102 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8b2d…a88dbacked Pacers55c448.29$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.326439.1%25 W · 39 L-7.7wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Knicks46c435.08$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.942,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Knicks30c420.62$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294.4352230.3%158 W · 364 L+20.4wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb4…90f3backed Pacers51c392.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009245.7%42 W · 50 L-3.0wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1f0…c9e4backed Knicks48c379$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.5423850.4%120 W · 118 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe47c…3afabacked Pacers55c363.64$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20023342.9%100 W · 133 L+10.6wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Knicks48c325.5$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.2619950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Knicks44c320$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.245646.7%213 W · 243 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Knicks50c307.15$154 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.718,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12f2…0a1dbacked Pacers53c301.89$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1603441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9b1…242fbacked Pacers57c288.46$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.4233554.6%183 W · 152 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf19d…276fbacked Pacers49c264.6$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.6523147.6%110 W · 121 L-2.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Knicks48c263.02$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$136.754,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1632…cb68backed Knicks44c262.16$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.815040%20 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Knicks46c255.91$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$138.1922154.8%121 W · 100 L+9.1wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Knicks51c255.62$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.2618242.9%78 W · 104 L-10.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-13.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Knicks48c249.95$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.0453339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x15d5…ef7bbacked Knicks48c240.61$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$125.121,19838.8%465 W · 733 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb89b…a39dbacked Knicks45c222.22$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.2211453.5%61 W · 53 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x010f…6c1abacked Knicks46c215.22$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.222846.4%13 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Pacers42c202.12$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.9320838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaf0e…3197backed Pacers52c200$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10461957.5%356 W · 263 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x865d…47aabacked Pacers52c199.85$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.946160.7%37 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16ce…eba1backed Pacers48c199.44$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.0755316.5%91 W · 462 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e04…564dbacked Pacers52c196.52$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.7616844%74 W · 94 L-11.8wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-10%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.