TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$692,829

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $692,829 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over49c443,776$217,887 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225,888.7487451.5%450 W · 424 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under51c199,231$101,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101,607.8166248.5%321 W · 341 L-0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8f03…64d6backed Under52c150,000$78,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,999.971,04651.1%534 W · 512 L-0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under51c141,048$71,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71,625.894,68249.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L+27.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over48c33,256$15,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,293.341,91549.3%944 W · 971 L+19.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c18,365$9,366 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,365.981,04447.5%496 W · 548 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e2f…ec47backed Under51c12,000$6,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,12074748.5%362 W · 385 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c11,510$5,483 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,027.429,72249.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L-2.8wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over49c10,000$4,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,100.052,36148.1%1,136 W · 1,225 L-41.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under51c8,417$4,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,253.184,32547%2,031 W · 2,294 L-69.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Over48c6,397$3,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,297.321,91054.3%1,038 W · 872 L+25.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x336b…1233backed Under50c4,000$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-24.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x24b3…a5a4backed Under54c3,715$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00011249.1%55 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Over48c3,110$1,492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,617.673,90247.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L-17.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3f45…bf07backed Under49c2,978$1,459 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,459.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa148…c859backed Over51c2,964$1,512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,452.36250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6819…5881backed Under49c2,963$1,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,451.87250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under51c2,941$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001,19448.8%583 W · 611 L-22.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc36…a136backed Under49c2,903$1,422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,422.47250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f7a…76eabacked Under49c2,875$1,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,408.75250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e34…11edbacked Over51c2,868$1,463 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,405.32250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3701…fdeebacked Over51c2,858$1,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,400.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5cd2…f5c2backed Over51c2,839$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,391.11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05c6…2ee3backed Under49c2,819$1,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,381.31250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03a9…c160backed Over51c2,809$1,433 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,376.412100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2cb1…0415backed Under49c2,806$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.9420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9704…2bcdbacked Over51c2,798$1,427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,371.022100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb77c…4b88backed Over51c2,785$1,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,364.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc584…5da2backed Over51c2,776$1,416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.24250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7c3…19d6backed Over51c2,659$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,302.91250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4ce5…8e91backed Under49c2,616$1,282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.8420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdf25…f57fbacked Under49c2,607$1,277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,277.4320%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9004…7e82backed Over51c2,600$1,326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2742100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x222f…0567backed Under49c2,594$1,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,271.0620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c98…8295backed Under49c2,585$1,267 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,266.6520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a78…729abacked Under49c2,573$1,261 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,260.77250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7db0…4809backed Under49c2,564$1,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,256.3620%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x78a3…adb3backed Over51c2,558$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,253.422100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Over52c2,524$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,223.668648.8%42 W · 44 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6cc…ea85backed Over51c2,415$1,232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,183.352100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…d83abacked Under51c2,000$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0108747.1%41 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Under50c1,985$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$992.518151.9%94 W · 87 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd482…fccdbacked Under49c1,715$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$840.3520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under53c1,700$901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90164651.7%334 W · 312 L-14.9wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3559…a3f8backed Over51c1,678$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$822.22250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over54c1,503$818 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$684.398,98847.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L+96.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4915…6d4cbacked Over51c1,411$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$691.39250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked Under52c1,374$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.076,21350.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L+53.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under49c1,306$646 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.9380737.7%304 W · 503 L-33.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ae0…6f9dbacked Over51c1,182$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a79…9cfebacked Under49c1,120$549 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$548.820%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…de6abacked Under49c1,109$543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$543.41250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under51c1,054$535 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.453,28549.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L+5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5005,05350.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L+110.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under51c981$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.3154443%234 W · 310 L-18.0wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d88…1e28backed Under52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.5320838%79 W · 129 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Over50c778.07$389 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.44,78150.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L+20.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b27…5d41backed Over51c776$396 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.242100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under53c744.52$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.9858450.2%293 W · 291 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35067252.7%354 W · 318 L+15.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbb8e…aa15backed Under51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3063938.5%15 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.13per pick52cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4fbc…8a18backed Under51c599.99$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3064445.5%20 W · 24 L-3.6wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-18.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1b7d…bc8bbacked Over51c551$281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick51cpaid+98%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3c5c…fd06backed Under49c472$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231.28250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under50c462.97$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.745,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf948…b8e6backed Under49c422$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.78250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0367…3028backed Under49c400$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d3a…7b63backed Under53c369.15$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.1576249.5%377 W · 385 L-8.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc58b…2baabacked Under49c360$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$176.420%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over47c319.15$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.152,73646.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L-67.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b7b…9ab9backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.1227462%170 W · 104 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x960e…77d6backed Under55c272.73$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Under53c264.15$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14052146.6%243 W · 278 L-14.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-5.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over50c250$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1253,34153.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L+108.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under52c240$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.810750.5%54 W · 53 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbec4…637fbacked Under50c222.22$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111.1153149.3%262 W · 269 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb01d…46f0backed Over49c204.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.9819950.8%101 W · 98 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,43347.2%676 W · 757 L-12.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2e0…d084backed Under52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10022447.8%107 W · 117 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Under53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10043447.5%206 W · 228 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Over49c160.86$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.1157650%288 W · 288 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under51c150.15$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.581,14148%548 W · 593 L+9.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11c…c7f7backed Under55c136.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$759260.9%56 W · 36 L+10.3wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+22.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under52c132.06$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.672,50748.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L+19.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa6df…588cbacked Under52c120$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.422351.6%115 W · 108 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over49c108.63$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.41,28650.8%653 W · 633 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x584c…0da9backed Under52c106$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.1211847.5%56 W · 62 L-5.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed Over48c102.6$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3555444.4%246 W · 308 L-11.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0ee1…268bbacked Over49c102.04$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.0453453.4%285 W · 249 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under53c101.08$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.792,34648.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L-14.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5060945.8%279 W · 330 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5055347.9%265 W · 288 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Under49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4953339.6%211 W · 322 L-39.9wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-17.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x642e…063bbacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523850%19 W · 19 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1682…26cabacked Under52c100$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick47cpaid-60.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Under51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5125245.2%114 W · 138 L-11.7wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a2…0020backed Under52c94.34$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.066848.5%33 W · 35 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502,60250.6%1,316 W · 1,286 L-20.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0556…132abacked Under49c70.38$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.499346.2%43 W · 50 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under52c64$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.41,15049.5%569 W · 581 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.