NBA · resolved market
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5deba27676998c86f7ec05f52cc71d30d848efa349dc98c81374ae21b03ba865
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $104,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $104,235 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 54c | 25,000$13,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,577.61 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 22,672$10,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,686.11 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 52c | 20,000$10,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,599.99 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Under | 46c | 18,507$8,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,513.21 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 12,435$5,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,931.68 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 53c | 11,000$5,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,169.99 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 53c | 10,000$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,699.99 | 1,820 | 52.1%948 W · 872 L | +48.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 54c | 9,217$4,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,239.69 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 7,392$3,548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,548.16 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Under | 47c | 6,383$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 48c | 4,933$2,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,360 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 47c | 4,512$2,121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,120.6 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 47c | 4,360$2,049 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77fe…551dbacked Under | 47c | 3,586$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 244 | 50%122 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Under | 47c | 2,026$952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$952 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44a1…bd21backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 266 | 37.2%99 W · 167 L | -10.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 46c | 1,785$829 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.56 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 1,525$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.35 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 1,215$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.73 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ccc…e7e8backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 539 | 51.6%278 W · 261 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Under | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Over | 52c | 961.53$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 48c | 541.21$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.78 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 46c | 444.53$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf57a…73ecbacked Under | 49c | 424.5$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.01 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2271…8170backed Over | 52c | 384.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.61 | 181 | 47%85 W · 96 L | -8.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 51c | 362.48$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.9 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 47c | 287.98$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.11 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Over | 50c | 270.76$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.38 | 249 | 55.8%139 W · 110 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f0…0bd2backed Under | 15c | 266.66$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 17cpaid | +47.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Under | 49c | 204.98$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.44 | 786 | 52.4%412 W · 374 L | +14.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.96 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 201.06$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…aa92backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 111 | 57.7%64 W · 47 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 176.01$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.01 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Under | 50c | 168.38$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.19 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 45c | 150.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.56 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe45a…46adbacked Over | 51c | 147.81$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.43 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 52c | 144.23$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…9b2bbacked Over | 51c | 143.03$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.08 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.27per pick | 48cpaid | +56.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8d…674fbacked Under | 48c | 135$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.8 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.16per pick | 36cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc1e…8107backed Over | 51c | 133.52$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.42 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 47cpaid | -67.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Under | 48c | 115.81$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.59 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 51c | 115.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 53c | 107$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.29 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 255 | 59.2%151 W · 104 L | +13.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 51c | 99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.51 | 1,151 | 53.7%618 W · 533 L | -41.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c4d…1b43backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 55c | 74.6$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.57 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x445c…c4f1backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +23%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb2…eb78backed Under | 51c | 68$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 46c | 67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over | 55c | 55.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.99 | 672 | 48.8%328 W · 344 L | -10.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb298…ef07backed Over | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.24per pick | 42cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5228…0923backed Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.57 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 45c | 48.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7353…a4f0backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -8.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0339…1394backed Under | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 130 | 45.4%59 W · 71 L | -4.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ad…21f7backed Under | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 28.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c662backed Over | 53c | 28.01$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.17 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 51c | 25.2$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.35 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7c…db55backed Over | 55c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e3…b39ebacked Over | 55c | 23.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.49 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Over | 52c | 22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 514 | 38.7%199 W · 315 L | -29.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0b…4d31backed Over | 54c | 21.21$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.78 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf5…b8efbacked Over | 52c | 21.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 103 | 50.5%52 W · 51 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 596 | 50.3%300 W · 296 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 27 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5this page
- 1H Spread: Knicks (-8.5)Pacers won
- Aaron Nesmith: Points O/U 13.5Yes won
- Aaron Nesmith: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Assists O/U 5.5No won
- Andrew Nembhard: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Ivica Zubac: Points O/U 10.5Yes won
- Ivica Zubac: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 6.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Points O/U 27.5No won
- Jalen Brunson: Rebounds O/U 3.5No won
- Jarace Walker: Assists O/U 2.5Yes won
- Karl-Anthony Towns: Assists O/U 2.5No won
- Mikal Bridges: Points O/U 13.5No won
- Mitchell Robinson: Rebounds O/U 8.5No won
- Pacers vs. KnicksKnicks won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H MoneylineKnicks won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 101.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: 1H O/U 105.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 222.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 223.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 224.5Over won
- Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 225.5Over won
- Spread: Knicks (-13.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-14.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-15.5)Knicks won
- Spread: Knicks (-16.5)Knicks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.