TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf46b…c662

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
103
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
11

Best Category: NBA, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 53 out of 100; worst Lol at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Northern Iowa Panthers vs. St. John's Red Stormbacked Northern Iowa Panthers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.08
Santa Clara Broncos vs. Kentucky Wildcatsbacked Santa Clara Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.69
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogsbacked Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.98
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)backed Georgia Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.18
Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)backed Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$12.89
Idaho Vandals vs. Houston Cougars: O/U 136.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.08
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 169.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+101.7%+$17.13
Spread: Saint Mary's Gaels (-2.5)backed Texas A&M Aggies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$15.3
VCU Rams vs. North Carolina Tar Heelsbacked VCU Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+135.1%+$30.01
Spread: North Carolina Tar Heels (-2.5)backed North Carolina Tar Heels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.74
South Florida Bulls vs. Louisville Cardinalsbacked Louisville Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$6.79
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyesbacked TCU Horned Frogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$14.58
Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)backed Ohio State Buckeyes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.18
Spread: Lehigh Mountain Hawks (-3.5)backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.45
North Carolina State Wolfpack vs. Texas Longhorns: O/U 157.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+101%+$24.26
Howard Bison vs. UMBC Retrieversbacked UMBC Retrievers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.44
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.29
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$3.19
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+101.5%+$12.18
Spread: FC Barcelona (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.15
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$13.13
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.44
Spread: Manchester City FC (-1.5)backed Manchester City FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.44
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+75.2%+$46.57
Will Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+25%+$2.5
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-03-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+165.9%+$46.88
Chelsea FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.11
Manchester City FC vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
Sporting CP vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT+60.4%+$7.11
All 14 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT1258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.2wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Hornets (-5.5)backed Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$12.6
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 231.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.61
Thunder vs. Nets: O/U 215.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Warriors vs. Celtics: O/U 216.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: Nuggets (-16.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+110.4%+$13.25
Spurs vs. Kings: O/U 235.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
Spread: Spurs (-13.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Knicks (-14.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Pacers vs. Knicks: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$13.17
Suns vs. Timberwolves: O/U 221.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.57
Trail Blazers vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+300%+$30
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-51.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.93
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.17
Liverpool FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.45
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.14
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$23.73
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.66
Will Chelsea FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+35.8%+$4.84
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$15.56
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT60%0 W · 6 L-1.6wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick45cpaid-73.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+36.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-46.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+21.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+31.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-45.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-54.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+79.9%+$15.98
Blue Jackets vs. Flyersbacked Blue Jackets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+61.8%+$10.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs NRG (+1.5)backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+74.9%+$8.99
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.67
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.25
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 29, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.63per pick37cpaid+172.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+172.7%+$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+78.3%+$10.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-03-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$21.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+60.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT+60.3%+$8.44
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Kharg Island oil terminal be hit by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+25.6%+$3.31
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.