TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 169.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$139,793

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $139,793 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 118 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under53c26,357$13,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,943.734348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaca2…b9a1backed Under52c25,831$13,402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,402.3741752.5%219 W · 198 L+13.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c16,201$7,637 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,564.1812,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over49c11,550$5,604 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,945.3314346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e3a…3246backed Over41c11,049$4,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,568.3814940.3%60 W · 89 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over47c9,184$4,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,877.632,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over48c8,412$4,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,3962,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5bff…ffbebacked Over49c7,991$3,916 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,075.575143.1%22 W · 29 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c6,584$3,607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,606.5325145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over47c6,361$3,008 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,352.945,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Over49c6,047$2,963 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,084.221957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under56c5,054$2,832 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,832.3923243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under52c4,000$2,070 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,069.9918744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Under31c2,838$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$879.827955.2%154 W · 125 L+22.0wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+22.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Over50c2,110$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.0821636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Over49c2,036$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,038.958748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Over48c2,034$976 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,057.9730649%150 W · 156 L-9.0wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1315…a84abacked Over47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,060540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Over48c2,000$960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0406149.2%30 W · 31 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over45c1,617$724 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$893.211,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Under32c1,468$470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$469.6934343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under32c1,383$445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$444.934,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Under43c1,298$564 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$563.636549.2%32 W · 33 L+5.7wins+0.09per pick40cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over48c1,239$595 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$644.3210650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over47c1,137$535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$602.141,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4bb2…a656backed Over46c1,114$512 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.853740.5%15 W · 22 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…9871backed Over49c1,100$539 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5615054%27 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+15.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Over49c1,050$515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.514447.9%69 W · 75 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+11.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over48c974$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.4818556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x0940…3640backed Over48c954.09$458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$496.135349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a0e…691dbacked Under52c925.46$481 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$481.241127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b66…336abacked Over48c826.05$397 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$429.5524847.6%118 W · 130 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over49c554.27$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.6818048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4818…bf0bbacked Under52c447.28$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$232.583661.1%22 W · 14 L+6.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+31.2%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Over47c445.06$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$235.8810443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Over45c393.26$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.295350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over47c350.7$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.5552843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under52c337.55$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.5316341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over53c334.64$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.73,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over47c331.14$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.561,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over44c297.41$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.5560548.9%296 W · 309 L+10.3wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over47c297.39$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.6216546.7%77 W · 88 L+7.5wins+0.05per pick42cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa4be…a13dbacked Over45c293.19$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$161.344153.7%22 W · 19 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1f7…c4e5backed Over47c287.39$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.3213343.6%58 W · 75 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x450b…11d7backed Over49c283.22$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.441,25150.6%633 W · 618 L+12.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over47c274.18$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.3258652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7f0…96bebacked Over48c268.47$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.61250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+7.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa8f3…e544backed Over47c215$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.9557448.3%277 W · 297 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x292e…172cbacked Over49c202.3$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.1783350.2%418 W · 415 L+0.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2aef…f8dfbacked Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+63.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under53c198.26$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.0820642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over55c185.4$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.335,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under51c178.91$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.551,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfcf4…66bbbacked Over56c175.67$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.535246.2%24 W · 28 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc23…8283backed Under57c173.93$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1411844.1%52 W · 66 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6aff…da59backed Over47c167.01$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.74146.3%19 W · 22 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c02…ba96backed Over48c162.5$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.51275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over45c157.62$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.6930152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91db…6fb2backed Under52c145.5$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.665843.1%25 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-14.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over48c136.78$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.1392246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Over48c124.85$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9227650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6e8…ed04backed Over48c123.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.433348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x700a…58a5backed Over48c114.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.798640.7%35 W · 51 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under31c110.11$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.137558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over48c107.99$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.1516650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa528…2499backed Under30c107.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.2129337.2%109 W · 184 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-3.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc0b…4db0backed Under47c105.5$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.52250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-36.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over48c105.18$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.6950745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5221455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over44c99.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.7564647.5%307 W · 339 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over47c99.13$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.5462451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Over48c99.13$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.5520254.5%110 W · 92 L+9.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+9.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x93f1…b99dbacked Under51c94.95$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.424763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+21.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x740d…bc08backed Over48c82.27$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.781560%9 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+26.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Over50c81.13$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.834042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d72…c356backed Under54c79.3$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.8219445.9%89 W · 105 L-7.9wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e7c…db55backed Over49c74.34$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.921546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Over48c72.28$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.599952.5%52 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d02…46e2backed Over46c68.36$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.918640.7%35 W · 51 L-8.7wins-0.10per pick51cpaid-20%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x6fbd…b8d3backed Over48c63.75$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.946547.7%31 W · 34 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe52e…ac6dbacked Over48c61.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.224252.4%22 W · 20 L+3.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+16.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa23c…ae92backed Over48c61.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.223735.1%13 W · 24 L-7.1wins-0.19per pick54cpaid-33.5%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under52c57.17$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7390645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc9dc…038ebacked Over44c56.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.546758.2%39 W · 28 L+6.5wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xeb49…1fbebacked Over49c50.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.797951.9%41 W · 38 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Over49c50.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.797655.3%42 W · 34 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+16.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x835c…8e3bbacked Over49c50.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.793053.3%16 W · 14 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Over48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa427…f87fbacked Under51c45.09$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.217657.9%44 W · 32 L+5.9wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under56c44.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.7811741.9%49 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Over47c41.91$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0119348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea7…1be7backed Over48c41.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.551957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.9wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x659c…9cabbacked Under53c41.32$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Over48c41.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.4816746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7a6…900dbacked Under53c40.3$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.53per pick53cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x36d0…05c6backed Over48c38.65$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa34d…b57fbacked Under43c38.36$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.581154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-10.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf7e…3a6cbacked Over48c37.63$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1e1…aa7fbacked Over48c37.51$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.51100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.