Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 167.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6d56414c2b83b950d251ec27fdbc0a19640ff7a6e87255a8756e8ac251c9e53e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,168
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,168 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5d5c…4302backed Under | 47c | 12,677$6,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,017.1 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 3,333$1,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.5 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Over | 51c | 1,983$1,011 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$971.43 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Over | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 158 | 58.2%92 W · 66 L | +10.4wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 50c | 1,527$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$763.52 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 59c | 1,222$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.13 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 47c | 1,216$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.64 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e1…d80bbacked Under | 51c | 991.25$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.54 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.17per pick | 43cpaid | -40%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 990$485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.9 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 57c | 900.61$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.05 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6832…831fbacked Over | 59c | 521.43$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.5 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 49c | 346.84$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.07 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 48c | 246.91$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.39 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 51c | 232.56$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.33 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49a1…41cbbacked Over | 76c | 222.2$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 71cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84d9…76dbbacked Over | 51c | 204.08$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 51c | 85.23$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.47 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 48c | 83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.84 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Over | 65c | 61.05$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 52c | 35.53$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Over | 52c | 33.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Under | 52c | 27.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.43 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4f38…39f2backed Over | 50c | 20.25$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…32eebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e2a…a58dbacked Over | 63c | 16.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.23 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 73c | 15.32$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.14 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Over | 75c | 14.46$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.62 | 103 | 53.4%55 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 167.5this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia BulldogsSaint Louis Billikens won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 163.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 168.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 169.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 171.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 172.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 173.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-10.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-11.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-2.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.