Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 168.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x08ba0072a02f1319c27cce934509cc719f51903b9c205a29554b58f8fa610580
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,465
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,465 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 52c | 2,631$1,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,378.8 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Over | 47c | 2,296$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,215.79 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Over | 49c | 1,422$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725.45 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x173a…eb85backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Under | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 47c | 989.51$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$524.44 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ce…3f01backed Under | 51c | 699.71$357 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$356.85 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 53c | 572.96$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.67 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 551.58$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.96 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 52c | 536.57$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.44 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 300.23$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b7a…bc22backed Under | 50c | 295.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.7 | 143 | 25.9%37 W · 106 L | -8.7wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 274.36$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Over | 50c | 238.6$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.3 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +5.7wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…e82bbacked Under | 52c | 228.75$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.95 | 101 | 44.6%45 W · 56 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 46c | 210.32$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.55 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 67c | 119.5$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.96 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 53c | 111.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.22 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7216…0d67backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb253…26febacked Under | 51c | 91.35$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Under | 53c | 66.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.02 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 53c | 34.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.25 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Under | 53c | 28.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 174 | 46.6%81 W · 93 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 53c | 27.32$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 54c | 24.1$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e2c…d5cdbacked Under | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Over | 54c | 19.91$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 168.5this page
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia BulldogsSaint Louis Billikens won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 163.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 167.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 169.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 171.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 172.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 173.5Over won
- Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 176.5Over won
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-1.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Georgia Bulldogs (-2.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-10.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-11.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
- Spread: Saint Louis Billikens (-2.5)Saint Louis Billikens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.