TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xb7e3…32ee

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
57
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Ncaa Basketball, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Ncaa Basketball at 53 out of 100; worst NHL at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT1540%6 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.37
Nets vs. Lakersbacked Nets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pelicans vs. Pistonsbacked Pelicans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Pacers vs. Magicbacked Pacers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$76.52
Spurs vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Thunder vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.53
Raptors vs. Sunsbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+150%+$15.19
Trail Blazers vs. Timberwolves: O/U 228.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Bucks vs. Jazz: O/U 229.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 117.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
76ers vs. Kings: 1H O/U 116.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+100%+$20
Suns vs. Spurs: O/U 225.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$19.88
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 227.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Magic vs. Hornets: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 230.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$10.85
UCF Knights vs. UCLA Bruins: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Georgia Bulldogs: O/U 167.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 149.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 135.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Siena Saints vs. Duke Blue Devils: O/U 136.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+98.4%+$24.48
High Point Panthers vs. Wisconsin Badgers: O/U 163.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Troy Trojans vs. Nebraska Cornhuskers: O/U 138.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.47
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 145.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+104.8%+$30.19
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick30cpaid-53.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
NHL — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT+110.2%+$44.06
Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.87
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.64
Will Trump visit China by May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: KRÜ Blaze vs Looking For Laburo (BO3) - VCT Game Changers Latin America South Group Stagebacked Looking For Laburo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.01
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Lorient win on 2026-03-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: French Flair vs G2 NORD (BO3) - EMEA Masters Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fidesz–KDNP win the most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-03-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.96
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.