Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6505d6ba9a604a2eb3a843e11ab2a33186b3033d86b90f45e023bdf8eb9d9a77
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $50,554
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,554 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Over | 50c | 20,549$10,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,299.53 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 50c | 14,062$6,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,100.07 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 47c | 12,128$5,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,388.89 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 6,151$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.72 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e49…ae9dbacked Under | 50c | 4,500$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,250 | 41 | 43.9%18 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,560 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 45c | 2,470$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,358.23 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd817…ac33backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 84 | 44%37 W · 47 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbee0…aa9fbacked Under | 50c | 1,725$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$869.74 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 1,299$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694.65 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c83…cf0abacked Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71af…c057backed Over | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf9e5…b4bdbacked Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b0…f655backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc6a1…b1ecbacked Over | 54c | 982.91$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.68 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 49c | 964.59$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.94 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Under | 47c | 606.3$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.34 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 48c | 297.38$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…c3a0backed Under | 47c | 233.94$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.99 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Under | 52c | 192.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 47c | 178.43$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.57 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 48c | 158.06$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.87 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 148.76$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.57 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 56c | 127.29$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.92 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1528…e141backed Over | 54c | 100.47$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.97 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.56 | 71 | 60.6%43 W · 28 L | +8.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 45c | 82.62$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.81 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 47c | 66.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.46 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Under | 41c | 56.72$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 46c | 53.53$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.91 | 485 | 51.1%248 W · 237 L | +15.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3437…1e5ebacked Under | 47c | 52.73$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.95 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Under | 47c | 50.07$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 45 | 62.2%28 W · 17 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 241 | 48.5%117 W · 124 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 46c | 42.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f91…c7dabacked Under | 47c | 42.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.33 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 45c | 33.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.63 | 175 | 51.4%90 W · 85 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16d3…7c23backed Under | 47c | 31.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.31per pick | 48cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d27…676ebacked Over | 53c | 27.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 94 | 41.5%39 W · 55 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…e4bcbacked Under | 47c | 27.37$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.51 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Under | 51c | 27.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc816…7a20backed Over | 55c | 27.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 53c | 26.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.19 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbee…30b9backed Under | 45c | 26.44$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 50c | 26.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6797…42fbbacked Over | 52c | 21.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…32eebacked Under | 48c | 20.87$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 135.5this page
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-4.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-5.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- Spread: Connecticut Huskies (-6.5)Connecticut Huskies won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut HuskiesConnecticut Huskies won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5Under won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 137.5Under won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 143.5Under won
- UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 145.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.