TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

UCLA Bruins vs. Connecticut Huskies: O/U 136.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$227,356

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,356 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb45a…192cbacked Over50c149,735$74,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74,855.3589645.9%411 W · 485 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under50c94,711$47,061 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,650.6725145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5a…bb9bbacked Under50c22,134$11,067 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,067.232650%13 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under50c15,619$7,796 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,822.682,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under50c10,153$5,039 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,113.495,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Under53c9,957$5,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,679.9961652.8%325 W · 291 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under46c7,554$3,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,078.571,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa38a…821dbacked Over59c7,270$4,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,256.4749345.4%224 W · 269 L+7.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-15.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over48c5,860$2,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,813.1912,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under51c5,104$2,628 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,476.122349.3%110 W · 113 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under52c4,350$2,280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,070.4523243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked Over50c4,245$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.27633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over53c3,557$1,882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,881.9639454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under47c2,627$1,225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.374,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00018744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fea…78b1backed Over66c1,509$999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$999.168754%47 W · 40 L+6.2wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+6.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Over50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042948.5%208 W · 221 L-0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under42c966.08$401 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.1219958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under37c951.83$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$599.485,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1480…6e8dbacked Under50c935.33$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.6531448.7%153 W · 161 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Over53c879$466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.871,23147%578 W · 653 L-17.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9def…d1a5backed Under49c861.49$422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$439.36742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c837.39$407 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.662,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Under40c755$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.091,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Under47c704.75$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.233,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under51c693.88$354 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34016147.2%76 W · 85 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x907d…2c9bbacked Over67c663.96$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.532352.2%12 W · 11 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c622.19$309 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.353,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd36a…ecf5backed Over50c598.72$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.36757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+11.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under36c586.49$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.732,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2503647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Over49c443.01$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.7746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under52c423.27$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.171,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Over53c411.38$218 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.9678052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Over38c391.48$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.7614325.9%37 W · 106 L-8.7wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c9b…a556backed Under51c388.73$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$190.4816248.1%78 W · 84 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Under41c386.44$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.4122250%111 W · 111 L+4.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under46c368.9$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.1652843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under50c357.53$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.761,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x459f…c1f5backed Over51c344.96$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.935350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over52c337.62$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.245149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6fc…b24ebacked Under48c312.45$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7532246.6%150 W · 172 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under52c285.94$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.2527045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under48c266.94$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.1119147.6%91 W · 100 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over50c220.37$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.192536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x0e4a…fcd8backed Under43c202.83$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.067962%49 W · 30 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+13.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Over49c202.3$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137653.9%41 W · 35 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x81ae…3615backed Over80c198.88$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.1944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under48c189.37$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.4722047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Over50c183.83$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$91.9135338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under73c173.35$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.661,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4880…5626backed Under43c173.01$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.694860.4%29 W · 19 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under64c168.79$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.022,00353.7%1,076 W · 927 L+101.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8948…76e5backed Over58c161.13$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.071330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-42.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under64c141.95$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.7884854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under50c140.97$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4962451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under50c138.78$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.3958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69b4…f95fbacked Under39c127.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.553070%21 W · 9 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+22.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under49c122.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.6216341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Under49c122.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.628946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6797…42fbbacked Under49c122.78$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.622356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xca38…b6d0backed Over50c118.95$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.48837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc8…47d0backed Over51c118.49$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.555644.6%25 W · 31 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2155…f351backed Over71c116.06$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.42941.4%12 W · 17 L-5.0wins-0.17per pick59cpaid-34%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x9032…8717backed Under49c111$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.613053.3%16 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.11per pick42cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x34d5…a977backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51560%3 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf12e…7939backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513748.6%18 W · 19 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under49c100$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5118048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Under40c99.16$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.54748.9%23 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…d8debacked Over43c97.82$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.8219153.9%103 W · 88 L+10.6wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x82d9…a600backed Under48c79.44$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.31955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe624…2928backed Over51c70.81$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3240849.8%203 W · 205 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2886…9bb2backed Under39c70$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.74843.8%21 W · 27 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Over56c69.69$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0261446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Under49c67.78$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.575356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over51c67.19$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.2750745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x73a2…3b68backed Under47c67.1$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.5233445.5%152 W · 182 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked Under64c59.96$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.516272.6%45 W · 17 L+10.9wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+29.2%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xc3a7…8102backed Over38c57.25$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.65633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03eb…47b0backed Over50c56.46$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.237160.6%43 W · 28 L+8.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc49d…91a8backed Over61c54.83$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.242176.2%16 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.16per pick60cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Under47c53.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1533058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Under40c51.56$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.9422756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x800d…47afbacked Under45c50.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d6…145ebacked Under45c50.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.52955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe565…6a38backed Under45c50.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+33.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x9534…4182backed Under45c50.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521963.2%12 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.12per pick51cpaid+19.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf3fd…682dbacked Under45c50.04$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+12.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Under76c50$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1210755.1%59 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef40…b116backed Over50c49.56$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.782751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+15.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under50c49.07$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.547558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Under51c48.75$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8269350.4%349 W · 344 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f38…39f2backed Under51c48.59$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.812050%10 W · 10 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-12.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x514e…a604backed Under51c48.57$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.86040%24 W · 36 L-3.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under55c47.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.2557655%317 W · 259 L+17.6wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f04…6a54backed Over52c47.66$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.781947.4%9 W · 10 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+19.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under35c43.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.119552.6%50 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under66c40.1$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.631,53150.1%767 W · 764 L+34.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x902f…fb2dbacked Over51c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.22040%8 W · 12 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed Under50c40$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2019348.7%94 W · 99 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.