TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$172,037

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $172,037 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 98 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under51c55,464$28,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28,516.774348.8%21 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over48c24,565$11,791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,773.551,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over47c21,680$10,263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,416.4712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d92…8676backed Under52c15,000$7,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,80021149.3%104 W · 107 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb40d…c72dbacked Over49c10,500$5,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,3551145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Over48c10,160$4,877 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,283.4484147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d7a…b22fbacked Under53c9,029$4,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,804.7623243.5%101 W · 131 L-15.7wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-14.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under51c8,759$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,46746246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Under51c8,758$4,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,466.5817643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdd58…18f9backed Over49c7,500$3,675 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,824.991735.3%6 W · 11 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-29.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x20d6…3856backed Over49c5,949$2,915 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,034.1721262.3%132 W · 80 L+34.7wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+37%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x3ebf…3b02backed Over49c5,266$2,588 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,677.681866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+18.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x178d…43fcbacked Over48c5,099$2,447 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,651.38616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-65.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x73a8…5506backed Over50c3,981$1,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,990.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Over48c3,201$1,544 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,656.6725145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb11f…833fbacked Over52c3,078$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,477.45450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under51c2,905$1,482 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,481.5127947.3%132 W · 147 L+0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6e3…6dfebacked Over48c2,680$1,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,393.8127450%137 W · 137 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x986c…dbc6backed Under49c2,617$1,285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,284.8910443.3%45 W · 59 L-6.1wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Over48c2,203$1,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,145.3529845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under48c2,160$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.385,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Over48c2,032$975 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.6932751.7%169 W · 158 L+12.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+14.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over49c2,000$970 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03018744.9%84 W · 103 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a7a…c0abbacked Over50c1,992$996 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.211250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5f…6bfebacked Under52c1,873$974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.124540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-19.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7248…8cb4backed Under49c1,771$868 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86816341.7%68 W · 95 L-9.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Over50c1,434$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$712.5114346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Under49c1,416$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.8810650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa315…cabbbacked Over47c1,045$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.816053.8%86 W · 74 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a30…8abdbacked Under51c1,024$523 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.387550.7%38 W · 37 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e1…d80bbacked Over49c1,021$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520.711926.3%5 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.17per pick43cpaid-40%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under52c1,010$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.218556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x30f8…b824backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5002347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe6cd…e027backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50011542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x961a…1f13backed Over50c1,000$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$500450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c02…ba96backed Over48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201275%9 W · 3 L+3.3wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+66.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Over49c654.71$319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.711,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over50c654.23$326 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.241,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b44…be1ebacked Under48c643.44$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.25942.4%25 W · 34 L-3.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over49c555.3$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.95,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over48c516.94$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.8112846.9%60 W · 68 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Over47c478$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.3422043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Over48c428.23$206 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.6821646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9385…2484backed Under49c329.16$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$161.29666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+41.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over48c325.42$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$167.682,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3100…9bc9backed Over49c297.76$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.866640.9%27 W · 39 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over47c289.64$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.5190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd714…9a62backed Over51c250.79$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.892548%12 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over48c200$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1057950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2072…5266backed Over49c198.25$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.111330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick35cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under51c198.25$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1120642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1379…e6b8backed Under50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.131844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5542…01cebacked Over49c190.06$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.93875%6 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+35%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under48c189.24$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.8416650%83 W · 83 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Over50c187.31$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.6518048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0056…a7f7backed Under48c162.33$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.9227650.7%140 W · 136 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under52c123.95$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.4529650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6840…9797backed Over48c123.91$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.432100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+106.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over54c116.7$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6852843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under54c103.26$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.7622047.7%105 W · 115 L+3.5wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x15ee…512dbacked Over48c103.09$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.6148551.1%248 W · 237 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b5…7e1cbacked Over49c101.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.59333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x34fa…f491backed Over48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,07046.9%502 W · 568 L-0.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x11ab…f911backed Under51c99.13$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.552437.5%9 W · 15 L-5.3wins-0.22per pick60cpaid-45.2%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over50c99.13$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.5621455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a0e…691dbacked Under50c98.12$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.061127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.5wins-0.23per pick50cpaid-44.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdbe2…5981backed Over41c94.95$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.734042.5%17 W · 23 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under63c93.05$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.834,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1121…6604backed Over48c83.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.330050.7%152 W · 148 L+8.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…3a63backed Over48c83.27$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.332850%164 W · 164 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x934c…d02bbacked Over48c79.94$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.484156.1%23 W · 18 L+2.8wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+21.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x04e5…070fbacked Under50c79.3$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.651127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-47.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over49c70.38$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.8950548.9%247 W · 258 L+13.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Under49c70.26$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.4350745.2%229 W · 278 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc71a…f135backed Over49c70.1$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.752536%9 W · 16 L-4.3wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-34.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xb5ed…96e1backed Over48c61.95$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.227162%44 W · 27 L+8.4wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+24.3%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over48c56.5$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3830152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over48c51.77$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.1333058.2%192 W · 138 L+24.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over51c51.02$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258843.2%38 W · 50 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+22.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3437…1e5ebacked Under49c50.57$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.789952.5%52 W · 47 L+4.6wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Under51c48.59$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.786841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0e0a…745dbacked Over48c41.63$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.6524148.5%117 W · 124 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Over48c41.31$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.484055%22 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+10.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x834c…89a9backed Under49c40.83$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.9520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.32per pick52cpaid-68.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Over48c39.53$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.5662451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over40c38.53$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.1222756.4%128 W · 99 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbbfb…e01fbacked Under52c38.13$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3a6…6e3fbacked Over48c35.69$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.56944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0bad…1d19backed Under49c33.16$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.351526.7%4 W · 11 L-2.8wins-0.19per pick46cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc9d1…737bbacked Over49c31.72$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.18450%2 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0642…8c68backed Under49c30.34$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.8716746.1%77 W · 90 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb7e3…32eebacked Under51c29.41$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+21.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33d0…a2a2backed Over48c26.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+44.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Over68c26.79$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.573,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over48c25.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.1160954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed Over50c23.88$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8413457.5%77 W · 57 L+7.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3b1…315abacked Over49c23.32$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-50.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9df8…8206backed Under51c19.61$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.15per pick37cpaid-56.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.