Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd9e6aa693afe74f06a93cb7c07577a3fea409daf5faf23a6c4f539546106242f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $74,692
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,692 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 48c | 12,633$6,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,063.92 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 52c | 12,429$6,463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,965.98 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed Over | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Over | 52c | 9,881$5,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,763.04 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…26bfbacked Under | 50c | 8,921$4,461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,460.63 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.1wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Under | 48c | 8,909$4,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,276.22 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 6,751$3,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,233.26 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 5,859$2,983 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,876.16 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Over | 52c | 5,802$3,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,766.03 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,879.99 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | -8.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Over | 52c | 3,965$2,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,903.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 3,020$1,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.24 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Under | 47c | 2,695$1,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,279.52 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Over | 53c | 2,087$1,106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$981.15 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b44…be1ebacked Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.98 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed Under | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 1,404$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.71 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 51c | 1,242$633 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$633.39 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Under | 48c | 1,032$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.55 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 49c | 1,007$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.44 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 30cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc676…f35cbacked Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 82 | 48.8%40 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 52c | 999.93$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.97 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Under | 48c | 963.45$463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.48 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a51abacked Under | 50c | 880.07$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 48c | 816.18$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.76 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 54c | 643.65$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296.08 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b66…336abacked Over | 51c | 583.09$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.71 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 49c | 552.72$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.83 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Over | 51c | 495.63$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.86 | 1,397 | 52.7%736 W · 661 L | +26.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 48c | 449.01$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.51 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d34…3406backed Under | 47c | 358.55$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.52 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Under | 51c | 299.12$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.55 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Under | 48c | 297.38$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.74 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 48c | 256.31$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.44 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 53c | 245.74$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.03 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 195.36$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.77 | 166 | 50%83 W · 83 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 166.62$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.98 | 276 | 50.7%140 W · 136 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 51c | 149.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.2 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked Over | 53c | 120.73$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.74 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Over | 52c | 114.38$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 99.95$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.98 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 47c | 99.13$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.59 | 214 | 55.6%119 W · 95 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Over | 52c | 99.13$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -5.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Over | 52c | 95.74$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 53c | 93.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.95 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Under | 47c | 90.21$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 247 | 37.7%93 W · 154 L | +13.2wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 52c | 85.28$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…8206backed Under | 48c | 82.59$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.64 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe624…2928backed Over | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.16 | 408 | 49.8%203 W · 205 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71a…f135backed Under | 50c | 68.67$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.34 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -4.3wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1911…ebf8backed Over | 52c | 65.12$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 49cpaid | +50.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Under | 47c | 63.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 53c | 56.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.37 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 49c | 55.04$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.07 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea7…1be7backed Under | 48c | 52.76$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.32 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +2.9wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 53c | 47.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.41 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d02…46e2backed Under | 50c | 46.87$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 86 | 40.7%35 W · 51 L | -8.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -20%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 48c | 45.6$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.89 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 48c | 43.45$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 53c | 41.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.88 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ec…c4f2backed Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa938…3bc3backed Under | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 41 | 46.3%19 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ca…0022backed Under | 48c | 38.62$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Under | 48c | 33.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.97 | 296 | 50.7%150 W · 146 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567e…770fbacked Under | 77c | 32.86$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83fe…23d9backed Under | 50c | 28.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -4.2wins | -0.19per pick | 51cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Over | 51c | 27.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…cf14backed Under | 49c | 25.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Over | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 48c | 22.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 150.5this page
- Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting IlliniIllinois Fighting Illini won
- Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 151.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 152.5Over won
- Penn Quakers vs. Illinois Fighting Illini: O/U 153.5Over won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-21.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-24.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
- Spread: Illinois Fighting Illini (-25.5)Illinois Fighting Illini won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.