Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 149.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x649600f9dbed61936e5365bbf99136faf0d30506ce88d51e415dc566aa439eb0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $52,184
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,184 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa2cc…0cbcbacked Under | 50c | 34,852$17,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,450.12 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 25,165$12,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,576.35 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 49c | 5,032$2,479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,478.75 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x293c…0f0fbacked Over | 51c | 3,921$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac8…fc96backed Under | 49c | 3,904$1,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 1,780$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc405…4affbacked Over | 51c | 1,001$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.51 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…691dbacked Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.23per pick | 50cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Over | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d66…22d1backed Over | 50c | 991.25$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.63 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over | 50c | 795$398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked Under | 50c | 700$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Over | 50c | 693.88$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.94 | 161 | 47.2%76 W · 85 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Under | 53c | 599.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.99 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 559$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.19 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e56…8243backed Over | 47c | 507.54$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.54 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Over | 47c | 507.22$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.39 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Over | 50c | 444.08$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.04 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 439.12$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.68 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 50c | 433.18$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.59 | 229 | 54.1%124 W · 105 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 352.1$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.96 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Over | 47c | 295.28$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.78 | 1,251 | 50.6%633 W · 618 L | +12.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 49c | 270.61$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.6 | 62 | 61.3%38 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 50c | 247.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 50c | 247.81$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.91 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 219.42$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.94 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 68c | 215.91$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Over | 47c | 210.91$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 833 | 50.2%418 W · 415 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.13 | 52 | 34.6%18 W · 34 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Over | 46c | 186.79$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.8 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Over | 52c | 163.56$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.05 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 49c | 136.11$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.69 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Over | 49c | 134.81$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.06 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Over | 50c | 123.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 50c | 123.91$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.95 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 53c | 122$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.34 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Over | 48c | 103.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 55 | 61.8%34 W · 21 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 36c | 102.15$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.48 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Over | 47c | 101.11$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.52 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Over | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 61 | 52.5%32 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7133…69d6backed Over | 49c | 96.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.21 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 52c | 95.31$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.75 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 51c | 84.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.77 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Over | 53c | 74.81$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.65 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…a13dbacked Over | 50c | 74.34$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.17 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7715…ada4backed Over | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | -10.2wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 49c | 57.41$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.4 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…6807backed Over | 52c | 54.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -6.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 53c | 54.3$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.78 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4edd…ab3dbacked Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b006backed Over | 50c | 49.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 52c | 44$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…1838backed Over | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Over | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 60c | 34.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.99 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -4.0wins | -0.25per pick | 56cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over | 53c | 32.35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0877…6770backed Over | 50c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Over | 50c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…1ac3backed Over | 50c | 24.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +4.3wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…32eebacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 149.5this page
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt Commodores won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 143.5Over won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 146.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 147.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 148.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 150.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 151.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 152.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-10.5)McNeese State Cowboys won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)McNeese State Cowboys won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-12.5)McNeese State Cowboys won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-5.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-6.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-7.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-8.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-9.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.