Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 147.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd28b4586f65540d37166c4068b24729cb24528521fbbed179df607d30616fb1a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,569
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,569 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 40c | 3,442$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,368.69 | 131 | 41.2%54 W · 77 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 2,888$1,339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,339.13 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 61c | 2,374$1,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.93 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Under | 60c | 1,783$1,078 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$705.06 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 55c | 1,009$559 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.87 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Under | 59c | 861.93$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.75 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 61c | 657.07$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.18 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8735…41bbbacked Over | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…66b9backed Over | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 2cpaid | +900%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e4…15eebacked Over | 5c | 300$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 14cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 52c | 246.97$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.57 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 38c | 191.46$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4c…444cbacked Under | 73c | 142.99$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.61 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 53c | 140.43$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Over | 28c | 139.92$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.57 | 97 | 25.8%25 W · 72 L | -7.5wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 56c | 138.29$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.15 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Over | 47c | 111.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Over | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa423…d3dfbacked Over | 21c | 86$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.78 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea10…a070backed Under | 54c | 70.33$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.37 | 210 | 59.5%125 W · 85 L | +17.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Under | 55c | 41.05$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.52 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +3.8wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 61c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.4 | 191 | 53.9%103 W · 88 L | +10.6wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf144…0562backed Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc9db…6789backed Over | 46c | 29.74$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.2wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x551c…fe91backed Under | 54c | 27.9$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.89 | 83 | 72.3%60 W · 23 L | +14.6wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked Over | 47c | 27.42$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.89 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 45c | 23.54$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Over | 48c | 22.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 147.5this page
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt Commodores won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 143.5Over won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 146.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 148.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 149.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 150.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 151.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 152.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-10.5)McNeese State Cowboys won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)McNeese State Cowboys won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-12.5)McNeese State Cowboys won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-5.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-6.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-7.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-8.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-9.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.