TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 150.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$115,003
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$116,017

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $115,003 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xde7b…5f4bbacked Over45c26,280$11,826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,825.992729.6%8 W · 19 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-29.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5c2b…2575backed Over49c21,008$10,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,288.2660949.8%303 W · 306 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under55c17,000$9,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,707.1425145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under51c13,044$6,643 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,400.612,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Over50c9,956$4,978 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,977.74654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Under52c8,655$4,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,189.6939454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x498c…42bfbacked Over49c7,498$3,674 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,674.2612054.2%65 W · 55 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3817…7d10backed Under54c7,266$3,924 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,342.5529845.3%135 W · 163 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-5.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e6e…be00backed Over45c4,478$2,015 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,015.21933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-32.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under53c3,379$1,798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.072,89650%1,448 W · 1,448 L+71.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under49c3,249$1,596 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.5546246.5%215 W · 247 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under50c2,920$1,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,471.51,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8454…331abacked Over49c2,506$1,228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,228.083732.4%12 W · 25 L-5.0wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-37.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Over55c2,169$1,184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,183.942,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over45c2,100$955 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9552,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c1,666$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$930.565,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Under51c1,559$795 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$764.031,43647.5%682 W · 754 L-18.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d66…22d1backed Under52c1,487$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$713.717450%37 W · 37 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x773c…cf18backed Over48c1,446$694 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$693.8810650.9%54 W · 52 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78f7…2c5dbacked Under55c1,248$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$562.5321646.8%101 W · 115 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x335d…8f03backed Over49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4908748.3%42 W · 45 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe864…ce58backed Under49c952.78$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.9218048.9%88 W · 92 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Under55c945.04$523 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$422.1219958.3%116 W · 83 L+15.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over49c786.04$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.165356.6%30 W · 23 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+13.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Over1c699.82$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.2220%0 W · 22 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x391d…def1backed Under46c699.5$324 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$375.2613840.6%56 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x973b…a912backed Under51c583.09$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.713050%15 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9f…79eebacked Over46c538.75$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.83616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.19per pick36cpaid-78.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe33f…e413backed Over45c500$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22537246.2%172 W · 200 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked Over13c497.83$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.2431837.7%120 W · 198 L-10.1wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Over52c463.08$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.152843.6%230 W · 298 L-19.0wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93a2…5181backed Under40c390.71$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.1113141.2%54 W · 77 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over62c378.88$237 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$236.741631.3%5 W · 11 L-4.0wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-52.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under54c315.48$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.7284854.5%462 W · 386 L+32.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…4f9cbacked Under51c291.55$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.8627045.2%122 W · 148 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked Under49c255.8$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.957753.2%41 W · 36 L+0.2wins0.00per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over50c227.12$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.651,23444.8%553 W · 681 L-32.8wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x49d9…7e2ebacked Under51c221.28$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.43560%3 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xff3a…e11ebacked Over50c216.58$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+19.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0ef…39b6backed Under62c215.83$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.466464.1%41 W · 23 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a76…7314backed Over50c209.37$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.6920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x41f9…84e6backed Under51c198.25$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.1420642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb3c…de27backed Under51c192.81$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.48250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4b8a…f4a4backed Over50c192.05$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.0318556.8%105 W · 80 L+14.2wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4953…43e2backed Over50c187.46$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.7320%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcf02…27c6backed Under51c182.31$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.33366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd77d…b01cbacked Under55c180.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.1118851.6%97 W · 91 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcce5…7eb2backed Under55c180.24$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.117454.1%40 W · 34 L+3.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7473…89eebacked Over55c173.03$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.174047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x679b…745fbacked Under51c172.32$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12dd…9a0cbacked Over50c155.31$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.65250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under56c147.38$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.854,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Over54c145.18$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.8671655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Under51c133.67$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.4911456.1%64 W · 50 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf0b0…8cabbacked Over49c115.14$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9360551.4%311 W · 294 L+8.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under51c112.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9584147.4%399 W · 442 L-13.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-3.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under51c112.14$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.9534746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed Under51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4962451.1%319 W · 305 L+9.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Under55c99.13$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.6121455.6%119 W · 95 L+10.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under47c96.29$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.235338.5%136 W · 217 L-18.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x723a…c574backed Under45c74.44$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.92560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.20per pick40cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8dec…60c2backed Under50c73.8$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.914245.8%65 W · 77 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Over54c62.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.7615238.8%59 W · 93 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9a67…0b8abacked Under49c53.73$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.464537.8%17 W · 28 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Under55c53.04$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8729650.7%150 W · 146 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Under47c52.73$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.958543.5%37 W · 48 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xea74…cf99backed Over46c50$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237950.6%40 W · 39 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked Under49c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.58350.6%42 W · 41 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa24d…38b2backed Under45c49.4$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.122254.5%12 W · 10 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick42cpaid+37.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed Under64c46.91$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.0514461.8%89 W · 55 L+0.7wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5127…f137backed Under53c46.76$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.986841.2%28 W · 40 L-6.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b5c…ab22backed Under46c39.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.412450%12 W · 12 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0fe9…dc0abacked Under51c38.87$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.052751.9%14 W · 13 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Under51c38.66$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.9430152.8%159 W · 142 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5dc…0f05backed Over48c36.33$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.441729.4%5 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-28.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x350e…6539backed Under43c34.69$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.774045%18 W · 22 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under50c34.25$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.183,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x843e…e477backed Under51c29.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.289552.6%50 W · 45 L+5.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e3d…bbfabacked Over58c28.42$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.57558.7%44 W · 31 L+4.1wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e2a…a58dbacked Under49c27.13$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.747856.4%44 W · 34 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x087f…2ebfbacked Under51c25.82$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.675757.9%33 W · 24 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7c56…0615backed Over60c25.04$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.069452.1%49 W · 45 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde66…be48backed Under51c22.06$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.897565.3%49 W · 26 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Over49c21$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.297146.5%33 W · 38 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Under52c20.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.8460954.5%332 W · 277 L+15.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9f5…0688backed Over61c17.69$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.792128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick47cpaid-45.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0e75…664bbacked Over65c17.28$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1830%0 W · 3 L-1.9wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.