Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-12.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee6a0c6884f8c20305ec52a76cd8846eb687c3233f2d5a39630caae7b9827ff2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- McNeese State Cowboysof Vanderbilt Commodores, McNeese State Cowboys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,787
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,066
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,787 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1117…3532backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 9,913$4,758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,758.07 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 50c | 5,068$2,534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 4,000$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,935 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed McNeese State Cowboys | 50c | 3,981$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,990.73 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed McNeese State Cowboys | 50c | 2,974$1,487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,486.88 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 51c | 2,229$1,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.19 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 2,155$1,121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,034.4 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…6738backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 2,000$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f85…7eeebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 1,750$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$839.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 1,714$840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$839.87 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8f03backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 1,609$772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$771.91 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed McNeese State Cowboys | 51c | 1,372$706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$666.03 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 50c | 1,098$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.81 | 251 | 45.8%115 W · 136 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x084f…8b8ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 845.17$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.49 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec9…75c7backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 840.3$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.34 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +3.4wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 826.3$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.62 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…8232backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 775.08$372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$372.04 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e9…bdacbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 47c | 701.49$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.7 | 80 | 46.3%37 W · 43 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 628.3$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.58 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 476.57$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.75 | 222 | 50%111 W · 111 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 461.85$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e3…a9eebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 51c | 400$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa59…75ecbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 51c | 350.8$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.89 | 143 | 46.9%67 W · 76 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed McNeese State Cowboys | 53c | 224.44$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.49 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8a…f4a4backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 210.5$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.04 | 185 | 56.8%105 W · 80 L | +14.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 209.26$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.45 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7851…d471backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 198.25$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked McNeese State Cowboys | 50c | 198.25$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 197.26$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed McNeese State Cowboys | 53c | 190.7$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.23 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed McNeese State Cowboys | 53c | 187.03$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.91 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 164.8$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…9baebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 139.81$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.11 | 104 | 58.7%61 W · 43 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 45c | 135.85$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.43 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed McNeese State Cowboys | 51c | 130$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.7 | 918 | 48.9%449 W · 469 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 120.49$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.05 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 50c | 120$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed McNeese State Cowboys | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 95$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2442…0c2bbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 76.25$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.6 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10e…4c13backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 74.59$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb5ed…96e1backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 60.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +8.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…f137backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 51.63$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -6.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 53c | 46.96$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 42.62$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.46 | 301 | 52.8%159 W · 142 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0627…d18dbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 50c | 39.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.83 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 39.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.84 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0138…8451backed McNeese State Cowboys | 51c | 38.53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 25 | 24%6 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.16per pick | 40cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Vanderbilt Commodores | 50c | 37.52$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.68 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 49c | 31.06$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f34…94d0backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 48c | 30.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 116 | 54.3%63 W · 53 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 27.74$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.39 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 23.66$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 353 | 38.5%136 W · 217 L | -18.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Vanderbilt Commodores | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 53c | 19.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +10.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…c396backed McNeese State Cowboys | 52c | 19.83$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 18 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-12.5)this page
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt CommodoresVanderbilt Commodores won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 143.5Over won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 146.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 147.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 148.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 149.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 150.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 151.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 152.5Under won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Vanderbilt Commodores: O/U 153.5Under won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-10.5)McNeese State Cowboys won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-11.5)McNeese State Cowboys won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-5.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-6.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-7.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-8.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
- Spread: Vanderbilt Commodores (-9.5)Vanderbilt Commodores won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.