NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd706773e98a6866f2cf0eb5dadb227dd50c50074b74a5c54af8286bb422eb559
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,047
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,047 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 32c | 7,502$2,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400.76 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 68c | 6,913$4,702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,211.65 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa31c…0f0cbacked Under | 70c | 1,100$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 68c | 1,098$747 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.34 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 32c | 938.65$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.99 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b33…7e53backed Under | 70c | 850$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71d…4e97backed Under | 70c | 800$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2a1…46a9backed Under | 70c | 750$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 66c | 407.26$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.01 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 32c | 395.09$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.38 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.16 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 70c | 304.07$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.91 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 70c | 281$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.46 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Under | 72c | 277.99$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.99 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 28c | 235$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.8 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdae4…f1fcbacked Over | 34c | 209.33$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.93 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 87 | 52.9%46 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Under | 70c | 200$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 122 | 52.5%64 W · 58 L | -10.7wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -13%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 33c | 187.9$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.35 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 32c | 187.55$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 68c | 185.51$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 41c | 178.7$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.75 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 7c | 171.43$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.78 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 68c | 150.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.05 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52c6…564dbacked Over | 34c | 147.06$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 73c | 136.59$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f16…b5b9backed Over | 33c | 136.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Under | 67c | 129.98$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.89 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc186…ad81backed Under | 79c | 126.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.97 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 78cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4f…63f3backed Over | 34c | 116.47$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 12c | 103$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 34c | 97.59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.26 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 56c | 89.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.41 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 68c | 81.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.35 | 192 | 54.7%105 W · 87 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 33c | 69.29$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.87 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x95fc…10f6backed Over | 38c | 67$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.46 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Over | 36c | 62.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 32c | 53.58$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.15 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 32c | 49.55$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.86 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked Over | 33c | 48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 148 | 53.4%79 W · 69 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13e5…1ea5backed Under | 67c | 47.43$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.46 | 211 | 58.8%124 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Under | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 29c | 43.68$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.67 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94c4…2a41backed Over | 34c | 42.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x914d…3083backed Under | 70c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x300d…978fbacked Over | 34c | 39.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 67c | 35.3$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.58 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 35c | 34.29$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc991…abd4backed Over | 35c | 33.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.92 | 126 | 53.2%67 W · 59 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 34c | 32.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.03 | 285 | 49.1%140 W · 145 L | -8.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…32eebacked Over | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 30cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Under | 71c | 30.86$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.95 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x464c…4632backed Under | 68c | 28.01$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 58c | 26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.81 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 69c | 24.26$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.52 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 64c | 23.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.48 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Under | 68c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.76 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Under | 79c | 16.47$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.46 | 127 | 63.8%81 W · 46 L | +10.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 70c | 15.08$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 77c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.45 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5this page
- Bruins vs. SabresBruins won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.