NHL · resolved market
Spread: Sabres (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdd67b67d2f31ea2282ccee373ef0acb5063508e743a0cf79edbd9536501ceaab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bruinsof Sabres, Bruins
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,361 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5318…1118backed Sabres | 45c | 2,222$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Bruins | 55c | 1,545$851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$693.86 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Bruins | 55c | 1,484$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$667.74 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Sabres | 44c | 1,388$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.72 | 123 | 55.3%68 W · 55 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Bruins | 56c | 1,378$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.32 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Sabres | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 295 | 51.9%153 W · 142 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bruins | 57c | 1,017$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.16 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…bafcbacked Bruins | 57c | 784.57$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.36 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Bruins | 56c | 552.78$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.22 | 510 | 45.5%232 W · 278 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Bruins | 47c | 531$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.43 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Sabres | 44c | 530$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.5 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Sabres | 44c | 381.82$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 249 | 52.2%130 W · 119 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bruins | 55c | 364.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.31 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…eb12backed Sabres | 44c | 294.05$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Sabres | 49c | 280$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.2 | 94 | 42.6%40 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Sabres | 45c | 266.67$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 111 | 54.1%60 W · 51 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed Sabres | 45c | 230$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 572 | 38.1%218 W · 354 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5b0…f879backed Sabres | 45c | 223.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Bruins | 50c | 200.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.86 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bruins | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa11d…72a8backed Bruins | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 76 | 63.2%48 W · 28 L | +9.6wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc23…8283backed Bruins | 58c | 172.64$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.64 | 252 | 58.3%147 W · 105 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4c…2e02backed Bruins | 71c | 141.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.35 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 69cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb634…a738backed Bruins | 58c | 127.59$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.59 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Sabres | 51c | 123.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.76 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Bruins | 55c | 118.83$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.47 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Sabres | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 120 | 48.3%58 W · 62 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 29c | 105.68$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.65 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Sabres | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Sabres | 45c | 91.02$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Sabres | 18c | 90$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Sabres | 45c | 89.28$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffea…5f0abacked Sabres | 32c | 86.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.67 | 185 | 57.8%107 W · 78 L | +16.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Sabres | 50c | 82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,107 | 52%576 W · 531 L | +63.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Sabres | 51c | 81.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked Sabres | 43c | 81.37$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.99 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -11.5wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Bruins | 57c | 78.78$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 432 | 50.9%220 W · 212 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Bruins | 56c | 74.23$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bruins | 56c | 73.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Sabres | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2942…a018backed Bruins | 58c | 58.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 215 | 60.9%131 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Sabres | 45c | 57.78$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 196 | 52.6%103 W · 93 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Bruins | 58c | 50.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.38 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sabres | 36c | 50.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 470 | 24%113 W · 357 L | -44.6wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Bruins | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c06…bbeebacked Bruins | 55c | 49.97$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff7f…bb30backed Bruins | 55c | 49.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Sabres | 45c | 48.3$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.74 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -9.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Bruins | 57c | 47$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.21 | 868 | 52.4%455 W · 413 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Sabres | 45c | 44$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Sabres | 44c | 40.38$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Bruins | 56c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.6 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Bruins | 64c | 35.11$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.52 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8218…155bbacked Bruins | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sabres | 50c | 31.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.95 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bruins | 56c | 30.38$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.37 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Sabres | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Sabres | 50c | 29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Bruins | 61c | 27.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 149 | 63.8%95 W · 54 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c08…af98backed Bruins | 57c | 26.11$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.11 | 337 | 56.4%190 W · 147 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)this page
- Bruins vs. SabresBruins won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.