NHL · resolved market
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e1f9c129b146cab4492277a34332520df8a5765224bc4639750deb93c8fd981
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,298
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,298 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Under | 38c | 2,771$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.2 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760 | 418 | 42.8%179 W · 239 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6762…636abacked Over | 60c | 870$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 62c | 854.08$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$324.55 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fca…6eddbacked Over | 60c | 830$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f4c…a6a1backed Under | 38c | 682.92$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.51 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -3.7wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under | 52c | 587$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.59 | 318 | 28.3%90 W · 228 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 36c | 549.7$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.89 | 1,230 | 53.7%661 W · 569 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 64c | 531.25$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.25 | 39 | 69.2%27 W · 12 L | +6.2wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Over | 71c | 503.11$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.41 | 422 | 54.3%229 W · 193 L | +18.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 56c | 452.76$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.46 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Under | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Over | 47c | 179$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.87 | 114 | 35.1%40 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 36c | 170.74$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.31 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Over | 69c | 163.11$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.2 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 38c | 147.55$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.07 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 44c | 141$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…30ddbacked Over | 62c | 129.03$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.03 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 62c | 125$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.5 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over | 61c | 107.89$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.08 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 70c | 104.83$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.94 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Over | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 924 | 44.5%411 W · 513 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Over | 56c | 88.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.83 | 347 | 52.4%182 W · 165 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 28c | 86.42$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 38c | 85.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.68 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 63c | 82.76$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.62 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Over | 68c | 75$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.2 | 283 | 40.3%114 W · 169 L | -24.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x06fd…2a05backed Over | 62c | 73.66$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.99 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1150…abe0backed Over | 62c | 72.58$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.58 | 34 | 76.5%26 W · 8 L | +5.6wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf30a…61fbbacked Under | 32c | 70$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 384 | 47.4%182 W · 202 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…4d2abacked Over | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Over | 66c | 67$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.78 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a12…ba9cbacked Over | 62c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 42c | 57.05$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Over | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.39 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63d0…52d9backed Over | 62c | 40.84$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Over | 66c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 225 | 43.1%97 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 34c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 29c | 39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.31 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Under | 33c | 36.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810b…db46backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +4.7wins | +0.22per pick | 49cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 336 | 47.9%161 W · 175 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd91…3d37backed Over | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…b635backed Under | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.74 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 47c | 29.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.88 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65f6…8333backed Under | 41c | 24.29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb91…f1edbacked Over | 62c | 23.98$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.13 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Over | 61c | 23.59$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 64c | 19.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 64c | 19.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Over | 64c | 19.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 64c | 19.13$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 62c | 17$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.46 | 355 | 53%188 W · 167 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5this page
- Bruins vs. SabresBruins won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 4.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Sabres (-1.5)Bruins won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.