TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x63d0…52d9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
49
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Ligue 1, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Ligue 1 at 53 out of 100; worst NBA at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-28.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.41
Bulls vs. Wizardsbacked Bulls · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$23.36
Thunder vs. Clippersbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$13.22
76ers vs. Heatbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Spread: Nuggets (-18.5)backed Jazz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$32.5
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.78
Spread: Clippers (-8.5)backed Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Lakers vs. Pacers: O/U 237.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$11.79
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)backed Nuggets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
Spread: Celtics (-6.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$10
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Sep 16, 2025, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-23.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-26.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.52
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$11.33
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-50.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.66
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.71
Twins vs. Blue Jaysbacked Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
All 3 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+45.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-05-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+61.3%+$10.13
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid-25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United States win on 2026-06-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will France win on 2026-06-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$10.34
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Mar 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)backed VfB Stuttgart · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$10
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$13.56
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-03-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+56.3%+$11.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Toulouse FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$9.85
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+42.9%+$8.57
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.