NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x175d17a036a6536bd85f4e70281db62fb8abc5737fdf095447f1d41dd154467d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Cavaliersof Cavaliers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $649,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $649,038 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 434 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3d3d…3165backed Pelicans | 47c | 83,659$39,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,081.12 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -6.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…be51backed Cavaliers | 53c | 77,885$41,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36,335.48 | 100 | 49%49 W · 51 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Cavaliers | 53c | 41,914$22,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,699.49 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa729…9326backed Pelicans | 50c | 28,300$14,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,150 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Pelicans | 48c | 20,199$9,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,695.51 | 231 | 47.6%110 W · 121 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Pelicans | 47c | 19,926$9,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,361.22 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x336b…1233backed Cavaliers | 52c | 19,604$10,253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,350.63 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 50c | 18,033$9,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,016.66 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 48c | 16,130$7,808 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,807.78 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1132…f8f5backed Pelicans | 50c | 12,858$6,429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,429 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +39%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c6…1148backed Pelicans | 50c | 11,729$5,865 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,864.5 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8741…a155backed Pelicans | 50c | 11,176$5,588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,588 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Cavaliers | 53c | 10,650$5,644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,005.61 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80fe…f5d6backed Cavaliers | 50c | 10,546$5,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,273 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…8e9fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 9,784$4,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,892 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ef…5681backed Pelicans | 50c | 9,646$4,823 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,823 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9d9…b252backed Pelicans | 50c | 9,572$4,786 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,786 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc6…e293backed Pelicans | 50c | 9,025$4,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,512.5 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +25%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc48f…b16fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 8,964$4,482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,482 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ee…5bafbacked Pelicans | 50c | 8,854$4,427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,427 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 8,549$4,479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,069.57 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bc7…ee89backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,548$4,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,274 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…265fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 8,536$4,268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,268 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9b5…4ac1backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,478$4,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,239 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf937…08b3backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,435$4,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,217.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba5c…245dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 8,316$4,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,158 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…5c33backed Pelicans | 50c | 8,196$4,098 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,098 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 52c | 8,049$4,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,873.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…8586backed Cavaliers | 50c | 8,042$4,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,021 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1dd…a449backed Cavaliers | 50c | 7,908$3,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,954 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 47cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe95c…7d53backed Pelicans | 50c | 7,898$3,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,949 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.22per pick | 48cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…eed7backed Pelicans | 46c | 7,311$3,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,395 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Cavaliers | 51c | 6,897$3,517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,379.53 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 51c | 6,372$3,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,133.69 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…0e70backed Pelicans | 47c | 5,800$2,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,726 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.5wins | -0.19per pick | 42cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56ed…f75bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 5,738$2,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,869 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f1…cd69backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,524$2,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,762 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Pelicans | 49c | 5,481$2,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,703.32 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Pelicans | 47c | 5,356$2,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,516.72 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4e…0740backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,354$2,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,677 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98a0…818cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 5,130$2,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,565 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 50cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ca1…e921backed Pelicans | 50c | 5,012$2,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,506 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x546d…2984backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,980$2,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,490 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787e…1169backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,910$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x288b…0ba7backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,910$2,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,455 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4263…bf21backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,902$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c9…8c6dbacked Pelicans | 50c | 4,902$2,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…7756backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,894$2,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,447 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…eab8backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,798$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,399 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb03…5e5abacked Pelicans | 50c | 4,794$2,397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,397 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdeb…0d10backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,656$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 54c | 4,630$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,129.63 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x074d…b256backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,629$2,315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x545c…3b68backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,628$2,314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,314 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 50cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Cavaliers | 54c | 4,615$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,122.87 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9327…9be2backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,598$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,299 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1db6…7266backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,525$2,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,262.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72ea…5b3fbacked Pelicans | 50c | 4,502$2,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,251 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ec…6f3bbacked Pelicans | 50c | 4,433$2,217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,216.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb08…8ca2backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,412$2,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,206 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Cavaliers | 52c | 4,376$2,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,101.63 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…2878backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,248$2,124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,124 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbab…9839backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,232$2,116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,116 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a11…4e33backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,210$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,105 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…6d80backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,132$2,066 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,066 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e95…efdebacked Pelicans | 50c | 4,114$2,057 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,057 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c6a…f1b0backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,077$2,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,038.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7767…b869backed Pelicans | 50c | 4,020$2,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…925ebacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,818$1,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pelicans | 47c | 3,748$1,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.66 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Cavaliers | 51c | 3,206$1,635 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,570.82 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…cdcbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,198$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,599 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.34per pick | 46cpaid | +106.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Pelicans | 47c | 3,163$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.14 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Cavaliers | 55c | 3,089$1,690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,399.13 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3814…bf31backed Cavaliers | 50c | 3,002$1,501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,501 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 48cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6209…0e66backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,998$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea0a…e1b1backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,998$1,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,499 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +63.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc74c…0ea5backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,978$1,489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Pelicans | 46c | 2,922$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.12 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x144d…f141backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,711$1,356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,355.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7971…dce9backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,644$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,322 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac1a…f708backed Pelicans | 46c | 2,573$1,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,183.66 | 194 | 45.4%88 W · 106 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…eb34backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,534$1,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,267 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9253…6ca1backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,502$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d21…57d5backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,446$1,223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,223 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c83…5d20backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,436$1,218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,218 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88b3…0b7cbacked Pelicans | 50c | 2,412$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,206 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaae8…8651backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,404$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ea…5868backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,404$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5be9…acf5backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,390$1,195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22fe…9acbbacked Pelicans | 50c | 2,376$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,188 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2238…b57abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,373$1,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,186.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…f5f6backed Pelicans | 50c | 2,370$1,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,185 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a3…a956backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,369$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60bf…fe4fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,369$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,184.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…66b4backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,366$1,183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,183 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8da…142abacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,364$1,182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9562…24e0backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,361$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.5 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9194…96fbbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 2,351$1,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,175.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcde4…0090backed Cavaliers | 50c | 2,343$1,172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,171.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Cavaliers vs. PelicansCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.