NBA · resolved market
Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2fa7ce3d3c58e8283273bcf81cae5b8699dbd4680b7992d64acfa1486afef58b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Pelicansof Cavaliers, Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $339,639
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $339,639 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 298 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Pelicans | 52c | 48,983$25,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,692.29 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 31,901$15,621 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,620.52 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Cavaliers | 49c | 30,125$14,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,738.98 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Pelicans | 50c | 21,296$10,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,607.45 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Cavaliers | 48c | 19,200$9,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,215.89 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Pelicans | 49c | 14,604$7,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,509.66 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Pelicans | 52c | 12,757$6,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,105.56 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…e7dbbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 11,760$5,645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,644.8 | 286 | 49.7%142 W · 144 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked Pelicans | 52c | 11,044$5,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,301.12 | 76 | 53.9%41 W · 35 L | +6.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 10,300$4,944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,943.94 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Pelicans | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Pelicans | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 1,124 | 48.6%546 W · 578 L | +13.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Pelicans | 52c | 10,000$5,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,800 | 773 | 48.5%375 W · 398 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2c1…9fe2backed Cavaliers | 48c | 9,800$4,704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,704 | 72 | 40.3%29 W · 43 L | -5.9wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Cavaliers | 42c | 8,760$3,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,683.1 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 6,874$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Cavaliers | 49c | 6,228$3,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,051.7 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Cavaliers | 47c | 6,120$2,899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,898.73 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Pelicans | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,940 | 747 | 48.5%362 W · 385 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Pelicans | 51c | 6,000$3,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,939.99 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Cavaliers | 46c | 5,848$2,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,678.7 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8bee…a369backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,491$2,636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,635.58 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,417$2,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,600 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Cavaliers | 48c | 5,281$2,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,534.73 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ca…a175backed Pelicans | 52c | 5,000$2,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 824 | 42.2%348 W · 476 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6395backed Cavaliers | 48c | 4,648$2,231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,231 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Pelicans | 47c | 4,629$2,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,473.72 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x011c…31dfbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 4,583$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 334 | 47.9%160 W · 174 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99fb…8ea0backed Cavaliers | 49c | 3,783$1,849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,849 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Pelicans | 51c | 3,543$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,736.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 3,248$1,623 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,622.74 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddb…88fbbacked Pelicans | 54c | 3,022$1,632 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,390.12 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Cavaliers | 51c | 2,955$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,511.35 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d4…6766backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,566$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed43…0448backed Pelicans | 54c | 2,521$1,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.66 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,499$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,197.96 | 716 | 54.1%387 W · 329 L | +21.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Cavaliers | 47c | 2,448$1,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,150.37 | 1,139 | 48.3%550 W · 589 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Pelicans | 52c | 2,419$1,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.31 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x88a8…b406backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,363$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,086.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x930f…1ebebacked Pelicans | 54c | 2,202$1,189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f63…5c8dbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,155$991 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x34a4…1220backed Pelicans | 54c | 2,155$1,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Cavaliers | 47c | 2,144$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.66 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4283…fc5cbacked Pelicans | 54c | 2,120$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfe0…dc42backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,105$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xed87…c315backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,075$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ec…8c70backed Cavaliers | 46c | 2,066$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd46f…883bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 2,054$945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$944.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde79…2a1bbacked Cavaliers | 49c | 2,052$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 173 | 49.7%86 W · 87 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Cavaliers | 49c | 2,041$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -33%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1848…bd58backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,984$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Cavaliers | 54c | 1,945$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.2 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,935$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.56 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,923$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.07 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…9be0backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,922$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91c…08bbbacked Pelicans | 54c | 1,912$1,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7c…b86dbacked Pelicans | 54c | 1,900$1,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc2…ba49backed Pelicans | 54c | 1,856$1,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$853.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…6239backed Pelicans | 54c | 1,822$984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,743$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.91 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa63d…9b4bbacked Cavaliers | 46c | 1,740$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.4 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…041ebacked Pelicans | 54c | 1,720$929 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6716…e673backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,566$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…2427backed Cavaliers | 46c | 1,536$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb55a…5df4backed Pelicans | 54c | 1,502$811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690.92 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +82%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1a…b8fcbacked Pelicans | 54c | 1,400$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,385$715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.02 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Pelicans | 51c | 1,349$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.78 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Pelicans | 52c | 1,313$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$628.58 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca5…73bcbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,246$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.16 | 404 | 51.5%208 W · 196 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 1,071$513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.4 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed Pelicans | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.19 | 186 | 51.6%96 W · 90 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Cavaliers | 47c | 1,016$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.97 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…69ebbacked Pelicans | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480 | 629 | 48.6%306 W · 323 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Cavaliers | 48c | 999.99$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Pelicans | 52c | 961.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.53 | 240 | 50.8%122 W · 118 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68d8…4cc6backed Pelicans | 55c | 843.29$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.29 | 144 | 55.6%80 W · 64 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Pelicans | 54c | 815.07$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.07 | 193 | 59.6%115 W · 78 L | +14.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Pelicans | 52c | 807.69$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$387.69 | 672 | 52.7%354 W · 318 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd790…a24ebacked Pelicans | 48c | 794.75$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.27 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +9.5wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +30%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Cavaliers | 47c | 784.38$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Pelicans | 46c | 733.92$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.22 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d4a…e7cabacked Cavaliers | 48c | 697.94$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.22 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.7wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Pelicans | 51c | 696.68$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.03 | 221 | 54.8%121 W · 100 L | +9.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Cavaliers | 64c | 661.05$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424.48 | 111 | 42.3%47 W · 64 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x108c…122dbacked Pelicans | 52c | 659$343 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.32 | 61 | 34.4%21 W · 40 L | -10.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Pelicans | 50c | 647.88$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.5 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Pelicans | 52c | 624$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.29 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…aa15backed Cavaliers | 48c | 597$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -5.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbc…8a18backed Cavaliers | 48c | 596.99$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.56 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Pelicans | 52c | 591$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.68 | 714 | 49.3%352 W · 362 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0828…5cfebacked Pelicans | 52c | 590.08$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.24 | 170 | 41.8%71 W · 99 L | -11.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Cavaliers | 48c | 581.73$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacb6…e3bbbacked Pelicans | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.92 | 62 | 66.1%41 W · 21 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Cavaliers | 50c | 575$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.5 | 348 | 51.7%180 W · 168 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Cavaliers | 54c | 532.18$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.47 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Pelicans | 52c | 521.13$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250.14 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5c…9e02backed Pelicans | 52c | 509.27$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.45 | 215 | 46.5%100 W · 115 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Pelicans | 48c | 509.17$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.77 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb49…1fbebacked Pelicans | 52c | 508.23$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.95 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | +6.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Cavaliers vs. PelicansCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.