NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x89de787d57b2314af13a4e62d3e874ea32a5215fbd2eb724c570fec71307f727
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,629 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 43c | 1,692$727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.33 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed Under | 66c | 1,479$976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503.18 | 658 | 72.8%479 W · 179 L | +46.1wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x93a2…5181backed Over | 24c | 964.78$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.95 | 150 | 38%57 W · 93 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a45…f628backed Over | 57c | 880$502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.6 | 348 | 55.2%192 W · 156 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 48c | 763.09$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$397.57 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Over | 55c | 540.58$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 41c | 509.69$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.86 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…bfdfbacked Over | 60c | 388.47$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.17per pick | 58cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 37c | 385.8$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.32 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b54…db07backed Over | 63c | 355.3$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.54 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x451f…7301backed Over | 58c | 344.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 40c | 344.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.45 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Under | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.1 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 49c | 293.48$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.04 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 59c | 293$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.01 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 43c | 291.17$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.91 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Over | 50c | 240.59$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.3 | 285 | 37.9%108 W · 177 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 40c | 207.54$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.47 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Over | 39c | 207.21$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.05 | 1,036 | 47.6%493 W · 543 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Over | 60c | 196.38$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.97 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 48c | 190.54$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.4 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 37c | 184.91$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.92 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 175.73$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.47 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Over | 57c | 173.99$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.18 | 1,055 | 49.9%526 W · 529 L | +29.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Under | 43c | 165$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 56c | 150.88$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.11 | 877 | 44.7%392 W · 485 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Over | 64c | 150$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Over | 59c | 147.85$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.23 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 43c | 145.6$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.19 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb870…5a8abacked Under | 43c | 123.25$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.25 | 918 | 46.2%424 W · 494 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Over | 58c | 120$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69ac…03e9backed Over | 51c | 118.56$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.83 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87fa…12d0backed Under | 45c | 111.11$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0547…fb35backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 633 | 53.1%336 W · 297 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 54c | 78.74$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.38 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Over | 58c | 68.97$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 236 | 57.2%135 W · 101 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 44c | 61.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.84 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Over | 48c | 60$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Over | 51c | 60$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 469 | 40.3%189 W · 280 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Under | 32c | 59.27$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.05 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 38c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.86 | 492 | 47.2%232 W · 260 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x824d…270fbacked Over | 40c | 50.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1f…f5eabacked Over | 40c | 49.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 42c | 44.95$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.17 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 45c | 43.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.98 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked Over | 58c | 32$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -17.0wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Over | 54c | 31.78$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.24 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 231 | 45.9%106 W · 125 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 45c | 31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.05 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed Under | 44c | 28.41$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 223 | 36.8%82 W · 141 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ed…db3dbacked Under | 46c | 23.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd077…46c0backed Under | 46c | 22.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.15 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 66c | 20.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7efe…edabbacked Under | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 61c | 18.7$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.49 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Over | 58c | 18.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 969 | 56.3%546 W · 423 L | +26.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Cavaliers vs. PelicansCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.