NBA · resolved market
Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2acd9fcca571ea8ff2c886a76900e626fefd45e8c4942e2e5063c451b370927d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $51,655
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,655 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf2ae…7e44backed Over | 49c | 5,000$2,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 53c | 4,710$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf165…1364backed Over | 52c | 4,001$2,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e8d…178bbacked Over | 52c | 3,811$1,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,981.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef85…86afbacked Over | 52c | 3,802$1,977 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,977.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb185…f488backed Over | 52c | 3,255$1,693 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,692.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Over | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,590 | 877 | 50.2%440 W · 437 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 47c | 2,686$1,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,430.17 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 46c | 2,609$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,408.7 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f25…237fbacked Under | 48c | 2,326$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a28…33d9backed Under | 48c | 2,311$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.72 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf85…9728backed Under | 48c | 2,310$1,109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,201.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…fe77backed Under | 48c | 2,266$1,088 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.32 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1148…f5f6backed Under | 48c | 2,236$1,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,162.72 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x278a…0e83backed Under | 48c | 2,219$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,153.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e07…a6a7backed Under | 48c | 2,101$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,092.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…f33bbacked Under | 48c | 2,058$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,070.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6006…4f29backed Under | 48c | 2,045$982 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab42…bdd7backed Under | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ca…234dbacked Over | 52c | 1,900$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac18…c4e8backed Under | 48c | 1,804$866 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 51cpaid | +98.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Under | 49c | 1,800$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$918 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 47c | 1,791$835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.8 | 9,722 | 49.4%4,805 W · 4,917 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x807c…973cbacked Over | 52c | 1,666$866 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.32 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1475…2edbbacked Under | 48c | 1,523$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$791.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe007…e9d5backed Over | 52c | 1,502$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$781.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc849…4190backed Over | 52c | 1,501$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…a1fdbacked Over | 52c | 1,501$781 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5eb5…93d7backed Under | 48c | 1,501$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780.52 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd041…cc74backed Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cd…64efbacked Under | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +109.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 53c | 1,500$795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…f423backed Over | 52c | 1,456$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 59c | 796.59$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Under | 47c | 772.98$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.68 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 684.28$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395.75 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42a…d91fbacked Under | 47c | 455$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.15 | 623 | 47.5%296 W · 327 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x362a…8683backed Under | 46c | 439.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 131 | 55%72 W · 59 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 47c | 435.95$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.7 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 47c | 310.65$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.85 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 52c | 290.85$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.24 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2db1…45e5backed Under | 48c | 260.8$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.8 | 248 | 49.6%123 W · 125 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.77 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 249 | 46.6%116 W · 133 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc65…0c28backed Over | 52c | 161$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.72 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf05c…6088backed Over | 52c | 144$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.88 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 56c | 122.38$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.53 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 121.16$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 421 | 53%223 W · 198 L | +23.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Over | 50c | 118.77$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 339 | 45.1%153 W · 186 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 55c | 116.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.77 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Under | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 43c | 80.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 48c | 71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 903 | 57%515 W · 388 L | +40.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…776ebacked Over | 54c | 44.38$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.88 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc03a…d7c4backed Under | 47c | 40.98$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 47c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03eb…47b0backed Under | 48c | 39.82$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 198 | 51%101 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 49c | 34$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc9…185bbacked Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 292 | 47.9%140 W · 152 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Over | 52c | 21.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.26 | 3,285 | 49.1%1,613 W · 1,672 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c1…de09backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 235.5this page
- 1H Spread: Cavaliers (-1.5)Pelicans won
- Cavaliers vs. PelicansCavaliers won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: 1H MoneylinePelicans won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: 1H O/U 115.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 233.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 234.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 236.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 237.5Under won
- Cavaliers vs. Pelicans: O/U 238.5Under won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-4.5)Cavaliers won
- Spread: Cavaliers (-5.5)Pelicans won
- Zion Williamson: Points O/U 20.5Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.