TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group B

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Natus Vincereof B8, Natus Vincere
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,204,302
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,257,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,204,302 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 456 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x63a5…8e33backed B821c230,947$47,621 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47,621.493438.2%13 W · 21 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a5c…a375backed B86c219,112$12,663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,663.315238.5%20 W · 32 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked Natus Vincere78c63,700$49,939 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,760.986160.7%37 W · 24 L+8.6wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+28.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xbed2…d00bbacked B86c35,433$2,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,266.295750.9%29 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+0.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed B822c32,509$7,149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,148.958552.9%45 W · 40 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked Natus Vincere78c30,000$23,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,6005345.3%24 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Natus Vincere79c19,000$15,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,934.3614954.4%81 W · 68 L-6.5wins-0.04per pick59cpaid-6.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere71c14,558$10,386 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,172.3875758.3%441 W · 316 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9c…34d9backed B819c13,839$2,591 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,591.152759.3%16 W · 11 L+3.1wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5bbe…c65dbacked B80c13,281$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2813315.8%21 W · 112 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed B819c13,142$2,445 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,444.9210850%54 W · 54 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed B819c10,576$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.4467041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x686f…ccb1backed B820c10,000$1,958 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,958.496656.1%37 W · 29 L+5.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+6.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked B820c8,641$1,687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,687.335,02855%2,763 W · 2,265 L+112.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf559…f462backed Natus Vincere80c8,229$6,583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,645.7919055.8%106 W · 84 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Natus Vincere74c7,969$5,908 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,061.917357.2%99 W · 74 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f4d…0d5ebacked Natus Vincere80c7,904$6,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,580.82774.1%20 W · 7 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick61cpaid+27.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x16bc…decabacked B820c7,629$1,515 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,515.4219229.2%56 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-28.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf679…16acbacked B829c7,200$2,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,051.9917042.9%73 W · 97 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed B820c7,120$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,424.123848.3%115 W · 123 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked B86c7,097$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.33,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe8a1…2ccdbacked B80c6,676$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.311330.8%4 W · 9 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick19cpaid-18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb188…1b06backed B815c6,659$1,007 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0072965.5%19 W · 10 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+16.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd604…ee57backed B829c6,646$1,901 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,900.784731.9%15 W · 32 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb1b8…9d1fbacked B85c6,362$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308.9632832.3%106 W · 222 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick29cpaid+15.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Natus Vincere72c6,248$4,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,768.3228738%109 W · 178 L-6.9wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked B819c5,905$1,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,121.8621424.8%53 W · 161 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid-7.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8e1…49ddbacked B822c5,602$1,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,225.161,39848.4%676 W · 722 L+11.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2a5…391cbacked B828c5,400$1,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,528.210550.5%53 W · 52 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7645…3117backed B819c5,000$950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95071645.9%329 W · 387 L-3.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb64…bfdcbacked B819c4,981$946 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$946.4218341%75 W · 108 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x109f…1691backed B84c4,712$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.483129%9 W · 22 L-5.0wins-0.16per pick45cpaid-36.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Natus Vincere71c4,601$3,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,334.3723653.4%126 W · 110 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6239…1d79backed B821c4,582$952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.4720946.9%98 W · 111 L-9.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked B821c4,567$953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$952.511,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed B89c4,561$426 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$426.32,05741.5%853 W · 1,204 L-50.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x24d3…30abbacked B820c4,357$871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.37425.7%19 W · 55 L-4.9wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-28.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b7…0aa1backed B819c4,200$798 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7981,40833.7%475 W · 933 L+43.0wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c1c…7980backed Natus Vincere80c3,624$2,899 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$724.846841.2%28 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe54d…fea1backed Natus Vincere80c3,385$2,708 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$677.05580%4 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed B821c3,334$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.1613545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+10.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa048…dd23backed B819c3,080$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.24032.5%13 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbfda…5504backed B80c3,071$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.124943%107 W · 142 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed B813c3,030$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$380.525,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bae…885abacked Natus Vincere76c2,956$2,240 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$716.5927658%160 W · 116 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbdd0…c5aebacked B80c2,955$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.01924.3%4 W · 88 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick5cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5a96…4e13backed B815c2,944$453 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$453.2422358.7%131 W · 92 L+11.1wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+6.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed B813c2,926$384 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.296,46642.9%2,777 W · 3,689 L-78.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed B820c2,852$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.6610252%53 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked B825c2,813$695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$694.6764852%337 W · 311 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x10e0…c736backed Natus Vincere80c2,717$2,174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$543.414362.9%90 W · 53 L+11.2wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x1b9a…a06bbacked B827c2,700$719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.269624%167 W · 529 L+2.2wins0.00per pick24cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed B821c2,605$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.0335236.4%128 W · 224 L-1.4wins0.00per pick37cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30c7…ac3bbacked Natus Vincere79c2,467$1,949 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$518.0175452.7%397 W · 357 L+27.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x182d…73e9backed B820c2,448$492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492.3778639.4%310 W · 476 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c0b…7aa5backed B816c2,380$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.6681843.2%353 W · 465 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb53a…e694backed B825c2,306$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$573.4813238.6%51 W · 81 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked B87c2,291$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.111,05449%516 W · 538 L+38.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-10.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b9b…44c3backed B821c2,242$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.389540%38 W · 57 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe3d4…884ebacked B84c2,200$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.984517.8%8 W · 37 L-5.7wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-46.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked B86c2,104$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.741,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked B819c2,060$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.141,57335.3%556 W · 1,017 L+22.5wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f3f…5878backed B819c2,055$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.4512426.6%33 W · 91 L-10.9wins-0.09per pick35cpaid-24.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6277…5a3fbacked B828c2,036$578 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$578.0663341.9%265 W · 368 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b10…9659backed Natus Vincere72c2,016$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.7346749.7%232 W · 235 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeba1…838bbacked Natus Vincere72c1,983$1,419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.8110350.5%52 W · 51 L-8.2wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-13%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xad72…4f5ebacked B819c1,933$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.4624538.4%94 W · 151 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Natus Vincere79c1,910$1,509 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.02650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed B828c1,905$541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.4717062.9%107 W · 63 L+7.5wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2a71…e454backed B831c1,890$583 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.7724944.6%111 W · 138 L+6.0wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9876…69f7backed Natus Vincere80c1,853$1,482 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$370.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick63cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed B817c1,816$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307.64,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x95ee…e28cbacked Natus Vincere72c1,792$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493.488848.9%43 W · 45 L-5.8wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-8.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8be2…494abacked Natus Vincere76c1,721$1,308 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.731764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Natus Vincere75c1,660$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.5922949.8%114 W · 115 L-6.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x143d…2602backed Natus Vincere72c1,647$1,179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$467.6612557.6%72 W · 53 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x135f…528cbacked B812c1,590$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.538232.9%27 W · 55 L+4.8wins+0.06per pick27cpaid+10.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x398c…33fabacked B829c1,568$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.63742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick54cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4e9c…1fcabacked B821c1,567$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.478324.1%20 W · 63 L-11.7wins-0.14per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xb7e0…0d8abacked B86c1,451$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7632457.4%186 W · 138 L-10.7wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c63…3cbbbacked Natus Vincere78c1,448$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.1746165.5%302 W · 159 L+0.4wins0.00per pick65cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked B86c1,396$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.557,89250.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L+182.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed B87c1,317$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.951,27721.9%280 W · 997 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcef4…22e0backed Natus Vincere80c1,314$1,051 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.877972.2%57 W · 22 L+5.2wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+11.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7193…ae51backed Natus Vincere79c1,305$1,031 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.0529858.4%174 W · 124 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick58cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb9ab…f282backed B817c1,291$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.181,08050.9%550 W · 530 L+38.2wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed Natus Vincere80c1,247$997 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.322843.9%100 W · 128 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-0.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1844…7eb8backed Natus Vincere80c1,234$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$246.842254.5%12 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.07per pick61cpaid-20.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed B814c1,232$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167.931,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked B812c1,231$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.692,20547.6%1,049 W · 1,156 L-4.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x10b0…8525backed Natus Vincere78c1,200$934 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.3160748.1%292 W · 315 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed B813c1,144$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.134,22049.2%2,078 W · 2,142 L+61.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x421e…1e47backed B828c1,116$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.269023.3%21 W · 69 L-9.4wins-0.10per pick34cpaid-32.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed B88c1,081$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.382,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xc2b6…c9c6backed B829c1,048$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.851060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x314c…975fbacked Natus Vincere79c1,016$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.45971.2%42 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick68cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd4fa…4a86backed B87c1,013$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.166119.7%12 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7c…164dbacked B820c1,007$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.3734943%150 W · 199 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked Natus Vincere69c1,005$696 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.6711249.1%55 W · 57 L+6.0wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4985…dce4backed B818c1,001$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9213545.9%62 W · 73 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick42cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.