CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaf30d8e424becfe3d74cc28df5f95bff5872fe3f7e6afcfa95bc9cfd706f512e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Natus Vincereof B8, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $145,201
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $188,349
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $145,201 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5bbe…c65dbacked B8 | 0c | 17,094$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.09 | 133 | 15.8%21 W · 112 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c93…33d5backed B8 | 0c | 11,712$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 484 | 37.6%182 W · 302 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +42%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed B8 | 18c | 6,000$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,069.98 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd572…c829backed B8 | 0c | 5,338$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 45cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…3f5fbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 5,177$3,572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,605.01 | 236 | 53.4%126 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked B8 | 1c | 4,398$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.28 | 528 | 37.1%196 W · 332 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd0…c5aebacked B8 | 1c | 4,375$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 4.3%4 W · 88 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4e5…d034backed B8 | 30c | 4,256$1,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,294.17 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked B8 | 18c | 3,087$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.78 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 2,557$2,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.01 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed B8 | 31c | 2,479$769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.6 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…e2e6backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 2,000$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 47 | 66%31 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked B8 | 1c | 1,927$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.73 | 696 | 24%167 W · 529 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1bcc…0d8abacked B8 | 11c | 1,900$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209 | 215 | 19.1%41 W · 174 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89d1…4ac1backed B8 | 5c | 1,886$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed B8 | 32c | 1,661$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.48 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed B8 | 28c | 1,442$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.77 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed B8 | 19c | 1,284$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.03 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb53a…e694backed B8 | 30c | 1,056$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.89 | 132 | 38.6%51 W · 81 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked B8 | 32c | 1,034$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.33 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed B8 | 13c | 1,030$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.71 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked B8 | 17c | 1,001$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.14 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked B8 | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed B8 | 17c | 1,000$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b8…9d1fbacked B8 | 7c | 999.98$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 328 | 32.3%106 W · 222 L | +10.6wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked B8 | 31c | 928.74$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.57 | 132 | 34.8%46 W · 86 L | -8.4wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere | 72c | 904.39$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.27 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2489…ee90backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 739.94$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.58 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed B8 | 26c | 735.08$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.12 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 733.89$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.79 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2899…5251backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 672.74$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.47 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Natus Vincere | 75c | 659.9$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.28 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4de…0da4backed Natus Vincere | 77c | 652.14$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.4 | 339 | 60.8%206 W · 133 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Natus Vincere | 68c | 642.86$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.71 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea4b…9531backed B8 | 34c | 565.8$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.07 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd0…389fbacked Natus Vincere | 78c | 505.17$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.42 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1f…a252backed B8 | 19c | 495.38$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.15 | 150 | 33.3%50 W · 100 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 491.3$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.48 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x755c…0854backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 476.91$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.3 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked B8 | 17c | 475.1$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.77 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed B8 | 12c | 446.84$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.62 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4ec…c574backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 420.48$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.87 | 483 | 50.9%246 W · 237 L | -20.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…2602backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 351.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 125 | 57.6%72 W · 53 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked B8 | 19c | 313.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.15 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked B8 | 27c | 300$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 1,573 | 35.3%556 W · 1,017 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe692…ea10backed B8 | 5c | 299.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 176 | 17%30 W · 146 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe203…1b53backed B8 | 30c | 298.73$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.62 | 353 | 44.8%158 W · 195 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed B8 | 31c | 297.17$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.12 | 320 | 42.5%136 W · 184 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe02…be9dbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 294.78$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 312 | 53.5%167 W · 145 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e8a…42a0backed B8 | 33c | 290.85$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.98 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33f0…b7aebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 284.46$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.18 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ff…6431backed Natus Vincere | 78c | 279.19$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.95 | 231 | 65.8%152 W · 79 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc87…cba7backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 266.2$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed B8 | 18c | 250$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed B8 | 30c | 237.94$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.38 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 224.99$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.75 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde4b…3b7dbacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 209.11$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.73 | 318 | 52.8%168 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed B8 | 19c | 200.29$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.06 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…5c84backed B8 | 31c | 191.72$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.43 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked B8 | 18c | 185.67$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.42 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 176.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 512 | 52.3%268 W · 244 L | +16.5wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 175$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.63 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…b637backed B8 | 18c | 161.61$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 625 | 38.6%241 W · 384 L | -16.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3600…f72bbacked Natus Vincere | 79c | 156.15$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.38 | 319 | 50.5%161 W · 158 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7926…a4febacked Natus Vincere | 70c | 155.03$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.97 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8e…c29ebacked B8 | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 281 | 43.8%123 W · 158 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…428fbacked Natus Vincere | 71c | 148.62$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.1 | 111 | 47.7%53 W · 58 L | -6.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 147.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.11 | 130 | 58.5%76 W · 54 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7fe7…a59bbacked Natus Vincere | 77c | 145.94$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.18 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…092ebacked Natus Vincere | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.18per pick | 62cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed B8 | 15c | 139.19$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed B8 | 21c | 111.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.73 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked B8 | 29c | 110$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 108.27$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.65 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1be…6471backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 103.8$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 427 | 57.8%247 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc6c3…a6e8backed B8 | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 262 | 49.2%129 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed B8 | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xed2f…2ae1backed B8 | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -4.9wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 99.56$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Natus Vincere | 74c | 97.07$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.24 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc8…f527backed B8 | 32c | 95.92$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.69 | 488 | 26.2%128 W · 360 L | -44.3wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x255f…cd91backed B8 | 30c | 95.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 89 | 47.2%42 W · 47 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea86…6fb4backed B8 | 31c | 92.77$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | -17.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -56%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked B8 | 18c | 89.87$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.37 | 270 | 15.2%41 W · 229 L | -41.9wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -54.7%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x962d…dc4cbacked Natus Vincere | 80c | 87.87$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddad…bce1backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 76.58$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 222 | 52.7%117 W · 105 L | -6.7wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd62…a229backed B8 | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 128 | 43.8%56 W · 72 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe283…7190backed B8 | 33c | 72.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 965 | 45.7%441 W · 524 L | +10.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6da…f3a4backed B8 | 18c | 72.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.31 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +84.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 400 | 50.8%203 W · 197 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7d8…3fd4backed B8 | 30c | 63.72$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.16 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed Natus Vincere | 70c | 61.9$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.57 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8190…27b4backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 51 | 64.7%33 W · 18 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…a304backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 56.89$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.64 | 122 | 73.8%90 W · 32 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 66cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed Natus Vincere | 71c | 55.36$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.05 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6117…2fafbacked Natus Vincere | 72c | 53.87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.08 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Natus Vincere | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839f…c2cebacked B8 | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 164 | 51.8%85 W · 79 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6347…3047backed B8 | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 181 | 45.9%83 W · 98 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02a4…6854backed Natus Vincere | 69c | 49.07$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 392 | 58.2%228 W · 164 L | +18.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.