CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9c42d27c0a43b6a5988ff899ed75f504531f37311fc9b5c023464ef9ccac66c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,978
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,414
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,978 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xffe1…29aabacked Under | 0c | 9,540$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Over | 37c | 3,975$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,504.03 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 1,945$1,225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.39 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc350…3669backed Under | 63c | 1,790$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.49 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Under | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.8 | 502 | 54.2%272 W · 230 L | -11.2wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Over | 39c | 1,211$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.44 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Under | 79c | 749.99$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.5 | 616 | 54.9%338 W · 278 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Over | 34c | 729.01$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.87 | 2,223 | 47.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L | -5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 27c | 615.96$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.59 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 37c | 584.22$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.06 | 238 | 51.7%123 W · 115 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 68c | 512.12$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 1,659 | 32.7%542 W · 1,117 L | -49.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Over | 24c | 495.85$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.05 | 3,236 | 51.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L | +88.9wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 30c | 480.07$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.98 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Over | 37c | 299.99$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 1,041 | 39.9%415 W · 626 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 61c | 268.42$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.74 | 815 | 44.4%362 W · 453 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b95…07e5backed Over | 53c | 240$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.8 | 326 | 43.3%141 W · 185 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b26…57e9backed Under | 63c | 195.56$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.2 | 1,489 | 58%863 W · 626 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed Over | 43c | 189.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.46 | 373 | 46.1%172 W · 201 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Under | 65c | 181.4$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe07b…b7c9backed Over | 37c | 135.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.47 | 144 | 47.9%69 W · 75 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b1…340fbacked Over | 46c | 121.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.89 | 1,167 | 48.2%562 W · 605 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c4a6backed Under | 41c | 117.05$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Under | 63c | 111$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.93 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Under | 62c | 109.14$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.66 | 279 | 54.5%152 W · 127 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56c4…fce5backed Under | 64c | 102.99$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 108 | 52.8%57 W · 51 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Over | 36c | 90.8$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x596a…7a0fbacked Over | 39c | 86.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.89 | 1,281 | 37.8%484 W · 797 L | +5.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc602…7fc1backed Over | 37c | 85.3$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.74 | 89 | 33.7%30 W · 59 L | -4.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd067…9b9abacked Under | 75c | 80.61$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.46 | 456 | 63.6%290 W · 166 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6796…453fbacked Under | 75c | 79.11$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.33 | 150 | 40%60 W · 90 L | -11.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -24%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37da…41d2backed Under | 63c | 78.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.28 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -5.6wins | -0.23per pick | 44cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 25c | 75.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.49 | 89 | 43.8%39 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Under | 54c | 60.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.7 | 2,664 | 30.8%820 W · 1,844 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x856b…5f76backed Under | 76c | 59.52$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.43 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Over | 37c | 57.08$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.95 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…fc02backed Under | 63c | 50.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 559 | 50.3%281 W · 278 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Under | 62c | 50$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 94 | 47.9%45 W · 49 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Over | 21c | 47.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.63 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5cf3…1eabbacked Over | 42c | 46.14$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 248 | 41.1%102 W · 146 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd186…ed6ebacked Over | 37c | 44.9$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.24 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd2d…d7f8backed Over | 39c | 35.66$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.75 | 59 | 57.6%34 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 63c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | -4.3wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Over | 35c | 29.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.52 | 472 | 60%283 W · 189 L | +31.8wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked Under | 62c | 29.54$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.32 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe303…401abacked Over | 58c | 27.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 104 | 47.1%49 W · 55 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Under | 62c | 22.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…3fc4backed Under | 71c | 19.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.05 | 166 | 61.4%102 W · 64 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Group BNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map Handicap: NAVI (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5)B8 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.