NHL · resolved market
Stars vs. Sabres
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x906e419adc6ac02842686717c5b0e1f5dae206be8747f6b108f4f193ad06ef4b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Starsof Stars, Sabres
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $996,526
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,503
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $996,526 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 721 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x03e8…1697backed Stars | 54c | 402,870$218,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184,284.21 | 670 | 51%342 W · 328 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Sabres | 44c | 323,196$142,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142,108.55 | 224 | 43.8%98 W · 126 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb859…e244backed Sabres | 48c | 82,872$39,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,757.27 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Stars | 55c | 43,630$24,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,473.76 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Sabres | 46c | 30,344$13,841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,840.89 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Stars | 51c | 26,525$13,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,927.09 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Stars | 56c | 25,222$14,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,097.68 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Sabres | 49c | 20,000$9,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,800 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Sabres | 42c | 17,059$7,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,164.75 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sabres | 48c | 16,803$8,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,045.76 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e2f…ec47backed Stars | 56c | 16,563$9,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,287.72 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95de…c9b2backed Sabres | 44c | 12,705$5,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,590.2 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Stars | 57c | 12,000$6,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,160 | 403 | 56.3%227 W · 176 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Sabres | 42c | 10,178$4,256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,256.39 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Stars | 56c | 10,013$5,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,405.64 | 594 | 50.8%302 W · 292 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Stars | 57c | 8,231$4,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,539.46 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Sabres | 44c | 8,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,499.58 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba38…e406backed Stars | 56c | 7,985$4,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,513.2 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Sabres | 45c | 7,669$3,451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,451.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.32per pick | 48cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Sabres | 44c | 7,214$3,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,174 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…2c2abacked Stars | 54c | 6,568$3,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,019.2 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6c…236dbacked Stars | 57c | 6,424$3,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.56 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa048…dd23backed Sabres | 49c | 6,210$3,043 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,042.9 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc92…2e78backed Stars | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.99 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b10…acabbacked Sabres | 44c | 5,576$2,453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,453.44 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c7b…9dcabacked Sabres | 44c | 5,499$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,419.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Sabres | 49c | 5,406$2,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,642.67 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Stars | 54c | 5,307$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.38 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…28dcbacked Sabres | 46c | 5,000$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Stars | 53c | 5,000$2,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.93 | 86 | 57%49 W · 37 L | +8.5wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x56c2…17bfbacked Stars | 57c | 4,835$2,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,097.41 | 254 | 47.2%120 W · 134 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bcc…1ff7backed Sabres | 46c | 4,702$2,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,170.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Sabres | 44c | 4,545$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbd…c4e4backed Sabres | 44c | 4,488$1,975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,974.72 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Sabres | 43c | 4,400$1,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,891.94 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Sabres | 51c | 4,320$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee39…59bfbacked Sabres | 47c | 4,241$1,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,992.4 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 63cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2849…3d49backed Stars | 59c | 4,223$2,499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,723.63 | 199 | 63.8%127 W · 72 L | +27.6wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Stars | 56c | 4,000$2,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,760 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2eed…85a9backed Stars | 56c | 3,983$2,230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,752.3 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c8…a9ffbacked Sabres | 44c | 3,788$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,667.35 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Sabres | 43c | 3,722$1,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600.63 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91d1…288ebacked Sabres | 45c | 3,638$1,637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,637.1 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95b7…d633backed Sabres | 45c | 3,552$1,598 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,598.39 | 261 | 54%141 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa32…bd9abacked Sabres | 61c | 3,464$2,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,104.87 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Sabres | 45c | 3,422$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.96 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40b9…b002backed Stars | 51c | 3,401$1,748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,652.42 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Stars | 50c | 3,296$1,660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.03 | 340 | 40.3%137 W · 203 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Stars | 58c | 3,224$1,855 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.14 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Sabres | 60c | 3,036$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831.46 | 521 | 72.6%378 W · 143 L | +36.7wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 46c | 2,939$1,363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,363.13 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Sabres | 45c | 2,873$1,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,292.28 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Stars | 51c | 2,855$1,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.8 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f08…5afbbacked Sabres | 45c | 2,837$1,276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.44 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Sabres | 45c | 2,731$1,241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,240.86 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Sabres | 46c | 2,673$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.2 | 165 | 46.7%77 W · 88 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Stars | 55c | 2,504$1,381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,123.09 | 335 | 54%181 W · 154 L | +13.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff9…a78bbacked Stars | 57c | 2,400$1,368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,031.83 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Sabres | 49c | 2,222$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,088.78 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked Sabres | 60c | 2,151$1,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,290.71 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +9.1wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc64c…e605backed Sabres | 48c | 2,143$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,023.81 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb820…cbe7backed Sabres | 47c | 2,055$967 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.27 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Sabres | 44c | 2,000$880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$880 | 227 | 47.6%108 W · 119 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03f…249dbacked Sabres | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4427…0e7fbacked Sabres | 49c | 1,991$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975.67 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x478b…982bbacked Stars | 52c | 1,991$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$955.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Sabres | 48c | 1,908$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910.22 | 413 | 54.5%225 W · 188 L | +17.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf11…c679backed Sabres | 49c | 1,837$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f9…bb8fbacked Sabres | 44c | 1,800$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.95 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Sabres | 30c | 1,771$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.18 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Sabres | 31c | 1,757$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.02 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0940…3640backed Sabres | 48c | 1,752$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$849 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Stars | 47c | 1,748$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.87 | 112 | 51.8%58 W · 54 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sabres | 47c | 1,746$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.76 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1925…4654backed Stars | 51c | 1,738$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.74 | 116 | 44.8%52 W · 64 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Sabres | 48c | 1,738$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.41 | 110 | 47.3%52 W · 58 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf63a…90e6backed Sabres | 59c | 1,690$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Stars | 56c | 1,593$894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.17 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…c230backed Sabres | 2c | 1,580$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 3cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…8feebacked Sabres | 51c | 1,537$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.07 | 190 | 50.5%96 W · 94 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…a7fabacked Sabres | 50c | 1,511$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.98 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +10.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Sabres | 45c | 1,494$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$673.27 | 339 | 41.3%140 W · 199 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stars | 56c | 1,400$782 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$618.03 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x528f…2101backed Stars | 56c | 1,387$772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.08 | 173 | 53.8%93 W · 80 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…4bb0backed Sabres | 44c | 1,320$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Stars | 57c | 1,298$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.16 | 65 | 50.8%33 W · 32 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x874f…a13dbacked Sabres | 55c | 1,283$706 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$705.81 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6447…8075backed Sabres | 50c | 1,218$609 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$608.95 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Sabres | 45c | 1,214$546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$546.3 | 100 | 66%66 W · 34 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Sabres | 45c | 1,159$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.49 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…ccfbbacked Stars | 56c | 1,157$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.16 | 126 | 54.8%69 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Stars | 41c | 1,127$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$659.64 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe732…898fbacked Sabres | 60c | 1,119$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.1 | 119 | 50.4%60 W · 59 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Sabres | 44c | 1,112$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.51 | 149 | 46.3%69 W · 80 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c6…75adbacked Sabres | 47c | 1,105$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.44 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8cc…015bbacked Sabres | 43c | 1,100$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.98 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e71…eba7backed Sabres | 46c | 1,090$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$501.4 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…ee5fbacked Sabres | 46c | 1,087$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Stars | 34c | 1,075$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.54 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Sabres | 49c | 1,074$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.36 | 154 | 48.1%74 W · 80 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Stars vs. Sabresthis page
- Stars vs. Sabres: O/U 5.5Over won
- Stars vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5Over won
- Stars vs. Sabres: O/U 7.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.