NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a233c39ede075e0ecf2b362323bfd9e2c2d47e0c20ebb0a4da1d246dde201ec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $540,397
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $539,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $540,397 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 175 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 54c | 249,128$134,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114,628.04 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 46c | 200,000$92,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91,999.94 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Under | 46c | 100,000$46,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,000 | 246 | 50%123 W · 123 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…48e6backed Over | 51c | 75,211$38,016 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,195.31 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 54c | 67,756$36,546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,209.97 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 46c | 56,312$25,904 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,903.74 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 54c | 34,359$18,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,808.57 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 50c | 34,252$17,126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,125.75 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 51c | 24,816$12,615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,615.38 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Under | 50c | 12,717$6,307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,307.43 | 175 | 50.9%89 W · 86 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 50c | 10,355$5,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.79 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xacb2…b989backed Over | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 492 | 44.3%218 W · 274 L | +11.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 48c | 10,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 8,361$4,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,099.34 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 49c | 8,311$4,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,238.61 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Under | 50c | 8,200$4,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,100 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Under | 50c | 7,400$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 52c | 6,588$3,426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,161.8 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 49c | 5,302$2,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,578.18 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 50c | 5,091$2,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,545.72 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x708a…a0d8backed Under | 50c | 4,950$2,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,475 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x76e0…a0ccbacked Under | 50c | 4,800$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 3,820$1,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855.5 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 50c | 3,751$1,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,872.88 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 50c | 3,528$1,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,764 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 50c | 3,415$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.63 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 52c | 3,325$1,743 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,581.96 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Under | 50c | 2,553$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.5 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61e8…b283backed Under | 50c | 2,285$1,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.3 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 50c | 2,105$1,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,052.76 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Over | 49c | 2,032$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.16 | 649 | 44.7%290 W · 359 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$940 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 50c | 1,900$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 53c | 1,569$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.43 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 1,487$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.15 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 52c | 1,380$718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$717.6 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 50c | 1,271$636 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$635.5 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 1,201$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$573.69 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd90f…b6dabacked Under | 51c | 1,199$617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$617 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 53c | 1,097$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.48 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 52c | 1,055$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.8 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed Over | 50c | 1,050$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.14 | 560 | 43.9%246 W · 314 L | -31.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…eaa6backed Under | 49c | 1,048$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$513.52 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 50c | 1,012$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 29c | 965.07$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.79 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0176…910ebacked Under | 24c | 939.96$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.24 | 604 | 44.2%267 W · 337 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…040dbacked Under | 50c | 910$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 50c | 800$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa535…9e5ebacked Under | 48c | 722.92$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 140 | 49.3%69 W · 71 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 719.41$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.18 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Under | 49c | 700$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 47c | 617.94$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.26 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 78c | 606.7$471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.43 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 17c | 525.96$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.41 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Under | 50c | 520$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9385…2484backed Over | 49c | 482.69$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.17 | 93 | 52.7%49 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd708…b9d2backed Over | 54c | 416.67$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$191.67 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbf26…6fe2backed Over | 48c | 412.5$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 324 | 50.6%164 W · 160 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Under | 25c | 401.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbcd7…eac9backed Over | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Under | 48c | 337.5$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 328.66$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.33 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…c525backed Over | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 141 | 52.5%74 W · 67 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 47c | 271.11$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.76 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18c6…a4dbbacked Under | 48c | 270$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.6 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed Over | 54c | 231.54$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.51 | 141 | 55.3%78 W · 63 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Over | 49c | 211$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.61 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Over | 49c | 205$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.55 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 50c | 204$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.04 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5846…0388backed Over | 54c | 203.7$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Over | 49c | 202.04$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.04 | 337 | 48.1%162 W · 175 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Over | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 288 | 52.1%150 W · 138 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Under | 49c | 196$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.04 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…1baebacked Under | 51c | 190$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5ddb…513dbacked Over | 53c | 187.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.02 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 52c | 178.75$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.8 | 360 | 45%162 W · 198 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4776…1e8abacked Under | 50c | 174$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.27 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed Over | 54c | 173.4$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.14 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Under | 47c | 165.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1489…9924backed Over | 48c | 164$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.28 | 193 | 48.2%93 W · 100 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Under | 48c | 163$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.24 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 46c | 150.12$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.05 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x363e…ae45backed Under | 14c | 147$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.58 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +5.4wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5016…ada1backed Over | 54c | 139$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.94 | 293 | 52.9%155 W · 138 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…cc57backed Over | 54c | 137.5$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.25 | 47 | 63.8%30 W · 17 L | +6.3wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 50c | 133$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.5 | 2,468 | 50.5%1,247 W · 1,221 L | +38.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d24…9c89backed Over | 49c | 130$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.3 | 187 | 44.4%83 W · 104 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Under | 47c | 129.88$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e8…ed04backed Over | 48c | 125$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 63 | 42.9%27 W · 36 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e4…a1adbacked Under | 47c | 114$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.58 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Over | 52c | 113.67$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.56 | 143 | 47.6%68 W · 75 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Over | 56c | 107.2$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.17 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f6…bab8backed Under | 47c | 107$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 48c | 105.76$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x08a1…10dcbacked Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | +10.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5this page
- Bulls vs. ThunderThunder won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.