NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd598bf8cff22620f164a550e212a51f153a56eabde5035e771a5bd3ff0692cb4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $127,325
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $132,572
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $127,325 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 99 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Over | 51c | 42,891$21,874 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,016.43 | 326 | 53.1%173 W · 153 L | +19.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Over | 52c | 25,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,999.98 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Under | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 266 | 48.5%129 W · 137 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 45c | 10,000$4,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,500 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Under | 48c | 8,387$4,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,009.42 | 1,024 | 50.8%520 W · 504 L | +18.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Over | 51c | 8,000$4,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,919.97 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Under | 48c | 7,286$3,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,520.32 | 248 | 47.6%118 W · 130 L | -6.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…48e6backed Over | 52c | 7,021$3,651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,370.18 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 49c | 6,329$3,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,081.84 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa136…ea3cbacked Under | 49c | 6,122$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 55c | 5,366$2,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,414.79 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Under | 48c | 4,945$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,373.62 | 187 | 49.2%92 W · 95 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 48c | 4,408$2,109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,109.22 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Under | 48c | 4,320$2,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,073.6 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7726…4627backed Over | 51c | 4,206$2,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,046.07 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.0wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 4,121$2,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,019.32 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Under | 49c | 4,107$2,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,012.49 | 99 | 52.5%52 W · 47 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…4569backed Under | 48c | 3,850$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…6f27backed Under | 49c | 3,429$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 52c | 3,134$1,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,498.51 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 53c | 2,919$1,547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.09 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Under | 48c | 2,800$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 52c | 2,517$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,209.98 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…4767backed Under | 48c | 2,208$1,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,070.47 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e7d…eaa6backed Under | 47c | 2,168$1,019 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Under | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 86 | 47.7%41 W · 45 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Under | 48c | 2,080$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$998.4 | 285 | 54%154 W · 131 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Under | 49c | 1,963$962 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.87 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 50c | 1,877$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.55 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Under | 48c | 1,800$864 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$864.17 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Over | 52c | 1,500$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$725 | 807 | 37.7%304 W · 503 L | -33.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Over | 51c | 1,500$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$734.99 | 691 | 49.1%339 W · 352 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4244…03a6backed Under | 49c | 1,337$655 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655 | 183 | 49.2%90 W · 93 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x253d…aa62backed Over | 53c | 1,327$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.69 | 583 | 47%274 W · 309 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b102backed Under | 49c | 1,280$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$627 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 55c | 1,078$593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.95 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Over | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 47c | 971.16$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460.74 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b78…9992backed Over | 51c | 834$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.66 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 45c | 656.4$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.24 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 495.29$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.74 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…1d07backed Under | 47c | 300$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 194 | 35.1%68 W · 126 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Over | 53c | 299.32$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.68 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 48c | 279.99$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.4 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb18d…9dcabacked Under | 45c | 277.78$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -48.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 54c | 249.15$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.62 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18d5…2bb6backed Over | 56c | 216.07$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.07 | 62 | 50%31 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6116…9c40backed Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.27per pick | 44cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 49c | 208$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.92 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x450b…11d7backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 521 | 46.6%243 W · 278 L | -14.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x292e…172cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 434 | 47.5%206 W · 228 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x453d…86aabacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Over | 53c | 198.11$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.11 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbaa…c8ffbacked Over | 52c | 193.04$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.66 | 216 | 53.7%116 W · 100 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Under | 49c | 164$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 620 | 49%304 W · 316 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 47c | 152.17$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.82 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 44c | 150.15$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.07 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Over | 56c | 145$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.8 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Over | 52c | 140.59$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.68 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Under | 49c | 132.51$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.93 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa09e…9368backed Over | 52c | 128.81$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.26 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 327 | 47.4%155 W · 172 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Under | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 148 | 44.6%66 W · 82 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Under | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 273 | 45.1%123 W · 150 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf02…3a63backed Under | 49c | 122$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 329 | 47.4%156 W · 173 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Under | 45c | 107.49$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.37 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04b7…7491backed Over | 51c | 103$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.47 | 109 | 55%60 W · 49 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa380…55e3backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 30.4%14 W · 32 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Under | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x92cf…8b35backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 1,110 | 52%577 W · 533 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16ab…47f0backed Under | 48c | 89.94$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.17 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 51c | 74.87$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed Over | 55c | 72.91$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.81 | 388 | 53.4%207 W · 181 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed Under | 46c | 64.05$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.46 | 135 | 41.5%56 W · 79 L | -7.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…af90backed Over | 53c | 63.61$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 224 | 54.5%122 W · 102 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74be…8aa3backed Under | 49c | 62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.07 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42f2…fdb4backed Over | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 48c | 56.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.44 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 44c | 53.77$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7239…4389backed Under | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 437 | 50.1%219 W · 218 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0336…9aa2backed Under | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef40…b116backed Under | 49c | 39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | -6.9wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…9199backed Over | 54c | 37.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.3 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Over | 61c | 36.05$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Over | 51c | 33.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.33 | 481 | 52%250 W · 231 L | +13.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf2…740bbacked Under | 49c | 32.65$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 180 | 40.6%73 W · 107 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 48c | 32.1$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.53 | 525 | 52%273 W · 252 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4a…eee7backed Under | 48c | 32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.36 | 327 | 52.9%173 W · 154 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf558…b2cbbacked Over | 51c | 25.33$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.41 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 56c | 22.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.84 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x610b…e158backed Over | 55c | 21.82$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…8a76backed Over | 53c | 21.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.18 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc18a…b3dbbacked Under | 49c | 21.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.37 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ca…2fd9backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc97…44acbacked Over | 52c | 19.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5this page
- Bulls vs. ThunderThunder won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.