NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-19.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7df6f7e3d24238fc2e78a50cfc6af4cc854f2dd786bf524e0bffa16b54714b6a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Thunder, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $809,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $812,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $809,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 52c | 209,251$108,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100,920.32 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f03…64d6backed Bulls | 51c | 154,000$78,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75,459.84 | 1,046 | 51.1%534 W · 512 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Thunder | 48c | 104,576$50,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50,000 | 365 | 49.6%181 W · 184 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 48c | 68,091$32,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,659.43 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Thunder | 48c | 66,406$31,875 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,874.87 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb12d…f73cbacked Bulls | 52c | 55,430$29,015 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,414.89 | 96 | 55.2%53 W · 43 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 53c | 40,000$21,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,800 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 48c | 28,526$13,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,679.87 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ebf…3b02backed Bulls | 52c | 28,000$14,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,440 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacae…6798backed Thunder | 48c | 20,600$9,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,888 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Thunder | 49c | 20,408$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 166 | 40.4%67 W · 99 L | -14.6wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Thunder | 47c | 16,901$7,981 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,981.41 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 49c | 15,950$7,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,777.78 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 47c | 12,548$5,945 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,944.6 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Thunder | 49c | 11,996$5,878 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,878.17 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed Thunder | 47c | 10,843$5,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,150.08 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb8…5596backed Thunder | 49c | 10,612$5,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.35per pick | 50cpaid | -72%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Thunder | 48c | 10,440$5,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,011.28 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Bulls | 52c | 10,187$5,282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,904.94 | 1,908 | 54.5%1,040 W · 868 L | +53.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…0924backed Thunder | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 240 | 45.4%109 W · 131 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Thunder | 49c | 9,722$4,764 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,764 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Thunder | 48c | 9,064$4,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,332.09 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6f…2653backed Thunder | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3824…5f15backed Thunder | 49c | 8,163$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Bulls | 52c | 8,000$4,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,840 | 584 | 49.7%290 W · 294 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Thunder | 51c | 7,983$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.33 | 1,910 | 54.3%1,038 W · 872 L | +25.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…eca0backed Thunder | 49c | 7,551$3,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,700 | 74 | 51.4%38 W · 36 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…cef1backed Thunder | 50c | 7,359$3,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,679.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Bulls | 52c | 6,976$3,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,348.48 | 2,045 | 48.4%990 W · 1,055 L | -30.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Thunder | 49c | 6,735$3,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,300 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x59e7…0e90backed Thunder | 50c | 6,635$3,318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,317.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacab…b678backed Bulls | 50c | 6,455$3,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,227.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 46c | 6,130$2,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,828.25 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Thunder | 47c | 6,000$2,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,820 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fdb…7976backed Thunder | 50c | 5,994$2,997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,997 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…f71ebacked Bulls | 50c | 5,838$2,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc2bc…ecb0backed Thunder | 50c | 5,789$2,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,894.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b06…6c5cbacked Bulls | 50c | 5,696$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x23f0…19cbbacked Thunder | 49c | 5,514$2,702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,702 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 52c | 5,415$2,816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,599.26 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Thunder | 47c | 5,386$2,531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,531.42 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd9d2…fe21backed Thunder | 50c | 5,361$2,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,680.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76e0…a0ccbacked Thunder | 49c | 5,276$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585.36 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c52…f629backed Bulls | 50c | 5,222$2,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,611 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Thunder | 47c | 4,670$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.9 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd29…c0e2backed Bulls | 50c | 4,621$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x443b…e8bbbacked Thunder | 49c | 4,610$2,259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,259 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b3…2d03backed Thunder | 50c | 4,591$2,296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,295.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833f…0881backed Bulls | 50c | 4,367$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,183.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Bulls | 51c | 4,292$2,178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,114.21 | 389 | 46%179 W · 210 L | -13.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…4569backed Bulls | 52c | 4,200$2,184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,016 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 49cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Thunder | 47c | 4,041$1,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,904.66 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Bulls | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Bulls | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x202e…35abbacked Bulls | 50c | 3,903$1,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,951.5 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Thunder | 47c | 3,791$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800.52 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22b5…b3c4backed Thunder | 50c | 3,739$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf3…d778backed Thunder | 50c | 3,401$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +32%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Thunder | 49c | 3,319$1,626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,626.15 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf760…73d7backed Bulls | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…f98fbacked Bulls | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Bulls | 51c | 3,000$1,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,469.98 | 579 | 50.1%290 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf96…5156backed Thunder | 49c | 2,970$1,455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3f8…702fbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,967$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,483.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7438…b102backed Bulls | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4099…a6a3backed Thunder | 50c | 2,871$1,436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,435.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae6c…58c4backed Bulls | 50c | 2,855$1,428 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,427.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69f3…c7fabacked Bulls | 50c | 2,825$1,413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,412.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26f7…ecccbacked Thunder | 49c | 2,757$1,351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,351 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a0…dd9dbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,691$1,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,345.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x001a…1fb9backed Thunder | 49c | 2,606$1,277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,276.94 | 316 | 43.4%137 W · 179 L | -18.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8c…403bbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,589$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,294.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f74…cf09backed Thunder | 50c | 2,559$1,284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,283.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe48f…2260backed Bulls | 50c | 2,558$1,279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 51c | 2,553$1,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,238.83 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e38…06e5backed Thunder | 50c | 2,503$1,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4761…405ebacked Thunder | 50c | 2,451$1,226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,225.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedbd…a551backed Bulls | 50c | 2,433$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +49%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd64…4d56backed Thunder | 50c | 2,429$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…2d5ebacked Bulls | 50c | 2,417$1,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c83…534abacked Bulls | 50c | 2,357$1,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc79…99d5backed Thunder | 50c | 2,335$1,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0631…2841backed Thunder | 50c | 2,330$1,165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,165 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…4bbbbacked Thunder | 50c | 2,271$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Thunder | 47c | 2,242$1,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,053.69 | 292 | 45.5%133 W · 159 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94b2…69adbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,208$1,104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,104 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x975b…3760backed Thunder | 47c | 2,200$1,034 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be4…23a8backed Bulls | 50c | 2,191$1,096 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.5 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +50%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ddb…d047backed Thunder | 50c | 2,162$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,081 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d13…92f3backed Thunder | 48c | 2,133$1,024 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,024 | 702 | 46.4%326 W · 376 L | -20.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9e…c9acbacked Thunder | 51c | 2,131$1,087 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,087.47 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…3cf0backed Bulls | 50c | 2,067$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…2c8bbacked Bulls | 51c | 2,017$1,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$991.98 | 357 | 49.6%177 W · 180 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Bulls | 52c | 2,000$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf284…867bbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,902$951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$951 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8883…767ebacked Bulls | 50c | 1,862$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…109cbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,834$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$917 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56ad…14cdbacked Bulls | 50c | 1,786$893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Thunder | 49c | 1,774$874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$873.87 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4930…d2efbacked Thunder | 50c | 1,772$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)this page
- Bulls vs. ThunderThunder won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.