NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-18.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb8fcead7faacfc1186abb4a8b69b39680b18172f4a3e9f413f55b263b5a51e6f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Thunder, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $118,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $118,175
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $118,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 119 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Bulls | 49c | 30,000$14,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,300 | 431 | 48.7%210 W · 221 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Thunder | 51c | 26,325$13,426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,425.64 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Thunder | 51c | 15,000$7,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,649.99 | 175 | 54.9%96 W · 79 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed Thunder | 54c | 12,000$6,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,479.93 | 1,556 | 52.8%822 W · 734 L | +40.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Bulls | 47c | 11,814$5,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,261.57 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 52c | 8,203$4,267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,267.2 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Thunder | 53c | 6,504$3,447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,446.83 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Bulls | 47c | 6,115$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,266.45 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x194f…2005backed Thunder | 51c | 6,088$3,105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,104.88 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea2…03c8backed Bulls | 49c | 5,493$2,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,801.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Bulls | 49c | 4,490$2,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,289.8 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Bulls | 48c | 3,957$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,057.41 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 46c | 3,824$1,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.5 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Bulls | 48c | 3,715$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.34 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Thunder | 52c | 3,448$1,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,786.88 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 48c | 3,372$1,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,761.25 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b42…62afbacked Thunder | 54c | 3,241$1,750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,750 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 47c | 3,091$1,447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,643.44 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d69…6f27backed Thunder | 53c | 2,970$1,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,574 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1366…f38abacked Bulls | 49c | 2,782$1,363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…c48fbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,308$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Thunder | 52c | 2,016$1,048 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,048.29 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -6.6wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Bulls | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000 | 485 | 46.4%225 W · 260 L | -14.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bf…f357backed Bulls | 49c | 1,600$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816 | 169 | 53.3%90 W · 79 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Bulls | 48c | 1,076$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$563.27 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab2…8fdabacked Bulls | 49c | 964.99$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.14 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Thunder | 53c | 782.98$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.4 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Bulls | 46c | 781.12$359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$421.8 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Bulls | 49c | 706.23$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.63 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 47c | 680.16$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$359.2 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 46c | 675.04$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.37 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Thunder | 53c | 660.38$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Thunder | 52c | 639.78$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.69 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Thunder | 52c | 635.52$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.73 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff5…f136backed Thunder | 56c | 625$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 260 | 48.1%125 W · 135 L | -15.1wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3761…3d9dbacked Thunder | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a3…e321backed Bulls | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +237.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1690…8c4dbacked Thunder | 75c | 595.9$449 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.23 | 70 | 64.3%45 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Bulls | 24c | 550$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$418 | 522 | 30.3%158 W · 364 L | +20.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 49c | 543.64$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.68 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Bulls | 48c | 520.06$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.08 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Bulls | 48c | 515.62$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.64 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…e3b4backed Thunder | 52c | 500$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Bulls | 46c | 490$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.6 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…ef07backed Thunder | 51c | 450.98$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x031a…50b7backed Thunder | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 93 | 57%53 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9738backed Thunder | 56c | 376.7$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.95 | 958 | 48.7%467 W · 491 L | +24.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Thunder | 55c | 360.22$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.12 | 890 | 48.8%434 W · 456 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed Thunder | 51c | 359.82$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.51 | 259 | 51.4%133 W · 126 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Thunder | 52c | 358.31$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…697abacked Bulls | 46c | 330$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.2 | 206 | 50%103 W · 103 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Thunder | 53c | 300$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159 | 272 | 46.7%127 W · 145 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 51c | 300$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.5 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…0cb9backed Thunder | 74c | 248.86$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.81 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Bulls | 49c | 225.12$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.81 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Bulls | 51c | 225.06$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.6 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd62d…5992backed Bulls | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 378 | 52.9%200 W · 178 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…c7f7backed Thunder | 54c | 202.27$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 92 | 60.9%56 W · 36 L | +10.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Bulls | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Thunder | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Bulls | 48c | 191.94$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.81 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Bulls | 48c | 185.41$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.32 | 4,878 | 48%2,341 W · 2,537 L | +61.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67f4…87bdbacked Thunder | 55c | 181.82$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e70…14babacked Bulls | 45c | 175.45$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.5 | 166 | 42.2%70 W · 96 L | -11.2wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea78…a74ebacked Bulls | 46c | 153$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44ca…907cbacked Bulls | 46c | 153$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.62 | 456 | 46.7%213 W · 243 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Bulls | 45c | 133.84$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.84 | 1,633 | 41.2%672 W · 961 L | +26.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Bulls | 47c | 122.28$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.03 | 509 | 48.5%247 W · 262 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda21…8646backed Bulls | 48c | 117$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.84 | 625 | 41.9%262 W · 363 L | -32.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Bulls | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe905…0efbbacked Bulls | 49c | 103.1$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.58 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb89b…a39dbacked Bulls | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 114 | 53.5%61 W · 53 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Bulls | 49c | 101.8$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.92 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Thunder | 51c | 99.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.33 | 533 | 39.6%211 W · 322 L | -39.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d87…4e0dbacked Thunder | 48c | 99$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.37 | 342 | 47.7%163 W · 179 L | -8.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Thunder | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 653 | 49.9%326 W · 327 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ec…fa43backed Thunder | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 610 | 56.1%342 W · 268 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…629fbacked Thunder | 55c | 90.81$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.75 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46d3…2c20backed Thunder | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 332 | 51.2%170 W · 162 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Bulls | 46c | 78.97$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.41 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Bulls | 25c | 78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 804 | 40.3%324 W · 480 L | +27.4wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fbd…3d15backed Bulls | 44c | 73.27$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.03 | 762 | 47.1%359 W · 403 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f76…9798backed Bulls | 70c | 70.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.92 | 135 | 54.8%74 W · 61 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Bulls | 25c | 62.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 330 | 30.9%102 W · 228 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe33d…9512backed Bulls | 46c | 61.66$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.06 | 264 | 50%132 W · 132 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Bulls | 29c | 60.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.97 | 786 | 39.2%308 W · 478 L | +27.5wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Bulls | 48c | 60.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.45 | 423 | 52.5%222 W · 201 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Bulls | 46c | 59.96$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc036…30d4backed Thunder | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 519 | 46.8%243 W · 276 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Bulls | 46c | 55.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.81 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Thunder | 52c | 54.84$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.72 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Thunder | 55c | 54.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb51…733cbacked Bulls | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Bulls | 48c | 51.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 1,322 | 49.9%660 W · 662 L | +13.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Thunder | 50c | 50$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 28 | 78.6%22 W · 6 L | +7.0wins | +0.25per pick | 54cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…4a2cbacked Thunder | 54c | 46.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.61 | 319 | 47.6%152 W · 167 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4827…080dbacked Bulls | 50c | 46$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b6…4587backed Bulls | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.4wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked Thunder | 52c | 42.31$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 1,573 | 53.4%840 W · 733 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Thunder | 35c | 41.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.62 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)this page
- Bulls vs. ThunderThunder won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.