NBA · resolved market
Spread: Thunder (-20.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca06a7fd72ca929526bb53253649555f947fe67ae31eb3f1aaea94b2773b5692
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bullsof Thunder, Bulls
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $76,156
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $82,887
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $76,156 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 173 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6a32…0086backed Bulls | 56c | 6,578$3,658 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,919.84 | 1,332 | 51.2%682 W · 650 L | +7.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Thunder | 26c | 5,998$1,571 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,570.66 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Bulls | 55c | 5,809$3,176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,633.05 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Bulls | 54c | 4,176$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,926.32 | 4,325 | 47%2,031 W · 2,294 L | -69.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00d5…ed84backed Bulls | 54c | 3,703$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,703.37 | 170 | 50%85 W · 85 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Thunder | 30c | 3,397$1,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,029.42 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Thunder | 36c | 3,222$1,172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,172.07 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Thunder | 45c | 2,927$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.1 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed Bulls | 55c | 2,549$1,402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,146.97 | 81 | 54.3%44 W · 37 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Thunder | 47c | 2,500$1,175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,174.97 | 129 | 45.7%59 W · 70 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Thunder | 46c | 2,497$1,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,137.77 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x844e…4efdbacked Bulls | 51c | 2,296$1,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,135.12 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Thunder | 46c | 2,174$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 128 | 50%64 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5aa…9134backed Bulls | 54c | 2,139$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$983.94 | 199 | 57.8%115 W · 84 L | +18.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe21e…f216backed Thunder | 46c | 1,956$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.56 | 120 | 58.3%70 W · 50 L | +11.9wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…134bbacked Bulls | 55c | 1,645$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.15 | 112 | 35.7%40 W · 72 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Thunder | 9c | 1,384$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.93 | 263 | 37.3%98 W · 165 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Bulls | 55c | 1,087$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.86 | 2,949 | 51.5%1,519 W · 1,430 L | +119.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3918…b552backed Bulls | 69c | 999.99$690 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310 | 140 | 46.4%65 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Thunder | 46c | 995$458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.7 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Thunder | 39c | 849.82$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.9 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ede…6c27backed Thunder | 44c | 807.99$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.52 | 451 | 51.4%232 W · 219 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Bulls | 55c | 792.51$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.97 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Bulls | 56c | 785.26$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.29 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Bulls | 56c | 708.14$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.58 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5966…af5dbacked Bulls | 53c | 661$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.67 | 313 | 54.3%170 W · 143 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa070…1af3backed Thunder | 46c | 659$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.14 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Bulls | 49c | 655.3$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.79 | 3,120 | 44.7%1,394 W · 1,726 L | -7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…bbb0backed Bulls | 61c | 651.77$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.71 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Bulls | 54c | 641.9$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.81 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Bulls | 53c | 600$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282 | 870 | 49.3%429 W · 441 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Bulls | 55c | 600$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Thunder | 45c | 555.56$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Thunder | 45c | 551.8$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.31 | 162 | 42.6%69 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Thunder | 41c | 436$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.87 | 1,384 | 39.4%545 W · 839 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed Thunder | 46c | 434.78$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 762 | 50.4%384 W · 378 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8db2…f8a2backed Thunder | 33c | 417.27$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0dc…586cbacked Bulls | 56c | 385.8$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.8 | 288 | 38.2%110 W · 178 L | -17.6wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Thunder | 45c | 354.94$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.9 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c61…db4bbacked Bulls | 75c | 335.35$252 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.36 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Thunder | 45c | 334$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.3 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8f…5259backed Thunder | 45c | 280$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a96…0d7cbacked Bulls | 54c | 267.37$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.99 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Thunder | 46c | 265$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 141 | 45.4%64 W · 77 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef86…5afcbacked Thunder | 46c | 265$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.9 | 133 | 52.6%70 W · 63 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Thunder | 24c | 237.21$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.74 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Thunder | 51c | 233.99$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.98 | 1,200 | 51.6%619 W · 581 L | +66.5wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x49fa…f904backed Thunder | 46c | 217.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 36.2%63 W · 111 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb29…64f3backed Bulls | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f10…0cb9backed Thunder | 54c | 189.23$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.15 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 63cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Bulls | 53c | 188.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.02 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Thunder | 46c | 187$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.02 | 223 | 51.6%115 W · 108 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8db…e491backed Thunder | 47c | 186$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.42 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84a6…4f84backed Bulls | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe32f…9497backed Thunder | 47c | 185$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.95 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Thunder | 60c | 182.2$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109 | 311 | 51.1%159 W · 152 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5127…de1ebacked Bulls | 55c | 182$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 179 | 44.1%79 W · 100 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bae…b3c3backed Thunder | 47c | 181$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.07 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbee9…a01abacked Thunder | 47c | 179$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.13 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eaf…d87dbacked Thunder | 47c | 177$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Bulls | 54c | 173.36$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.38 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Thunder | 47c | 167.37$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.52 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Bulls | 53c | 154.48$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.61 | 310 | 46.8%145 W · 165 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c14…f7eabacked Thunder | 47c | 145$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.15 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…c125backed Thunder | 45c | 144.44$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 202 | 47.5%96 W · 106 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x187b…8848backed Bulls | 56c | 142.86$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.86 | 722 | 50.6%365 W · 357 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9997…c15dbacked Thunder | 46c | 142$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.32 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…9076backed Thunder | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9125…e6ebbacked Thunder | 47c | 137$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.39 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Bulls | 54c | 135.22$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.2 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cc1…57a1backed Thunder | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -5.4wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2185…b40cbacked Thunder | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 156 | 50.6%79 W · 77 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5818…39e2backed Thunder | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Thunder | 47c | 134$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.98 | 1,522 | 49.6%755 W · 767 L | +27.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x960d…4629backed Thunder | 46c | 134$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x77a7…bb11backed Thunder | 45c | 133.97$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.29 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…f5f5backed Thunder | 47c | 132$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Bulls | 53c | 115.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.52 | 1,197 | 47.5%569 W · 628 L | -32.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Thunder | 45c | 113$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Thunder | 45c | 113$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.85 | 544 | 43%234 W · 310 L | -18.0wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Thunder | 34c | 106.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.06 | 1,532 | 42.5%651 W · 881 L | -17.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8034…2463backed Thunder | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Bulls | 54c | 103.91$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.81 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Bulls | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 693 | 37.8%262 W · 431 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7157…7ba4backed Bulls | 45c | 99.99$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 232 | 46.1%107 W · 125 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Bulls | 53c | 95.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.01 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce69…c39dbacked Bulls | 54c | 88$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Bulls | 53c | 85.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.41 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0654…f5a9backed Thunder | 47c | 85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.95 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6800…b86bbacked Bulls | 54c | 84$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +37.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88ba…b99abacked Thunder | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 100 | 50%50 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…9805backed Bulls | 54c | 80$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.8 | 229 | 42.8%98 W · 131 L | -9.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc9a…7f41backed Bulls | 54c | 78$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…379fbacked Thunder | 20c | 77.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 302 | 24.8%75 W · 227 L | +15.5wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | +43.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Thunder | 45c | 77.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.68 | 293 | 44.4%130 W · 163 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Thunder | 47c | 76.07$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.72 | 3,551 | 46.8%1,663 W · 1,888 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Thunder | 40c | 75.06$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 620 | 47.3%293 W · 327 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c7c…e228backed Bulls | 54c | 74$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08f1…705cbacked Thunder | 47c | 71$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.37 | 162 | 45.1%73 W · 89 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…3a77backed Thunder | 45c | 69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.05 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)this page
- Bulls vs. ThunderThunder won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.