NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a8bb087172fc9d7df997ef7f3c48db0a24042b324a15ed362bb78599562a45f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,063
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,135
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,063 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 44c | 11,271$4,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,925.04 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 57c | 10,943$6,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,705.53 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Over | 55c | 5,381$2,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,421.54 | 277 | 47.7%132 W · 145 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x558f…1a56backed Over | 57c | 3,481$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,496.95 | 108 | 60.2%65 W · 43 L | +8.6wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +109.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 2,932$1,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270.38 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 45c | 1,302$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$587.6 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 43c | 921.53$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.26 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb70d…5925backed Over | 53c | 676.55$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.53 | 176 | 43.2%76 W · 100 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 43c | 444.25$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.03 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 57c | 431.08$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.77 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 54c | 353.93$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.07 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 55c | 310.69$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.69 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1015…c873backed Over | 55c | 263.49$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.57 | 627 | 44.5%279 W · 348 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 47c | 249.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.33 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 48c | 234.27$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.63 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f43…c0c2backed Over | 54c | 230$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.8 | 234 | 35.9%84 W · 150 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Under | 42c | 150.05$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.02 | 1,141 | 48%548 W · 593 L | +9.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Over | 53c | 143.22$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.31 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 142.33$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.9 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Under | 47c | 137.98$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 289 | 49.1%142 W · 147 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…2e44backed Under | 47c | 132.18$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.23 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Over | 55c | 110.04$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.52 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 45c | 105$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.75 | 3,591 | 50.1%1,798 W · 1,793 L | +21.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd63e…0d52backed Under | 54c | 103.7$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 165 | 55.2%91 W · 74 L | -12.1wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 45c | 91.24$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x061e…81e0backed Over | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.43 | 198 | 49%97 W · 101 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Under | 47c | 68.53$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.49 | 236 | 51.3%121 W · 115 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 58c | 68.39$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Under | 51c | 66.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.52 | 656 | 30.2%198 W · 458 L | -86.7wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 61.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.32 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 57c | 60.3$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.65 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Under | 48c | 59.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 554 | 44.4%246 W · 308 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 45c | 54.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Over | 57c | 53.95$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 81 | 34.6%28 W · 53 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 58c | 53.91$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.91 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1480…6e8dbacked Over | 52c | 48.9$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 584 | 50.2%293 W · 291 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 57c | 48.5$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Under | 47c | 47.91$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 248 | 41.9%104 W · 144 L | -9.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…401cbacked Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x898f…e9f2backed Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Over | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 43c | 33.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.39 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2502…87e5backed Over | 57c | 30.85$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a34…56cfbacked Over | 55c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.6 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -9.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -34%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Over | 52c | 28.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.82 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefcb…f64abacked Under | 47c | 28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.16 | 43 | 32.6%14 W · 29 L | -7.2wins | -0.17per pick | 49cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8fa7…d4febacked Over | 55c | 27.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Under | 53c | 25$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.25 | 355 | 46.5%165 W · 190 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 53c | 24.04$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.3 | 813 | 49.4%402 W · 411 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed Over | 64c | 20.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -8.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5this page
- Bulls vs. ThunderThunder won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.