NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ba7da0cdb31b422e35b9c93d8bcff0d266465ff8f83bf6a7b0dd05afac255ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $342,305
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $343,014
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $342,305 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 227 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9ec3…3cdcbacked Under | 44c | 83,469$36,726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,726.26 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad95…ce80backed Under | 44c | 80,095$35,242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,241.8 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc127…d9fbbacked Under | 44c | 64,953$28,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,579.32 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339b…3c2dbacked Over | 56c | 62,155$34,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,348.19 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c32…a114backed Over | 56c | 42,141$23,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18,542.04 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +84%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…7102backed Over | 56c | 39,638$22,197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,440.72 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x562f…9c04backed Over | 56c | 38,540$21,582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,957.6 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaba0…52cabacked Over | 56c | 37,913$21,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,681.72 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 30,583$13,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,444.84 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Over | 54c | 14,146$7,617 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,529.49 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9c8…04febacked Over | 55c | 12,358$6,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,596.38 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 43c | 10,476$4,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,504.83 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Over | 58c | 10,296$5,933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,363.34 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Over | 57c | 6,791$3,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,914.93 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6612…09febacked Under | 49c | 6,759$3,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,311.91 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd92…0bbcbacked Over | 51c | 6,637$3,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,252.13 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +98.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1e…bb68backed Over | 52c | 5,783$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.99 | 95 | 56.8%54 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 45c | 5,771$2,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,573.39 | 2,630 | 36.7%966 W · 1,664 L | -119.1wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec3…dbbbbacked Under | 49c | 5,025$2,462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,462.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1957…4bb3backed Over | 51c | 4,980$2,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,440.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe1…b037backed Under | 49c | 4,702$2,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,303.98 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 58c | 4,496$2,587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,909.46 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ca1…f8b1backed Over | 51c | 3,851$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,886.99 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.3wins | +0.33per pick | 52cpaid | +63.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 57c | 3,815$2,164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,651.36 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 45c | 3,736$1,686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,685.71 | 3,668 | 41.9%1,538 W · 2,130 L | -70.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab78…d293backed Under | 49c | 3,346$1,640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,639.54 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd0b9…2b6cbacked Over | 51c | 3,099$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,518.51 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +95.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89bd…3f72backed Under | 45c | 2,393$1,077 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,076.82 | 112 | 43.8%49 W · 63 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbd…d6f0backed Over | 58c | 2,287$1,326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960.57 | 72 | 48.6%35 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 44c | 2,200$965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$965 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 42c | 2,107$895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.75 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1249…6edebacked Over | 51c | 1,861$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.89 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 58c | 1,836$1,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$771.17 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x65b3…ac1cbacked Over | 51c | 1,603$818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.47 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x058e…a2acbacked Under | 44c | 1,348$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 60 | 31.7%19 W · 41 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x104b…d04abacked Under | 49c | 1,206$591 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$590.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x993b…ecfbbacked Under | 43c | 1,174$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.45 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7499…0cf3backed Under | 49c | 1,036$508 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$507.64 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc43…96d3backed Over | 50c | 1,030$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.99 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…dadebacked Over | 56c | 1,015$568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.6 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Over | 55c | 999.95$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.98 | 409 | 47.7%195 W · 214 L | -13.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b2…f4c3backed Over | 56c | 972$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf3b…8d68backed Over | 51c | 909$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 45c | 892.35$402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$401.56 | 1,715 | 44.5%764 W · 951 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 56c | 890.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.54 | 159 | 52.8%84 W · 75 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd830…a592backed Over | 56c | 828$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dbe…41e9backed Over | 56c | 719$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe02d…45e5backed Over | 56c | 708$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.52 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa7…d4dbbacked Over | 56c | 691$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.04 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64db…325bbacked Under | 44c | 681.82$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,259 | 48.7%613 W · 646 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Over | 58c | 655$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.1 | 2,078 | 53.6%1,113 W · 965 L | +44.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdc0…5b13backed Over | 56c | 633$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.52 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…7faebacked Over | 56c | 614$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 46c | 578.68$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.3 | 950 | 47.2%448 W · 502 L | -28.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 40c | 557.07$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.59 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2420…32dabacked Over | 56c | 535$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9438…3d6abacked Under | 44c | 522.56$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.53 | 389 | 47.6%185 W · 204 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 45c | 506.5$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.45 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 45c | 500$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225 | 1,475 | 51.3%756 W · 719 L | +35.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5919…95acbacked Under | 48c | 500$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.18 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd500…4568backed Over | 55c | 478.1$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ef0…62fdbacked Over | 56c | 461$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.84 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0556…132abacked Under | 48c | 460$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.8 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under | 46c | 419.4$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.26 | 2,736 | 46.7%1,277 W · 1,459 L | -67.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929e…f3b8backed Over | 56c | 419$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Over | 52c | 415.38$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.38 | 492 | 46.3%228 W · 264 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb27…0315backed Under | 49c | 387$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.63 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f0…a7b7backed Over | 56c | 360$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 45c | 329$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.05 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6129…0bdebacked Over | 56c | 291$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.04 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +32.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 47c | 285.61$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.18 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf63…073cbacked Under | 49c | 275$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c50…2de6backed Under | 45c | 273$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.85 | 168 | 45.2%76 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Over | 55c | 271.98$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.39 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Over | 54c | 260.5$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.83 | 806 | 53.6%432 W · 374 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 46c | 252.91$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 48c | 244.33$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.28 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f59…1176backed Over | 56c | 232$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.08 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 50cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Over | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 269 | 56.1%151 W · 118 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Over | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.14 | 141 | 56.7%80 W · 61 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…d9f3backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3b…c79fbacked Under | 49c | 220$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ae…275dbacked Over | 56c | 218$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.92 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9175…823fbacked Over | 51c | 217.54$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf138…a8b4backed Over | 51c | 213.46$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad7…63a1backed Under | 49c | 211$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.39 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb996…038cbacked Under | 45c | 204$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.8 | 131 | 48.9%64 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee94…b980backed Under | 49c | 204$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 38c | 203.86$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.96 | 228 | 36.4%83 W · 145 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f3…685cbacked Over | 73c | 200$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 125 | 58.4%73 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Over | 56c | 182.6$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.34 | 492 | 49.8%245 W · 247 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c29…ed84backed Under | 48c | 172.95$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.42 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f7…d9adbacked Under | 49c | 170$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x774f…6571backed Under | 43c | 170$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 58c | 163.6$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.71 | 1,562 | 47.4%741 W · 821 L | -6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 44c | 160$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.4 | 1,163 | 52.8%614 W · 549 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 1,393 | 48.3%673 W · 720 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Over | 54c | 157.11$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.27 | 261 | 49.4%129 W · 132 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b7…c770backed Under | 43c | 156$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 45c | 151.42$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.14 | 516 | 47.5%245 W · 271 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5this page
- Bulls vs. ThunderThunder won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5Over won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.