NBA · resolved market
Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd7b38569ad0585894122ff624046c5e2bb2f6fdd9dc05710ec654294cbbc4acc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $596,730
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $616,574
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $596,730 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 202 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4924…3782backed Over | 52c | 280,944$145,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134,949.4 | 874 | 51.5%450 W · 424 L | +15.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b9c…7e44backed Under | 48c | 192,298$92,303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92,303.16 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 116,854$60,763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,091.42 | 1,915 | 49.3%944 W · 971 L | +19.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 48c | 94,475$45,348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,347.91 | 662 | 48.5%321 W · 341 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 48c | 90,480$43,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,438.81 | 4,682 | 49.6%2,324 W · 2,358 L | +27.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6e…48e6backed Over | 50c | 46,142$23,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,070.92 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +3.7wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb45a…192cbacked Under | 49c | 33,652$16,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,489.52 | 545 | 39.6%216 W · 329 L | -28.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed Over | 51c | 20,000$10,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,800 | 603 | 51.4%310 W · 293 L | +16.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 48c | 19,000$9,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,120 | 88 | 39.8%35 W · 53 L | -7.0wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3d…3735backed Over | 55c | 12,774$6,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,801.87 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +38.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Under | 49c | 12,584$6,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,158.15 | 2,507 | 48.6%1,219 W · 1,288 L | +19.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08c5…43edbacked Over | 51c | 10,500$5,355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,145 | 443 | 52.4%232 W · 211 L | +10.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc37…2f65backed Under | 50c | 6,969$3,480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,480 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Under | 49c | 6,939$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,400 | 219 | 43.4%95 W · 124 L | -12.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Under | 50c | 6,112$3,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,028.72 | 4,781 | 50.5%2,414 W · 2,367 L | +20.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Under | 50c | 5,564$2,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,782 | 348 | 54%188 W · 160 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x78bb…591fbacked Under | 50c | 5,240$2,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594 | 304 | 46.7%142 W · 162 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Over | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,450 | 1,759 | 61.7%1,085 W · 674 L | +127.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 50c | 4,160$2,061 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,061.31 | 3,902 | 47.8%1,864 W · 2,038 L | -17.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 4,062$1,898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,898.09 | 5,053 | 50.9%2,570 W · 2,483 L | +110.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…c3c6backed Over | 51c | 4,000$2,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,960 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked Under | 50c | 3,863$1,932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,931.5 | 377 | 47.5%179 W · 198 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Under | 50c | 3,826$1,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,900.13 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 3,734$1,869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,869.33 | 2,346 | 48.7%1,142 W · 1,204 L | -14.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Under | 48c | 2,961$1,419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,419.29 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 52c | 2,354$1,224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,129.85 | 1,194 | 48.8%583 W · 611 L | -22.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882a…cde2backed Over | 51c | 2,092$1,067 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.96 | 229 | 48.5%111 W · 118 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Under | 48c | 1,500$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.87 | 87 | 54%47 W · 40 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6557…0999backed Over | 50c | 1,482$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$741 | 139 | 46.8%65 W · 74 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 49c | 1,357$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.18 | 8,988 | 47.5%4,268 W · 4,720 L | +96.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7c…bc06backed Over | 47c | 1,286$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd678…c9f4backed Over | 47c | 1,270$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$673.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9717…77b2backed Over | 47c | 1,268$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$672.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc01b…f3cfbacked Over | 46c | 1,218$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$657.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 52c | 1,207$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$583.44 | 2,435 | 49.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L | +30.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Over | 52c | 1,154$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$553.85 | 209 | 63.2%132 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under | 50c | 1,100$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 874 | 53.3%466 W · 408 L | +19.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3242…0e0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,058$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.69 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5157…942bbacked Under | 48c | 1,031$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.85 | 71 | 45.1%32 W · 39 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47a6…69e0backed Under | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 387 | 50.4%195 W · 192 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…a0d9backed Over | 51c | 981$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$480.69 | 274 | 55.5%152 W · 122 L | +15.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 51c | 789$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.17 | 1,150 | 49.5%569 W · 581 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e00…eb46backed Under | 49c | 703.41$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.67 | 363 | 51.2%186 W · 177 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Under | 48c | 700$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336 | 493 | 45.2%223 W · 270 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Over | 52c | 653.08$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.32 | 1,084 | 50%542 W · 542 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 52c | 650.88$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.26 | 1,286 | 50.8%653 W · 633 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 52c | 645.98$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.92 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd239…2083backed Under | 49c | 643.21$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313 | 155 | 43.2%67 W · 88 L | -7.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 48c | 583.21$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.06 | 1,901 | 48.7%925 W · 976 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 515.91$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.16 | 2,400 | 43.6%1,046 W · 1,354 L | -82.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a2b…c97cbacked Under | 48c | 500$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 72 | 52.8%38 W · 34 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Over | 52c | 492.05$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.18 | 920 | 58%534 W · 386 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 55c | 484.31$267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.44 | 3,341 | 53.4%1,785 W · 1,556 L | +108.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 52c | 481.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.81 | 564 | 47.9%270 W · 294 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Under | 49c | 441.83$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.5 | 152 | 40.8%62 W · 90 L | -12.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 52c | 440.25$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.32 | 1,044 | 47.5%496 W · 548 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cec…5326backed Under | 50c | 429$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.5 | 686 | 45.5%312 W · 374 L | -22.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d8c…35b0backed Under | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ec…5412backed Over | 51c | 392.12$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.14 | 273 | 59%161 W · 112 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Under | 49c | 367.98$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.02 | 609 | 45.8%279 W · 330 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Over | 52c | 339.83$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.12 | 898 | 53.1%477 W · 421 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f0…c9e4backed Over | 51c | 323$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.27 | 238 | 50.4%120 W · 118 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked Over | 52c | 317.31$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.31 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf05d…ac5ebacked Over | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 251 | 55%138 W · 113 L | +9.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba9…4fa1backed Over | 52c | 291.51$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.92 | 153 | 53.6%82 W · 71 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cc0…1912backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Under | 50c | 285$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.5 | 250 | 49.2%123 W · 127 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Under | 50c | 238.74$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.37 | 553 | 47.9%265 W · 288 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Under | 49c | 211.99$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.83 | 474 | 36.7%174 W · 300 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 46c | 206.83$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.06 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabde…d41fbacked Over | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 419 | 47.7%200 W · 219 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee62…bc6abacked Under | 49c | 199.22$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 267 | 45.3%121 W · 146 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9510…16dfbacked Over | 52c | 196.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.15 | 304 | 53.3%162 W · 142 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Under | 12c | 195.93$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.81 | 208 | 37.5%78 W · 130 L | +38.2wins | +0.18per pick | 19cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b6…d7cebacked Under | 49c | 195.44$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.39 | 75 | 42.7%32 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e4a…fcd8backed Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 250 | 49.6%124 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Over | 51c | 189.39$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 917 | 46.9%430 W · 487 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 52c | 180.97$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.72 | 414 | 49.3%204 W · 210 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x540f…92bebacked Under | 49c | 163.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.36 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f49…fec0backed Over | 75c | 162.64$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.94 | 378 | 48.7%184 W · 194 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…f512backed Under | 49c | 162.51$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.63 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Under | 48c | 156$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.58 | 2,753 | 50.7%1,396 W · 1,357 L | +47.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaf6…1a9bbacked Under | 48c | 151.79$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.86 | 786 | 48.7%383 W · 403 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 48c | 150.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.03 | 313 | 45.7%143 W · 170 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd8…9908backed Over | 51c | 150$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.5 | 225 | 52.4%118 W · 107 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Over | 52c | 147.12$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.62 | 576 | 50%288 W · 288 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 52c | 140$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.9 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d8e…3d55backed Under | 49c | 135.71$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 125 | 41.6%52 W · 73 L | -9.3wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Under | 49c | 131$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.19 | 162 | 49.4%80 W · 82 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04c…c640backed Over | 52c | 125.32$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.35 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc1c…debbbacked Over | 52c | 125$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 204 | 43.6%89 W · 115 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa18f…c57abacked Over | 54c | 111.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94bb…c320backed Under | 48c | 109.16$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 378 | 45%170 W · 208 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…7da7backed Under | 49c | 102.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 130 | 38.5%50 W · 80 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -23%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 660 | 46.4%306 W · 354 L | -21.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 2,657 | 49.6%1,319 W · 1,338 L | +42.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 952 | 60.2%573 W · 379 L | +37.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…8b45backed Under | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 17 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 240.5this page
- Bulls vs. ThunderThunder won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: 1H MoneylineBulls won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 235.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 236.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 237.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 238.5Over won
- Bulls vs. Thunder: O/U 239.5Over won
- Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Isaiah Hartenstein: Assists O/U 3.5No won
- Matas Buzelis: Points O/U 18.5No won
- Nick Richards: Points O/U 9.5No won
- Nick Richards: Rebounds O/U 7.5No won
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5No won
- Spread: Thunder (-18.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-19.5)Bulls won
- Spread: Thunder (-20.5)Bulls won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.