TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Golden Knightsof Blackhawks, Golden Knights
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,153,115

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,153,115 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x03e8…1697backed Blackhawks34c328,479$111,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$111,289.7667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Golden Knights66c147,059$97,059 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50,000.063844.7%17 W · 21 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick54cpaid-18.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Blackhawks33c96,298$31,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,984.231,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Golden Knights67c32,537$21,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,777.7161950.1%310 W · 309 L-7.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa710…23c4backed Golden Knights67c31,288$21,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,222.8715054.7%82 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc257…358ebacked Blackhawks34c30,021$10,207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,207.0848545.4%220 W · 265 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed Golden Knights66c22,715$14,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,723.0818641.9%78 W · 108 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed Golden Knights67c21,185$14,194 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,991.052540%10 W · 15 L-4.1wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-29.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb859…e244backed Blackhawks33c20,000$6,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,60011052.7%58 W · 52 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Golden Knights66c19,847$13,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,748.459450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b6f…ce60backed Golden Knights66c18,458$12,182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,275.822853.6%15 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe790…eadcbacked Golden Knights69c18,177$12,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,577.0527448.9%134 W · 140 L-6.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7c59…0c2cbacked Blackhawks4c17,190$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$744.731656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9c…8824backed Blackhawks5c17,189$859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859.471145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick36cpaid-26.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Golden Knights67c16,228$10,807 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,420.0845751.6%236 W · 221 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6b1…78fdbacked Golden Knights66c14,750$9,735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,0155639.3%22 W · 34 L-4.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-12.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc94a…cfcabacked Golden Knights66c14,220$9,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,834.71163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+37.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Golden Knights66c11,817$7,799 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,017.784551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Golden Knights66c11,000$7,260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,7401,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Golden Knights66c10,000$6,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,4005046%23 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+0.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Golden Knights66c9,034$6,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,029.681,30152.6%684 W · 617 L+23.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Golden Knights66c8,785$5,836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,948.622,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Golden Knights66c7,783$5,138 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,645.231,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Golden Knights66c7,576$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,575.7632151.7%166 W · 155 L-1.5wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked Golden Knights66c7,375$4,868 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,507.510146.5%47 W · 54 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed Golden Knights66c7,058$4,658 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,399.62966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+13.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Golden Knights66c6,389$4,216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,173.082,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed Golden Knights66c5,900$3,894 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,0061127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Golden Knights67c5,555$3,722 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,833.1189547%421 W · 474 L-18.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Blackhawks33c5,238$1,729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.6314650.7%74 W · 72 L+8.5wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf7c4…5919backed Blackhawks1c5,203$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5354418%98 W · 446 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick17cpaid-6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbce9…03e9backed Blackhawks0c4,600$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.452504.8%12 W · 238 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick2cpaid+159.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd37…e117backed Blackhawks0c4,550$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.750%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Golden Knights66c4,546$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,545.6452050%260 W · 260 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbd1e…ff14backed Golden Knights69c3,921$2,713 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,208.5148050.6%243 W · 237 L+12.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Golden Knights66c3,753$2,481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.9191945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad15…ee7fbacked Golden Knights68c3,701$2,517 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,184.476946.4%32 W · 37 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-4.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b7a…bc22backed Blackhawks35c3,619$1,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,25035829.3%105 W · 253 L-12.5wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-12.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Blackhawks31c3,557$1,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.583652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x17f1…af18backed Blackhawks7c3,555$260 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$259.974912.2%6 W · 43 L+2.4wins+0.05per pick7cpaid+49.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Golden Knights66c3,500$2,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,189.9960249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccec…1dfcbacked Golden Knights67c3,099$2,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,022.58536.5%31 W · 54 L-11.4wins-0.13per pick50cpaid-29.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Golden Knights67c3,000$2,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9901,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd3fa…a26cbacked Blackhawks34c3,000$1,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,02015145%68 W · 83 L-7.3wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Blackhawks33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99019353.9%104 W · 89 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c7e…a65fbacked Blackhawks8c2,588$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20460337.5%226 W · 377 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f13…e0fdbacked Golden Knights65c2,537$1,649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.9147951.4%246 W · 233 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Golden Knights68c2,500$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8001,08745.1%490 W · 597 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5b7…3e1cbacked Golden Knights66c2,476$1,634 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-41.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cee…b72abacked Golden Knights66c2,065$1,363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.12142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x186a…a3d2backed Blackhawks33c2,000$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b09…7e9fbacked Golden Knights67c2,000$1,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6601266.7%8 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+22.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xced6…d58bbacked Golden Knights67c1,995$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.351060%6 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+19.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9e30…a573backed Blackhawks33c1,995$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.35837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick48cpaid-27.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x84da…2bfbbacked Blackhawks33c1,995$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-9.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56a5…3653backed Golden Knights67c1,995$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.35955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e8d…7f9fbacked Golden Knights67c1,995$1,337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$658.351060%6 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1586…2149backed Blackhawks33c1,995$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.35944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-16.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x35fd…71b7backed Blackhawks33c1,990$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.7933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-28.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeab4…c601backed Golden Knights67c1,990$1,333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$656.71145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb15d…dcc9backed Golden Knights67c1,985$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.05955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ed0…cc2bbacked Blackhawks33c1,985$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.051070%7 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.17per pick53cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x58b7…0233backed Golden Knights67c1,985$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.051040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x10ed…46b2backed Golden Knights67c1,985$1,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$655.05862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick58cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3485…7c45backed Blackhawks33c1,985$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.05837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab96…86f1backed Blackhawks33c1,985$655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$655.05757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb729…2caabacked Blackhawks33c1,980$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.16per pick47cpaid+26.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc259…5175backed Blackhawks33c1,980$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-26.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3988…a621backed Blackhawks33c1,980$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$663.240%0 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc50f…33e7backed Golden Knights67c1,980$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0459…fbecbacked Golden Knights67c1,980$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.4955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc352…5410backed Golden Knights67c1,980$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.41163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick55cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd5a4…c2a8backed Blackhawks33c1,980$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5649…57dfbacked Blackhawks33c1,980$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$653.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5941…4017backed Golden Knights67c1,980$1,327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$653.41241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa89c…398fbacked Blackhawks35c1,977$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.99100%0 W · 10 L-3.9wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xf6d9…25cbbacked Blackhawks33c1,975$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.75944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-11.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd27…09e5backed Blackhawks33c1,975$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651.75850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a8…f6aabacked Golden Knights67c1,975$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.751050%5 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb65f…f139backed Golden Knights67c1,975$1,323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$651.751050%5 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x382f…af98backed Blackhawks33c1,965$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.451127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-45.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf87f…872ebacked Golden Knights67c1,965$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.451233.3%4 W · 8 L-2.1wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-38.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x639a…361abacked Blackhawks33c1,965$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.45955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+18.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ed8…9db2backed Golden Knights67c1,965$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.45771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.18per pick53cpaid+32.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0789…1530backed Golden Knights67c1,965$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.451258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x56a5…3462backed Blackhawks33c1,965$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.45742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8aae…0ac2backed Golden Knights67c1,965$1,317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.451361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.3wins+0.10per pick52cpaid+17.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x81a7…acbdbacked Blackhawks33c1,965$648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$648.451040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x16eb…b7e1backed Blackhawks33c1,960$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$646.8966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf2d…d6b3backed Golden Knights67c1,960$1,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$646.81070%7 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick55cpaid+28%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc8ab…30e8backed Golden Knights67c1,955$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.15850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb0b6…90a3backed Golden Knights67c1,955$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.151258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+17%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdbe1…4b1fbacked Blackhawks33c1,955$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.15955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a00…b5d1backed Blackhawks33c1,955$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32b0…9d7abacked Golden Knights67c1,955$1,310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$645.151376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.22per pick55cpaid+41.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x384b…079cbacked Blackhawks33c1,955$645 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645.151040%4 W · 6 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-27.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf94d…4531backed Blackhawks33c1,950$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.5922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.20per pick42cpaid-51.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xae4a…7467backed Blackhawks33c1,950$644 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$643.5850%4 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc728…d026backed Golden Knights67c1,950$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.5837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-27.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b02…ae93backed Golden Knights67c1,950$1,307 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$643.51241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-25.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.