NHL · resolved market

Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x353ee6e3556a03a5fd1bfd4343f0df0a8645a390859bbc84257605f89395103e

Rebuilt 10 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Mar 15, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $260,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $260,658 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in NHL
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Under	56c	165,054$92,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$72,853.91	515	50.7%261 W · 254 L	+4.1wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over	44c	156,294$69,432 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,432.26	403	51.9%209 W · 194 L	+6.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under	55c	62,162$34,198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,964.43	1,190	50.7%603 W · 587 L	+13.3wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Over	44c	50,000$22,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21,999.95	390	47.9%187 W · 203 L	-13.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over	45c	17,778$8,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,999.99	403	56.3%227 W · 176 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Over	45c	13,628$6,106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,106.22	1,070	49.9%534 W · 536 L	+22.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcfe…44b5backed Under	56c	7,323$4,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,246.18	79	49.4%39 W · 40 L	-4.0wins	-0.05per pick	54cpaid	-13%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9870…b9d3backed Over	45c	5,556$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	315	50.8%160 W · 155 L	-11.6wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Under	55c	2,595$1,433 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,161.87	2,894	51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under	56c	2,074$1,153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$921.3	1,024	48.4%496 W · 528 L	+1.3wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x698b…4426backed Under	56c	2,043$1,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$898.84	40	47.5%19 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over	44c	2,010$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.39	149	54.4%81 W · 68 L	+9.5wins	+0.06per pick	48cpaid	+13.6%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under	55c	1,865$1,026 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$839.09	1,230	53.7%661 W · 569 L	-9.1wins	-0.01per pick	54cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Under	56c	1,790$1,002 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$787.6	236	42.8%101 W · 135 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Over	44c	1,144$503 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$503.35	1,377	49.1%676 W · 701 L	+39.2wins	+0.03per pick	46cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x69ff…0d1dbacked Under	57c	1,141$652 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$488.44	271	50.2%136 W · 135 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Under	55c	1,096$603 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$493.2	265	51.3%136 W · 129 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Over	42c	833$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$349.86	831	49.5%411 W · 420 L	-9.2wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Under	57c	801.57$455 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$346.19	294	48.6%143 W · 151 L	-8.2wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Over	44c	791$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$348.04	203	54.2%110 W · 93 L	+7.2wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over	42c	643.85$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270.41	2,112	42.9%907 W · 1,205 L	-10.1wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under	55c	600$330 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270	326	48.2%157 W · 169 L	-8.8wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Over	44c	560.12$249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$248.61	916	53.9%494 W · 422 L	+39.6wins	+0.04per pick	50cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over	45c	542.6$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.92	217	54.8%119 W · 98 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Under	56c	446$250 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$196.24	133	36.1%48 W · 85 L	-5.8wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Under	55c	381.82$210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.82	1,093	51.8%566 W · 527 L	+14.2wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under	49c	277.15$137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$140.32	2,664	51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L	+58.0wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Under	55c	250$138 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.5	53	50.9%27 W · 26 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5af…f9e3backed Under	56c	214.29$120 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$94.29	81	38.3%31 W · 50 L	-10.0wins	-0.12per pick	51cpaid	-25%equal weight	39-0.09 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under	55c	202.39$111 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91.08	594	50.8%302 W · 292 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4488…579cbacked Over	47c	200$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94	347	52.4%182 W · 165 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under	55c	196.05$108 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.22	1,092	50.4%550 W · 542 L	+12.7wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+1.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Over	47c	192.77$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.6	243	46.1%112 W · 131 L	-12.6wins	-0.05per pick	51cpaid	-7.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Under	40c	183.32$74 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$109.6	1,202	60.1%722 W · 480 L	+51.9wins	+0.04per pick	56cpaid	+15%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x22f8…b5acbacked Over	41c	181.99$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.44	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.9wins	-0.46per pick	46cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under	56c	178.57$100 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$78.57	429	48.7%209 W · 220 L	+3.2wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+2.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over	46c	161.5$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.29	377	54.4%205 W · 172 L	+5.9wins	+0.02per pick	53cpaid	-1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa33c…1b33backed Over	44c	156.28$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.43	193	56%108 W · 85 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x718d…2b46backed Over	69c	150$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.5	397	51.1%203 W · 194 L	-7.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over	38c	148.16$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.69	3,704	50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L	+105.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over	34c	120.2$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.35	657	21.9%144 W · 513 L	-105.6wins	-0.16per pick	38cpaid	-54.6%equal weight	33-0.15 edge/pick
0x4d8e…3d55backed Under	58c	116.27$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$49.27	60	51.7%31 W · 29 L	-0.9wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe647…c9aabacked Under	60c	116.1$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.23	36	50%18 W · 18 L	-2.6wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x30ab…f338backed Under	57c	112.7$64 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.46	143	51.7%74 W · 69 L	-2.1wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7465…caa8backed Over	45c	111.11$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	49cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed Under	56c	110.98$62 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$48.83	38	44.7%17 W · 21 L	-3.4wins	-0.09per pick	54cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xeac9…4092backed Under	56c	107.96$61 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.19	53	49.1%26 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under	55c	102.3$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.06	2,754	47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L	+11.9wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	-8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xff0b…befabacked Under	63c	94.85$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$34.85	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.19per pick	48cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked Under	55c	90.89$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$40.9	786	51.8%407 W · 379 L	-16.6wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56a7…9f37backed Under	57c	88.3$50 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$38.33	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	-4.0wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8bc7…88d6backed Over	42c	86.62$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.38	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over	44c	86$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.84	216	51.4%111 W · 105 L	+4.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45c1…4364backed Over	47c	80.99$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.29	31	41.9%13 W · 18 L	-3.0wins	-0.10per pick	52cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over	40c	79.98$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.81	272	50%136 W · 136 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-11.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…ec56backed Over	44c	77.7$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.52	129	47.3%61 W · 68 L	-6.2wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd155…8250backed Over	44c	73.82$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.81	208	57.7%120 W · 88 L	+9.7wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe23…e72bbacked Over	46c	72$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33	30	40%12 W · 18 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	49cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8eb7…d529backed Under	55c	54.55$30 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$24.55	30	46.7%14 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	53cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3e87…4891backed Over	46c	54.35$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	20	45%9 W · 11 L	-1.6wins	-0.08per pick	53cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over	41c	53$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.98	893	55.5%496 W · 397 L	+67.6wins	+0.08per pick	48cpaid	+12.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd454…b47fbacked Over	46c	51.62$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.75	69	44.9%31 W · 38 L	-1.0wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc15…3a2ebacked Over	44c	45.25$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.91	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-6.0wins	-0.11per pick	47cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0xfc53…6bd3backed Over	45c	44.44$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	540	49.4%267 W · 273 L	-2.2wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4458…d13bbacked Under	57c	43.86$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.86	34	58.8%20 W · 14 L	+3.1wins	+0.09per pick	50cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over	34c	43$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.62	1,431	58.3%834 W · 597 L	+81.0wins	+0.06per pick	53cpaid	+7.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2be6…e054backed Over	45c	41.87$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.73	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	16cpaid	+147.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd827…fe79backed Over	44c	34.09$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-4.1wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xce39…04d6backed Under	56c	33.29$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14.65	170	42.4%72 W · 98 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-2.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x095d…6894backed Over	46c	32.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.20per pick	54cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b38…698dbacked Under	57c	30.6$17 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13.16	58	55.2%32 W · 26 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x851d…a743backed Over	45c	30.47$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.71	24	62.5%15 W · 9 L	+1.7wins	+0.07per pick	56cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf115…014bbacked Under	56c	25.77$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.21	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.4wins	+0.44per pick	56cpaid	+77%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4f…63f3backed Under	59c	25.31$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.46	32	53.1%17 W · 15 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under	56c	24.96$14 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10.98	123	35%43 W · 80 L	-12.4wins	-0.10per pick	45cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under	55c	21.46$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.66	274	53.6%147 W · 127 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53cd…f23ebacked Under	56c	21.39$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.41	368	52.2%192 W · 176 L	-6.1wins	-0.02per pick	54cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9192…92acbacked Under	57c	20$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.6	43	58.1%25 W · 18 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+4.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf39…591ebacked Under	57c	19.72$11 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.48	46	52.2%24 W · 22 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	55cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f20…5d9bbacked Under	66c	19.55$13 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.55	67	52.2%35 W · 32 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	49cpaid	+4.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under	55c	18.49$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.32	860	49.2%423 W · 437 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5this page
Blackhawks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5Under won
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event