NHL · resolved market
Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x982f22ef7f4e9337588d4bfe5439c27821c13d071d7ffc4968baa39122ddc955
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,097
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,097 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Over | 55c | 38,249$21,037 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,037.08 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 45c | 35,626$16,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,594.11 | 515 | 50.7%261 W · 254 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc18…2ce9backed Over | 56c | 29,000$16,238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,238.25 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -5.5wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed Under | 44c | 15,000$6,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,400 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 44c | 8,391$3,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,663.3 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under | 44c | 8,000$3,520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,480 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Under | 44c | 1,035$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$579.76 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x441d…544dbacked Over | 56c | 900$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Over | 57c | 567.83$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.87 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Under | 45c | 443$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$243.65 | 265 | 51.3%136 W · 129 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 55c | 385.39$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.47 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 44c | 360$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.6 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbd7…6d6cbacked Over | 58c | 344.93$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 152 | 65.1%99 W · 53 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Under | 44c | 325.93$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.52 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 44c | 295.58$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.46 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed Over | 56c | 267$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.52 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Over | 17c | 246$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.65 | 1,384 | 47.1%652 W · 732 L | +25.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 44c | 234.12$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Under | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed Under | 46c | 203.76$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 294 | 48.6%143 W · 151 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22f8…b5acbacked Over | 50c | 152$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e87…4891backed Over | 55c | 135.55$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Over | 56c | 124.14$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.12 | 217 | 54.8%119 W · 98 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2886…9bb2backed Under | 37c | 120$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 43c | 119.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.06 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 56c | 89.28$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 786 | 51.8%407 W · 379 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2696…c031backed Over | 56c | 80$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.8 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.8wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0e01…7ef0backed Over | 54c | 79.98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.19 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -12.1wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 52c | 75.27$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.06 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Under | 43c | 69.98$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 780 | 38.5%300 W · 480 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 55c | 65.38$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 48c | 61.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.74 | 234 | 50%117 W · 117 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Under | 45c | 60$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 108 | 58.3%63 W · 45 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7761…a255backed Over | 56c | 59$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.18per pick | 55cpaid | -33%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…1b33backed Over | 55c | 38.24$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.03 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7eb…eb13backed Over | 55c | 35.22$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 57c | 34.17$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 665 | 52%346 W · 319 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Under | 44c | 34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Over | 55c | 32.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Over | 55c | 31.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.57 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 30.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b5c…ab22backed Under | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 44c | 28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.68 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Over | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 125 | 47.2%59 W · 66 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Over | 56c | 26$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.56 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x56a7…9f37backed Under | 46c | 25.28$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.65 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30ab…f338backed Under | 46c | 25.07$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 143 | 51.7%74 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeac9…4092backed Under | 45c | 23.74$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.98 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa94b…f538backed Over | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa991…f266backed Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 99 | 54.5%54 W · 45 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…ec56backed Over | 55c | 19.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.52 | 129 | 47.3%61 W · 68 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Over | 55c | 18.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 208 | 57.7%120 W · 88 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 5.5this page
- Blackhawks vs. Golden KnightsGolden Knights won
- Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 4.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 6.5Under won
- Blackhawks vs. Golden Knights: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)Golden Knights won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.