MLB · resolved market
Twins vs. Blue Jays
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9027643bc15fc2938e4ca7a461abc941c686e10745edf8d2c800d667976e7523
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Twinsof Twins, Blue Jays
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,524,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,473,395
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,524,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 420 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Twins | 36c | 1,046,892$375,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671,125.93 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbad…9c95backed Blue Jays | 64c | 127,748$81,759 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,758.52 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 126,141$81,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,929.02 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Blue Jays | 64c | 116,426$74,513 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74,512.81 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked Blue Jays | 64c | 113,000$72,320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72,320 | 228 | 52.2%119 W · 109 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce8…4527backed Blue Jays | 64c | 89,999$57,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,649.44 | 444 | 56.5%251 W · 193 L | +21.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…b3f0backed Blue Jays | 65c | 85,652$55,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55,801.12 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe895…c3dabacked Blue Jays | 64c | 63,255$40,471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,471.05 | 452 | 48.2%218 W · 234 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Blue Jays | 64c | 53,404$34,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,178.34 | 171 | 56.1%96 W · 75 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7435…a620backed Blue Jays | 62c | 41,426$25,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,718.71 | 286 | 46.5%133 W · 153 L | -15.5wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 40,000$25,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,600 | 482 | 54.4%262 W · 220 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb230…4193backed Twins | 36c | 31,500$11,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,290 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9267…0f9abacked Blue Jays | 64c | 30,000$19,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,200 | 550 | 53.6%295 W · 255 L | -8.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e94…6243backed Twins | 37c | 21,115$7,812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,302.55 | 543 | 45.5%247 W · 296 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578d…fbb3backed Twins | 37c | 20,933$7,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,287.64 | 338 | 45.9%155 W · 183 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Blue Jays | 65c | 20,445$13,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,205.55 | 234 | 55.6%130 W · 104 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x081c…f010backed Blue Jays | 64c | 15,000$9,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,600 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Blue Jays | 68c | 13,415$9,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,127.85 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Blue Jays | 64c | 13,333$8,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,533.12 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 13,184$8,464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,463.87 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked Twins | 34c | 10,841$3,689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,152.5 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88a2…d974backed Twins | 36c | 10,667$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,826.67 | 196 | 49.5%97 W · 99 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Twins | 38c | 9,999$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,199.31 | 358 | 54.5%195 W · 163 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Twins | 35c | 8,611$3,032 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,579.14 | 439 | 49.4%217 W · 222 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 5,323$3,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,447.63 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb006…4eb8backed Twins | 39c | 5,010$1,954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,056.1 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb6a…1a00backed Blue Jays | 66c | 4,718$3,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,113.84 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea64…f2a2backed Blue Jays | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 387 | 51.9%201 W · 186 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff1…2890backed Blue Jays | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,560 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.8wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…6e98backed Blue Jays | 66c | 3,030$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 254 | 54.3%138 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Twins | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.97 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb06…0e51backed Blue Jays | 76c | 2,639$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781f…6763backed Blue Jays | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5523…51e9backed Twins | 34c | 2,264$770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,494.54 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0549…c052backed Blue Jays | 64c | 2,125$1,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360.5 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad94…85b1backed Twins | 38c | 2,074$788 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,286.1 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +4.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Twins | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.99 | 932 | 40.5%377 W · 555 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Blue Jays | 35c | 1,947$673 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.97 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0277…8696backed Twins | 39c | 1,900$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c7…669bbacked Twins | 39c | 1,800$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,098 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked Twins | 39c | 1,698$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,043.78 | 733 | 52.4%384 W · 349 L | +12.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ad…9096backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,623$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked Blue Jays | 63c | 1,569$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982.13 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x918e…3203backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,554$948 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$947.94 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4a…4e2dbacked Twins | 14c | 1,470$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,264.58 | 105 | 27.6%29 W · 76 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Twins | 20c | 1,299$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,041.26 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d10…daebbacked Twins | 39c | 1,269$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$774.09 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Twins | 33c | 1,255$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.62 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Twins | 38c | 1,251$475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$775.62 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf311…516bbacked Twins | 39c | 1,231$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.91 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…1ccbbacked Blue Jays | 65c | 1,154$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Blue Jays | 62c | 1,151$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.19 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd269…8055backed Twins | 39c | 1,025$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.24 | 709 | 46.1%327 W · 382 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Twins | 6c | 1,018$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$957.54 | 272 | 13.6%37 W · 235 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa270…42c9backed Blue Jays | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610 | 401 | 52.4%210 W · 191 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…4025backed Twins | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…437cbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 984$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.24 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9df4…5161backed Blue Jays | 61c | 946$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.06 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfd…e7cbbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 916$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a42…d10cbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 915$558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.15 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Twins | 39c | 900$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd87d…f027backed Blue Jays | 61c | 885$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$539.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 55cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0abf…e18bbacked Twins | 39c | 818$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.98 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x783f…631bbacked Twins | 39c | 805$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.05 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…9110backed Blue Jays | 62c | 800$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496 | 216 | 56%121 W · 95 L | -8.4wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6148…acadbacked Twins | 38c | 796$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.52 | 245 | 47.3%116 W · 129 L | +21.2wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Blue Jays | 64c | 781.25$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 312 | 48.4%151 W · 161 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Blue Jays | 64c | 778.47$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.57 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Twins | 37c | 720.59$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.16 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d07…0351backed Blue Jays | 62c | 688.63$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.63 | 126 | 24.6%31 W · 95 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x538e…c195backed Blue Jays | 79c | 674.78$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.37 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Twins | 26c | 655.39$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.16 | 4,169 | 50.2%2,093 W · 2,076 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacdf…0ec4backed Blue Jays | 75c | 643.2$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.96 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Blue Jays | 61c | 599.6$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.76 | 981 | 49.8%489 W · 492 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Twins | 38c | 551$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.62 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed Twins | 40c | 500$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…d9dfbacked Twins | 37c | 499.99$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.99 | 308 | 50%154 W · 154 L | +12.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Blue Jays | 61c | 491$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Blue Jays | 61c | 491$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.51 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f8…56b6backed Twins | 28c | 487.97$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.02 | 217 | 47%102 W · 115 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb8c…0a55backed Blue Jays | 62c | 484.84$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Twins | 37c | 483.61$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.67 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Twins | 17c | 480.08$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.42 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Twins | 38c | 429.73$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.08 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f19…aec2backed Blue Jays | 75c | 400$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed Blue Jays | 61c | 400$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe216…7448backed Blue Jays | 64c | 390.55$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.95 | 1,213 | 40.5%491 W · 722 L | -32.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Twins | 36c | 386$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.4 | 1,466 | 44.1%647 W · 819 L | +44.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7db7…d372backed Blue Jays | 64c | 380$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.2 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef3c…f731backed Blue Jays | 56c | 359.84$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089d…c7c9backed Twins | 18c | 356$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.4 | 107 | 13.1%14 W · 93 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Twins | 39c | 349.99$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.5 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef75…5d78backed Twins | 34c | 309$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.7 | 1,358 | 45.9%624 W · 734 L | +41.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa82b…5220backed Blue Jays | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 76 | 43.4%33 W · 43 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Twins | 39c | 300$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Twins | 37c | 299.97$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.98 | 326 | 51.5%168 W · 158 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45c3…42f9backed Blue Jays | 64c | 274.76$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa717…8919backed Twins | 37c | 271$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 405 | 48.9%198 W · 207 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Blue Jays | 47c | 260$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f19…b0cabacked Twins | 36c | 255.6$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.58 | 466 | 31.1%145 W · 321 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Twins vs. Blue Jaysthis page
- Spread: Twins (-1.5)Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.