Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xdc745743c9498006f9b3501faa7d21fe7c6897e6b8aef6f09fbdc1a74bf385da
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,933,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,933,130 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 668 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1be…cc57backed Yes | 53c | 3,775,745$1,982,931 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,982,931.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked No | 48c | 1,686,749$807,331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879,418.29 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 0c | 1,040,039$1,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,040.04 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 51c | 399,999$204,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203,999.65 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 48c | 344,934$163,843 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181,090.11 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd9…1ef0backed Yes | 49c | 322,418$156,473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156,473.13 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ade…f5b0backed No | 48c | 178,480$85,670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92,809.5 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 48c | 143,131$69,376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73,754.22 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7a5…7c26backed No | 48c | 137,400$65,790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71,610 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +3.8wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 52c | 129,074$66,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,554.87 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed No | 48c | 117,415$56,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,055.71 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No | 47c | 106,383$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,382.98 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37e0…024ebacked No | 48c | 100,000$48,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,000 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 46c | 98,321$45,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,667.79 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed No | 48c | 97,181$46,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,534.28 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 50c | 96,801$47,931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48,869.87 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe749…f660backed No | 48c | 84,700$40,656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44,043.99 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +91.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked No | 49c | 81,126$39,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,619.21 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d30…a42dbacked Yes | 48c | 78,883$37,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37,614.32 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3212…634ebacked Yes | 51c | 77,222$39,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,533.22 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x62ca…1760backed No | 49c | 61,849$30,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,529.69 | 45 | 44.4%20 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed No | 47c | 60,000$28,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,800 | 52 | 59.6%31 W · 21 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf26…39a6backed No | 49c | 57,286$27,981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29,304.75 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 51c | 46,874$24,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,863.96 | 1,039 | 50%520 W · 519 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 44c | 46,796$20,805 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,991.2 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed No | 47c | 45,467$21,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,073.51 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777d…5143backed No | 48c | 41,650$19,992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,658 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +42.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5da4…e203backed Yes | 68c | 40,000$27,190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,189.76 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -67%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f20…96a8backed Yes | 52c | 38,095$19,809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,809.4 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked No | 48c | 37,000$17,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,274.99 | 159 | 47.8%76 W · 83 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked No | 48c | 34,000$16,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,679.98 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4408…1b6abacked No | 48c | 33,069$15,873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,195.85 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c16…8bfabacked No | 48c | 29,320$14,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,183.8 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 29,216$14,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,135.33 | 919 | 50.9%468 W · 451 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23c8…f293backed No | 48c | 26,966$12,944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,022.32 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked No | 53c | 25,834$13,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,141.98 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.6wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x99e0…5052backed No | 47c | 24,500$11,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,885 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 51c | 22,899$11,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,306.13 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x72b4…7d67backed No | 50c | 20,508$10,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,254 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07d8…9f3fbacked No | 50c | 20,196$10,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,096.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed No | 49c | 18,422$9,082 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,339.53 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe64f…7d71backed No | 48c | 17,589$8,364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,225.38 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c81…dcd3backed No | 47c | 15,000$7,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,950 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +7.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed No | 48c | 13,821$6,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,186.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 52c | 13,702$7,101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,101 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 48c | 12,563$6,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,031.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked No | 49c | 12,295$5,987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,308.97 | 39 | 59%23 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2f…ef1abacked No | 50c | 11,820$5,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,869.59 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -8.4wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 67c | 10,708$7,212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,212.14 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 48c | 10,417$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,416.67 | 34 | 61.8%21 W · 13 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 49c | 10,204$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,204.08 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +4.0wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +34.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3a8…06d9backed No | 48c | 10,088$4,842 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,245.76 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ef…8cd6backed No | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,300 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 49c | 10,000$4,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,100 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 29c | 9,980$2,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,085.8 | 75 | 54.7%41 W · 34 L | +8.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…a0fbbacked No | 50c | 9,708$4,854 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,854 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x412f…30fabacked No | 48c | 9,700$4,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,063.4 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed No | 50c | 9,274$4,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,637 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78f7…2c5dbacked No | 49c | 8,413$4,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,290.63 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 56c | 7,884$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,467.77 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d04…7a5fbacked No | 52c | 7,836$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,761.26 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed8f…5aa7backed No | 54c | 7,245$3,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,345.37 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2b…34e4backed No | 48c | 7,146$3,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,712.78 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 50c | 6,883$3,425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,425.12 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29cc…3c29backed No | 53c | 6,844$3,627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216.78 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked No | 48c | 6,518$3,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.36 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.7wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…0840backed Yes | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 48c | 6,250$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,250 | 38 | 39.5%15 W · 23 L | -4.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x98d8…1552backed No | 49c | 6,133$3,005 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,127.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c75…b299backed No | 51c | 6,039$3,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,959.22 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 50c | 6,000$3,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,000 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 49c | 5,962$2,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,921.23 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d11…c449backed No | 49c | 5,854$2,868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,985.54 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed No | 53c | 5,415$2,870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.09 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd599…bf55backed Yes | 53c | 5,212$2,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,780 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfa…324ebacked No | 48c | 5,037$2,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.3 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e83…4bd3backed No | 53c | 4,849$2,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,279.06 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ea…380dbacked No | 48c | 4,823$2,315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,507.92 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed No | 49c | 4,800$2,352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,448 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ca3…590fbacked No | 49c | 4,558$2,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,324.46 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38b0…060cbacked No | 52c | 4,444$2,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,133.12 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +3.3wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +67.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7d80…ba3dbacked No | 48c | 4,420$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,298.4 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 47c | 4,361$2,051 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.43 | 131 | 49.6%65 W · 66 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 39c | 4,284$1,665 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,619.23 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b6…fa47backed No | 53c | 4,217$2,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,982.03 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc94a…cfcabacked No | 51c | 4,118$2,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,017.65 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +97.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 50c | 4,027$2,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,013.68 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 52c | 4,000$2,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,920 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed No | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +50.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…4857backed No | 51c | 3,893$2,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.71 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6f40…eb64backed Yes | 52c | 3,847$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed No | 50c | 3,500$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,750 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 53c | 3,333$1,766 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,566.51 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x896a…688dbacked No | 48c | 3,300$1,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,716 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +30%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed Yes | 67c | 3,284$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1947…94bcbacked No | 48c | 3,281$1,575 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,706.4 | 67 | 53.7%36 W · 31 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2cb3…78e9backed Yes | 62c | 3,072$1,917 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,917.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc699…7961backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +65%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed No | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-12?this page
- Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-03-12?No won
- Will RC Celta de Vigo vs. Olympique Lyonnais end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.