MLB · resolved market
Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x154f6c60bad7b4c1a40c9e1c39daf066810f8b04477048e89d188e736049876e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Kansas City Royals, Detroit Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,096,208
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,097,670
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,096,208 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 365 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 689,069$324,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324,749.26 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…c56ebacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 490,000$260,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229,799.98 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 112,487$58,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,259.9 | 310 | 39%121 W · 189 L | -10.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 68,519$35,768 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,750.96 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Kansas City Royals | 47c | 20,600$9,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,682 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 18,297$9,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,344.8 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Kansas City Royals | 1c | 17,459$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 4,405 | 44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L | +80.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Detroit Tigers | 53c | 16,053$8,449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,604.42 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 15,455$7,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,261.43 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 15,000$7,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,034.98 | 5,471 | 50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…cab2backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 14,649$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.49 | 99 | 49.5%49 W · 50 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 11,363$5,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,227.21 | 1,681 | 50.1%842 W · 839 L | -22.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…9ce7backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 10,000$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,600 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 9,984$4,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,792.42 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kansas City Royals | 23c | 9,770$2,294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,293.59 | 8,192 | 46.2%3,787 W · 4,405 L | +38.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 31c | 9,368$2,905 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,905.07 | 10,979 | 51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L | +139.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Kansas City Royals | 50c | 7,638$3,783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,783.41 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 7,619$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,619.39 | 1,408 | 48.8%687 W · 721 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6815…9edbbacked Detroit Tigers | 56c | 6,976$3,894 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.11 | 447 | 44.1%197 W · 250 L | -6.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 6,205$2,766 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,766.07 | 2,149 | 50.2%1,079 W · 1,070 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Detroit Tigers | 56c | 5,005$2,818 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,186.87 | 12,328 | 46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L | -66.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 4,996$2,248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,248.04 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 4,610$2,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,059.73 | 6,123 | 55.4%3,390 W · 2,733 L | +346.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 4,417$2,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,031.96 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1e…82c9backed Detroit Tigers | 44c | 4,243$1,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,393.61 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +3.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Kansas City Royals | 5c | 4,223$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.35 | 94 | 31.9%30 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 3,805$2,017 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,788.24 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Kansas City Royals | 42c | 3,421$1,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,428.26 | 1,113 | 49%545 W · 568 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 2,919$1,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.55 | 1,078 | 48.1%518 W · 560 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4658…4131backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,384.62 | 493 | 58.8%290 W · 203 L | +30.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 2,579$1,365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.57 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 2,500$1,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Detroit Tigers | 60c | 2,489$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.32 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Kansas City Royals | 37c | 2,411$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.37 | 1,456 | 42.7%622 W · 834 L | -39.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe802…e465backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 2,382$1,286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,095.89 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861a…1f15backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 2,342$1,267 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,075.61 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Kansas City Royals | 38c | 2,246$845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.82 | 9,819 | 46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L | +39.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Kansas City Royals | 1c | 2,202$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.08 | 406 | 29.1%118 W · 288 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 277 | 51.6%143 W · 134 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629c…6c01backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920 | 85 | 52.9%45 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ac…4ec7backed Kansas City Royals | 9c | 1,891$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.17 | 1,194 | 29%346 W · 848 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50f…3ad3backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,874$1,012 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.04 | 132 | 54.5%72 W · 60 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,800$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$852.92 | 6,999 | 50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02c1…2e70backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,785$964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$821.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.19per pick | 47cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 1,769$973 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.09 | 240 | 40.8%98 W · 142 L | -13.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c8…84a6backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,712$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.72 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc717…81d9backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 1,468$808 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660.76 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a30…6a4ebacked Kansas City Royals | 2c | 1,449$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.76 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60fe…f286backed Detroit Tigers | 51c | 1,386$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.84 | 164 | 53%87 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Kansas City Royals | 30c | 1,369$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.62 | 218 | 42.7%93 W · 125 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60c…d2e2backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 1,274$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.19 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Kansas City Royals | 43c | 1,218$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.71 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…cf21backed Detroit Tigers | 58c | 1,181$689 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.69 | 46 | 56.5%26 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56de…bc32backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,167$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.76 | 66 | 53%35 W · 31 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Kansas City Royals | 2c | 1,165$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…86d2backed Detroit Tigers | 55c | 1,128$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.64 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 57cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 1,121$530 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.31 | 6,305 | 48.2%3,042 W · 3,263 L | +181.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Detroit Tigers | 53c | 1,100$583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d04…022bbacked Kansas City Royals | 13c | 1,097$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.1 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,087$587 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.09 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,082$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$493.82 | 1,527 | 51.1%780 W · 747 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,058$571 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$486.67 | 1,797 | 50.4%906 W · 891 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Kansas City Royals | 38c | 1,039$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.99 | 1,947 | 53.1%1,033 W · 914 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40d2…312fbacked Kansas City Royals | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 228 | 51.3%117 W · 111 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 1,000$536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.67 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 976.34$415 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.38 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 962$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.76 | 1,538 | 48.6%747 W · 791 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 955.84$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$543.81 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 925.32$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$428.76 | 555 | 41.4%230 W · 325 L | -26.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 911.14$492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.12 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f82…9ae1backed Detroit Tigers | 57c | 854.56$487 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.46 | 230 | 48.7%112 W · 118 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b45…d196backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 827.52$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf429…969ebacked Detroit Tigers | 69c | 711.16$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.46 | 198 | 42.9%85 W · 113 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb74f…030abacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 702.07$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.95 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Kansas City Royals | 39c | 667.42$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.42 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58dc…59e4backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 659.2$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.82 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Kansas City Royals | 45c | 648.98$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.04 | 2,375 | 47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Kansas City Royals | 46c | 623.2$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.74 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Kansas City Royals | 7c | 616.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.22 | 1,843 | 43.6%804 W · 1,039 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Kansas City Royals | 40c | 608.23$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.55 | 495 | 40.2%199 W · 296 L | +4.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 607.75$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.56 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Kansas City Royals | 32c | 607.74$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.11 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x783b…dc4cbacked Kansas City Royals | 43c | 596.18$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.14 | 609 | 41.4%252 W · 357 L | -22.4wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ec…e1cfbacked Kansas City Royals | 33c | 590.22$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Detroit Tigers | 59c | 574.32$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.62 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85c2…9730backed Detroit Tigers | 54c | 569.93$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.17 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa917…4e8dbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 562.05$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.54 | 286 | 47.2%135 W · 151 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 554.11$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.82 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ee58backed Kansas City Royals | 44c | 549.09$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.6 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Kansas City Royals | 25c | 529.66$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.54 | 515 | 55%283 W · 232 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Kansas City Royals | 47c | 515$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242.05 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce53…834bbacked Detroit Tigers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +9.5wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 500$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240 | 1,301 | 50.2%653 W · 648 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 490.94$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.54 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb611…188fbacked Kansas City Royals | 48c | 490.19$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.72 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Kansas City Royals | 40c | 482$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.8 | 1,874 | 52%975 W · 899 L | +51.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…596dbacked Detroit Tigers | 54c | 475.27$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.55 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf90…8e17backed Detroit Tigers | 52c | 469$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.12 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit Tigersthis page
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)Detroit Tigers won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Kansas City Royals vs. Detroit TigersNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.