TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-21?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$7,681,286
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$7,623,256

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,681,286 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 548 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x94f1…4c7abacked Yes70c5,732,194$3,994,134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,738,059.26366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick69cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb27…c56ebacked No31c2,435,553$747,466 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$747,465.923141.9%13 W · 18 L+2.1wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+43.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb904…c255backed No29c880,000$257,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257,399.992161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x916f…53babacked Yes67c505,519$340,283 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,235.362969%20 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+39.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xc311…44fcbacked No33c430,801$140,405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140,405933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-27.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0b9c…7e44backed No28c347,831$97,393 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97,392.711163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick49cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x37e4…c991backed No31c275,000$86,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86,0008940.4%36 W · 53 L-4.0wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed No31c250,000$77,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77,499.9610438.5%40 W · 64 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed No30c200,000$59,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,0009625%24 W · 72 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5da4…e203backed Yes69c150,000$103,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47,0001650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7a5…7c26backed No31c145,000$44,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,3702339.1%9 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No33c138,733$45,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45,820.84,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed No33c134,200$43,844 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43,8443240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick36cpaid+274.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No30c105,294$31,925 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,924.5890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No31c101,766$31,528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31,528.122,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2759…2b38backed No30c91,626$27,649 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27,648.596023.3%14 W · 46 L-5.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-34.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed No29c80,000$23,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,5009743.3%42 W · 55 L-7.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No32c79,775$25,164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,164.261,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed No32c79,125$25,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,3203138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No30c62,920$19,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,081.2720449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked No30c55,000$16,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,457.723946.2%18 W · 21 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked No32c54,069$17,302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,3022646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No32c53,401$17,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,004.86357.1%36 W · 27 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x777d…5143backed No33c53,331$17,599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,599.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No32c51,087$16,444 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,443.6550249.6%249 W · 253 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No31c44,005$13,652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,651.689748.5%47 W · 50 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x14ac…cb21backed No30c41,896$12,397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,396.612850%14 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd267…9dc6backed No32c41,111$13,013 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,013.428828.4%25 W · 63 L-7.1wins-0.08per pick36cpaid-37.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No31c38,837$12,202 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,202.3810539%41 W · 64 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed No30c37,776$11,522 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,521.636127.9%17 W · 44 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick37cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7af9…b408backed No30c36,379$10,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,913.7757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No34c31,340$10,709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,708.9816740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf26…39a6backed No31c26,910$8,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,217.152951.7%15 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed No31c25,000$7,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,649.981330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-26.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37e0…024ebacked No32c24,898$7,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,967.366145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d8…99aebacked Yes64c24,000$15,460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,539.986764.2%43 W · 24 L+4.6wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+6.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x0dcf…c556backed Yes58c21,227$12,208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,019.93650%3 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+11.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc974…b33bbacked No32c20,967$6,617 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,617.466243.5%27 W · 35 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x419b…0944backed No33c18,474$6,096 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,096.2620%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed No33c18,224$6,005 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,004.6526930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c16…8bfabacked No30c17,447$5,308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,307.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7ed…6c8bbacked No0c17,112$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.948853.4%47 W · 41 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c95…ed41backed No31c16,742$5,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,265.763925.6%10 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No29c16,717$4,848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,847.936839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed No39c15,904$6,203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,202.5313645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed No29c15,490$4,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,4923145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8b32…5950backed No34c15,290$5,199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,198.67321.9%16 W · 57 L-7.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-37.7%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x23c8…f293backed No32c15,170$4,854 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,854.43941%16 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-8.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc57f…e9d1backed Yes69c14,986$10,340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,645.572100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x62ca…1760backed No31c14,800$4,658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,657.75831%18 W · 40 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick39cpaid+1.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked No33c13,576$4,480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,480.152842.9%12 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+12.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf164…8fa4backed No33c13,276$4,381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,381.085950.8%30 W · 29 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-10.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9267…0f9abacked Yes61c12,000$7,328 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,672.51643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick40cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No43c10,511$4,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,502.91,41845.6%646 W · 772 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No32c10,000$3,180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,18019255.2%106 W · 86 L+11.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+12.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Yes68c10,000$6,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2001952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No32c10,000$3,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,20013046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked No32c8,525$2,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,7282445.8%11 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No35c8,447$2,957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,956.521,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad6a…9dbdbacked No32c8,206$2,626 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6265232.7%17 W · 35 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa42e…9a1cbacked No31c7,759$2,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,375.711637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5976…b3d4backed No30c7,250$2,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1751827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick41cpaid-41.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked No32c7,000$2,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,24015952.8%84 W · 75 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f2f…be86backed No35c7,000$2,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4201833.3%6 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.15per pick49cpaid-39.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed No32c6,565$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,095.275152.9%27 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40b9…b002backed No32c6,500$2,095 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0956640.9%27 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7d80…ba3dbacked No31c6,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8601758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.15per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5fe9…5e52backed No32c5,624$1,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,799.682441.7%10 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+8.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2e00…eb46backed No29c5,447$1,579 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,579.492962.1%18 W · 11 L+3.6wins+0.13per pick50cpaid+23.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x29cc…3c29backed No34c5,431$1,852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,8522740.7%11 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+36.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed No29c5,200$1,506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,505.992343.5%10 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc7c…3d8cbacked No25c5,015$1,241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,241742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49f…9e05backed No32c5,000$1,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,6008041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-20.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked No31c4,804$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003148.4%15 W · 16 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x724b…e780backed No32c4,710$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.210%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1947…94bcbacked No31c4,615$1,419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,419.412757.5%73 W · 54 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+2.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked No31c4,525$1,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,403.65754.4%31 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaf2a…0525backed No32c4,486$1,433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,432.651758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No32c4,171$1,335 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,334.854434.1%15 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-32.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked No30c3,997$1,215 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,215.082035%7 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a36…4121backed Yes68c3,885$2,642 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,243.2977.8%7 W · 2 L+2.3wins+0.26per pick52cpaid+132.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb40f…a5b1backed No32c3,793$1,214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,213.762326.1%6 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-24.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7298…fe8dbacked No32c3,750$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2008334.9%29 W · 54 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Yes69c3,624$2,501 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.441450%7 W · 7 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked No30c3,613$1,084 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0843540%14 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xccda…21f3backed No57c3,474$1,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,979.65442.6%23 W · 31 L-4.4wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-20.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed No37c3,382$1,248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2484938.8%19 W · 30 L-1.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e41…a1c1backed No32c3,337$1,059 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0591566.7%10 W · 5 L+1.8wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+18.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No31c3,333$1,033 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,033.233145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9e7…0365backed Yes64c3,150$2,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,133.992958.6%17 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-14.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked No32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9607353.4%39 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+8.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x1244…c851backed No32c3,000$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96021957.5%126 W · 93 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed No31c3,000$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.2342851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5f20…96a8backed No32c2,904$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.281741.2%7 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No36c2,900$1,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.6864046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8738…222bbacked No53c2,830$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5001643.8%7 W · 9 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6203…6280backed No29c2,805$813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$813.453432.4%11 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-7.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b64…eaf4backed No33c2,734$899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.128045%36 W · 44 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-9.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d52…834ebacked No32c2,724$872 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$871.722927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-23.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fb4…5c6cbacked No32c2,500$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8001136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.