TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Bruins vs. Sabres: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,024,998

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,024,998 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 208 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x4924…3782backed Over54c423,757$227,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196,242.5620354.2%110 W · 93 L+7.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+5.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Over54c223,457$120,330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103,126.6667051%342 W · 328 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb45a…192cbacked Under46c150,000$69,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69,699.9822443.8%98 W · 126 L-5.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaa07…2125backed Under49c100,000$49,162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49,161.721,07049.9%534 W · 536 L+22.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3d3d…3165backed Under46c97,648$44,918 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,918.081050%5 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under46c97,134$44,682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44,681.5540351.9%209 W · 194 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bec…b215backed Under46c70,146$32,266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32,265.616442.7%70 W · 94 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Under46c25,399$11,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,728.0859450.8%302 W · 292 L+2.7wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec7e…5fddbacked Under46c22,440$10,322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,322.43951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5e1…5ad0backed Under47c20,000$9,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,35033151.7%171 W · 160 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c17,650$8,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,118.7951550.7%261 W · 254 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under46c13,703$6,303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,303.1551452.3%269 W · 245 L+17.1wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Under46c8,000$3,680 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,679.998845.5%40 W · 48 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x412e…4a0fbacked Under49c6,581$3,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,224.6610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0027…c9b4backed Over51c6,252$3,189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,063.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd267…c9febacked Over51c5,492$2,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,691.081100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4274…40ddbacked Over51c5,400$2,754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,6461100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over51c5,348$2,721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,627.111,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…d142backed Under48c5,225$2,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.619752.6%51 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf103…c256backed Under49c5,086$2,492 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,492.1410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under49c5,003$2,471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,471.1785250.2%428 W · 424 L-26.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under48c4,939$2,371 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.651,19050.7%603 W · 587 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdd7…88c6backed Under49c4,930$2,416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,415.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Under46c4,101$1,902 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,902.31,23053.7%661 W · 569 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under49c3,777$1,835 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,835.1691945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under47c3,757$1,751 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,750.5783149.5%411 W · 420 L-9.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb9b4…75a0backed Under46c3,696$1,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7008544.7%38 W · 47 L-4.1wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x161b…acc2backed Under51c3,589$1,830 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,830728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.19per pick47cpaid-39.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3704…0e84backed Under46c3,450$1,589 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,588.654240.5%17 W · 25 L-3.0wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-16.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over51c3,382$1,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,653.71,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under47c3,343$1,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,562.871,09250.4%550 W · 542 L+12.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Over50c3,304$1,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,652.164551.1%23 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Under46c2,974$1,376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,375.761,02448.4%496 W · 528 L+1.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Under49c2,195$1,086 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,086.12,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2586…c893backed Over50c2,000$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$989.9983652.8%441 W · 395 L+28.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+7.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7096…7f78backed Over53c1,885$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.717454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x65d6…6d6bbacked Over54c1,852$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$851.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over49c1,800$889 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$911.4476950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under51c1,744$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$881.991,38447.1%652 W · 732 L+25.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b7c…2776backed Under49c1,730$848 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under45c1,724$784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$783.842,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Over49c1,500$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76560249.5%298 W · 304 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x733d…1ae7backed Under47c1,500$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70021048.1%101 W · 109 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under48c1,466$709 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.421,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed Over49c1,331$652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$678.6322747.6%108 W · 119 L-7.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c98…27d8backed Over51c1,183$603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$579.671100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd589…27c2backed Under50c1,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50042847.2%202 W · 226 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46058352.1%304 W · 279 L+1.9wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Over49c933.18$457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.9243548.5%211 W · 224 L-7.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9700…0e70backed Over51c900$459 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$441425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-51%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf0ac…4ec7backed Under54c864.35$464 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.9731828.3%90 W · 228 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc1ae…f001backed Over51c860$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$421.414954.4%81 W · 68 L+9.5wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Over49c836.18$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.4536748%176 W · 191 L-12.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Under35c806.23$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$281.3811435.1%40 W · 74 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-12.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Under46c801.5$369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$368.6917247.7%82 W · 90 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over52c728.38$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$348.113,70450.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L+105.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Over49c717.9$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.1339752.1%207 W · 190 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Over50c700$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35032648.2%157 W · 169 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Over52c695$359 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.7861953.8%333 W · 286 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed Under52c654.99$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$340.111,10752%576 W · 531 L+63.9wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Over51c607.84$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$297.8431848.1%153 W · 165 L-9.4wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed Under47c604$284 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$283.8824654.5%134 W · 112 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+9.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x24bc…1b77backed Under50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30012258.2%71 W · 51 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Over49c500$245 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25527850.4%140 W · 138 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Under49c489.8$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24016756.3%94 W · 73 L+9.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+12.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Over49c485.38$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.582,66451.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Under46c427.78$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0830348.8%148 W · 155 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4923…6866backed Over49c410$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.15350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Over57c401.83$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.6342254.3%229 W · 193 L+18.3wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Over49c347.65$169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9489355.5%496 W · 397 L+67.6wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+12.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Under47c336.52$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.252,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Under46c329$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.3412152.1%63 W · 58 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7f52…c525backed Over51c294.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.127745.5%35 W · 42 L-5.4wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-14.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1a47…fcf3backed Over51c288$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1238555.6%214 W · 171 L+24.1wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+13.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under47c264.61$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.3566552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9541…3b71backed Under47c258.5$121 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121.51457.1%8 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7171…81f7backed Over55c226.21$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.1427652.2%144 W · 132 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7b2f…3531backed Over53c224.21$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.451963.2%12 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+11%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab41…c453backed Over48c221$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.671,43158.3%834 W · 597 L+81.0wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+7.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under47c217.4$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.186147.5%29 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Under46c200$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9215245.4%69 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-9.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6236…6881backed Under50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020446.6%95 W · 109 L+0.7wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad9…3cb4backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1003056.7%17 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Under8c200$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166011.7%7 W · 53 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick16cpaid-42.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf89f…32b0backed Over50c200$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1001154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa11d…72a8backed Over51c199.99$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$987663.2%48 W · 28 L+9.6wins+0.13per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0822151.1%113 W · 108 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c08…af98backed Under52c195.06$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10133756.4%190 W · 147 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked Over52c193.7$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9341340%165 W · 248 L+9.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c4b…8616backed Over51c189.03$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7417343.4%75 W · 98 L-12.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-11.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under43c185.55$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.6592049.7%457 W · 463 L+14.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under47c183.81$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.6310846.3%50 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17d7…9e1ebacked Under46c166.62$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.659545.3%43 W · 52 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under49c166.27$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.4753849.4%266 W · 272 L+10.5wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc55…a069backed Over43c165.76$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.862040%8 W · 12 L-2.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-35.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under49c163.57$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.081,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc9b8…599bbacked Over63c158.48$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.48560%3 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick62cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Over51c156.86$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.861,09351.8%566 W · 527 L+14.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xea78…a74ebacked Under46c153$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3825337.9%96 W · 157 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x44ca…907cbacked Under46c153$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.3818344.8%82 W · 101 L+9.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.