Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7de5afdb86eda9da74e651ae8ebbcff22f73e3a505f9647d8068bd4cfb801ad9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $650,213
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $650,213 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0792…b778backed No | 47c | 179,998$84,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95,398.78 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 51c | 165,513$84,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81,472.95 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf19d…276fbacked Yes | 53c | 118,073$62,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62,578.71 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 62,215$31,793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,792.54 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 47c | 53,446$25,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,210.52 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 50c | 41,333$20,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,621.85 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 50c | 38,165$18,986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,985.67 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 53c | 36,386$19,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,289.75 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ee…0bd0backed Yes | 53c | 28,401$15,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,052.36 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked No | 48c | 26,368$12,773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,595.13 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d3…0e0fbacked No | 48c | 24,120$11,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,502.19 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 0c | 15,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c74…4ef0backed Yes | 51c | 14,367$7,292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,292 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.0wins | -0.14per pick | 48cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 51c | 14,214$7,194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,193.55 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…2a5fbacked Yes | 53c | 14,138$7,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,493.35 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed No | 49c | 11,195$5,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,709.44 | 21 | 81%17 W · 4 L | +6.2wins | +0.29per pick | 52cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked No | 50c | 10,753$5,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,411.01 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Yes | 52c | 10,533$5,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,511.43 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f3…d99cbacked Yes | 51c | 9,804$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 50cpaid | +62.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 53c | 9,000$4,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,770 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…b7b7backed Yes | 49c | 8,338$4,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,044.05 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Yes | 53c | 8,293$4,373 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,373 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef21…3dc9backed Yes | 53c | 7,589$4,022 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,022 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -4.3wins | -0.31per pick | 52cpaid | -63%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Yes | 50c | 7,574$3,787 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,787.01 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…8fa4backed Yes | 47c | 6,800$3,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,196 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +22.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 52c | 5,762$3,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,004.28 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked No | 53c | 5,660$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,660.38 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 47c | 4,878$2,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,292.75 | 40 | 35%14 W · 26 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 38c | 4,372$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,716.34 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb177…1914backed Yes | 48c | 4,290$2,059 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,059 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 52cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6e…84b4backed Yes | 48c | 4,214$2,023 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,022.84 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Yes | 48c | 3,500$1,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,670 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 50c | 3,438$1,735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,735.08 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 49c | 3,253$1,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,669.14 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 49c | 3,202$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,622.76 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 79c | 3,179$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.09per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 49c | 3,010$1,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,482.49 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa3…172fbacked Yes | 49c | 2,876$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.26 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x287a…7976backed Yes | 49c | 2,572$1,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,269.78 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -60%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…94a8backed Yes | 48c | 2,192$1,052 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,052.16 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ff…79dcbacked Yes | 50c | 1,974$987 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6da6…7d01backed Yes | 51c | 1,961$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4afb…ed2bbacked No | 48c | 1,960$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,019.45 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 48c | 1,887$911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.78 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +62.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed No | 53c | 1,887$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$886.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30ce…fdcebacked No | 40c | 1,819$724 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.42 | 147 | 61.2%90 W · 57 L | +20.8wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Yes | 53c | 1,812$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.5 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cbc…c413backed No | 61c | 1,638$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Yes | 47c | 1,634$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed Yes | 50c | 1,581$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.27 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Yes | 47c | 1,571$739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$738.6 | 130 | 53.1%69 W · 61 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…fde0backed No | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 51c | 1,427$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef99…ef8dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,406$703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 49c | 1,406$696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.94 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 48c | 1,381$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 61c | 1,357$831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$830.94 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 50c | 1,282$644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$644.48 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 54c | 1,243$677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676.8 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8df8…59ddbacked Yes | 43c | 1,154$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbce5…02f1backed No | 48c | 1,100$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1229…84c1backed Yes | 54c | 1,062$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…03d4backed Yes | 47c | 1,051$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8488…588cbacked Yes | 34c | 1,000$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.74 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 49c | 999.05$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.22 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d3…22d1backed No | 49c | 980.39$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +220.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 52c | 950$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 926.1$620 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305.61 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 49c | 888.04$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.87 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 46c | 864.93$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.42 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 49c | 864.02$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$444.5 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Yes | 54c | 762.61$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Yes | 54c | 745.74$403 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402.7 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked Yes | 47c | 700$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d39…a4fbbacked No | 23c | 660$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.2 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +24%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 51c | 627.45$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 68c | 619.28$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.4 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f3…e4a1backed Yes | 48c | 611$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.28 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 42c | 610.18$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.35 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6981…2521backed Yes | 80c | 600.3$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$477.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3be…c163backed Yes | 71c | 599.92$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.09 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -5.9wins | -0.24per pick | 66cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 43c | 587$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.22 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked No | 53c | 566.04$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.04 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 47c | 552.32$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.18 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 56c | 537.19$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.27 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Yes | 50c | 517.45$259 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$258.72 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 52c | 501.92$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.96 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed No | 53c | 490.57$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.57 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eca…969abacked Yes | 48c | 458.23$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.95 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Yes | 48c | 440$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.2 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 53c | 422.43$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.87 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6203…5544backed No | 49c | 413.6$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.94 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes | 44c | 404.5$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.56 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 48c | 400$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.08 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked No | 48c | 382.48$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.89 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 54c | 370.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Yes | 50c | 364.47$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.37 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.