Mls · resolved market
Will San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcfdc734bd30ff8bb725d403da58652d3632d1ba53dc59444bb6ce4691d1b077a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,552 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 69 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 76c | 2,061$1,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,564.94 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 23c | 1,222$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945.31 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 77c | 1,124$860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.32 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 25c | 1,081$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.04 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa83b…0e4abacked Yes | 33c | 1,001$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670.76 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 24c | 872.55$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.37 | 206 | 41.3%85 W · 121 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 36c | 871.81$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.09 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88b1…3678backed Yes | 25c | 760$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +89.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 72c | 717.88$516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.47 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 557.83$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324.66 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 17c | 546.45$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.22 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 73c | 527.5$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.42 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 507.58$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.69 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 20c | 478$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.92 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 19c | 473.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.89 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 41c | 469.37$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.57 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 425.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.51 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc493…9200backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 57c | 405.09$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.55 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 24c | 400$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 21c | 352.31$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.74 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 337.37$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.73 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 24c | 313.48$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.96 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Yes | 33c | 281$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.76 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…1d43backed Yes | 13c | 275.7$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$239.82 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +14.3wins | +0.26per pick | 21cpaid | +225.7%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 76c | 264.34$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.9 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 259$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.69 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed No | 76c | 244$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.44 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcac5…a147backed No | 71c | 226.72$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.71per pick | 71cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 24c | 216.62$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.09 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Yes | 30c | 205$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2f…c5d0backed No | 77c | 194.81$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 17c | 155.91$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.78 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 25c | 144.67$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.62 | 205 | 35.1%72 W · 133 L | +7.7wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 25c | 125.06$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.8 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56cd…2ddcbacked No | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 75c | 100$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 76c | 97.97$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.46 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed No | 24c | 87.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…d34fbacked Yes | 32c | 85.06$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.84 | 69 | 39.1%27 W · 42 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fb…74f3backed Yes | 24c | 84.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.38 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Yes | 19c | 82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.81 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 71c | 80.24$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.13 | 372 | 49.2%183 W · 189 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Yes | 19c | 80$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.8 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 27c | 80$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.11per pick | 29cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Yes | 70c | 79.08$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.08 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | -6.4wins | -0.10per pick | 65cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 79c | 75.9$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 25c | 59.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.38 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1465…9f10backed No | 70c | 57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 70cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked No | 26c | 46.12$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 309 | 57%176 W · 133 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc6…6c9fbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 25cpaid | +166.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…038cbacked No | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x45be…9b55backed Yes | 74c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.86 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…75aebacked Yes | 79c | 29.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b7…fefdbacked No | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1838…6ba8backed Yes | 34c | 29.29$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 75c | 29.29$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 72c | 25.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6a…1d44backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed No | 56c | 24.62$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Yes | 52c | 22.48$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8a…7699backed Yes | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01b3…52debacked No | 80c | 20$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.46per pick | 71cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 77c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 76cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xafb1…0329backed No | 77c | 18.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.61 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5337…222bbacked No | 76c | 18$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.68 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1508…5760backed No | 68c | 15.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?this page
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-22?No won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.