Mls · resolved market
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0b0049daa6a09006b1093202eae8f24978aa4b49bd11c855b883b50ee3e364c7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $107,550
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,550 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 117 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Yes | 26c | 61,804$16,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,028.07 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked No | 73c | 19,176$14,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,168.35 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +50.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 11,618$8,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,993.11 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 75c | 10,034$7,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,545.27 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked No | 75c | 8,500$6,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,151.38 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97fb…354fbacked No | 76c | 6,046$4,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,451.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 24c | 5,887$1,421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,421.26 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked No | 76c | 4,000$3,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$960 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Yes | 24c | 3,871$947 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$946.74 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 75c | 3,494$2,621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$872.7 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa10e…4ea1backed Yes | 34c | 2,965$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 28cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddd3…dba6backed No | 72c | 2,222$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$622.22 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed No | 74c | 2,075$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.5 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 74c | 1,705$1,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.01 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 70c | 1,638$1,149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.8 | 70 | 44.3%31 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 74c | 1,477$1,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.56 | 477 | 48.2%230 W · 247 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 32c | 1,362$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.66 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Yes | 24c | 1,320$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.85 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa89e…431dbacked Yes | 29c | 1,151$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.53 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 34c | 1,103$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.92 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa29…9ce5backed Yes | 25c | 1,006$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08ce…f301backed Yes | 29c | 981.03$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.78 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.5wins | +0.29per pick | 37cpaid | +92.9%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 893.99$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.83 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 74c | 872.74$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.64 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 27c | 744.83$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 74c | 692.49$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.32 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 73c | 642$469 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.34 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x797e…fc29backed Yes | 8c | 628.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 12c | 605.06$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.84 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed No | 73c | 595.13$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.05 | 139 | 42.4%59 W · 80 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 74c | 573$424 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.3 | 139 | 48.9%68 W · 71 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbdaf…e58fbacked No | 74c | 562.11$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.15 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 550.76$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.78 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 75c | 538$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.45 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 30c | 514.07$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.57 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 76c | 500$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked No | 67c | 444$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.75 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…b0e8backed Yes | 46c | 439.17$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 426.03$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.19 | 549 | 49%269 W · 280 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2714…960fbacked No | 71c | 400$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 61 | 55.7%34 W · 27 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 76c | 374.43$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.86 | 557 | 50.1%279 W · 278 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed No | 74c | 365.34$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.71 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 73c | 337.23$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.37 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 30c | 330$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 73c | 304.85$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.04 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 14c | 288.09$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.32 | 56 | 26.8%15 W · 41 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -4.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -49%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x37b6…2262backed No | 77c | 250$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x648f…fc85backed Yes | 25c | 250$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 39cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 66c | 249.8$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.67 | 451 | 40.4%182 W · 269 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed No | 76c | 229.43$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.06 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -15%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 5c | 203.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 395 | 67.1%265 W · 130 L | +60.8wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +45.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xc414…d870backed Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…a0f5backed Yes | 37c | 198.33$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked No | 74c | 192.5$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.51 | 128 | 49.2%63 W · 65 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb48e…d489backed Yes | 27c | 185.19$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 75c | 180$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 76c | 164.77$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.54 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked No | 75c | 159.7$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.47 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…c208backed Yes | 10c | 154.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked No | 74c | 153.9$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.51 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed No | 75c | 152.06$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.01 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 23c | 150$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 27c | 150$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 72c | 143.34$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.97 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 72cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 66c | 141.11$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 288 | 51.4%148 W · 140 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc8…47d0backed Yes | 33c | 137.95$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.83 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7096…7f78backed Yes | 25c | 132.43$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Yes | 16c | 127.81$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 190 | 44.7%85 W · 105 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 16c | 125.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 76c | 119.82$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2e…3fb7backed No | 77c | 117.38$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.42 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -37%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 25c | 117$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.1 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc4…3479backed No | 75c | 115$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 71cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed No | 76c | 107.98$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Yes | 24c | 105.05$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.21 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dec…3302backed Yes | 24c | 104.17$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 75c | 101.43$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed No | 74c | 101$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.26 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed Yes | 14c | 95.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 74c | 93.31$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.26 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed No | 66c | 92.39$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.99 | 318 | 34.9%111 W · 207 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 25c | 81.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xced7…b7b5backed No | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 85 | 68.2%58 W · 27 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +25%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 34c | 76.73$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked No | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…b804backed Yes | 25c | 72$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72bc…b24ebacked No | 72c | 68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.04 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 56cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 77c | 66.28$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.32 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa1…8a16backed Yes | 27c | 62.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 74c | 61.07$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.88 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed No | 77c | 60.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Yes | 26c | 58.28$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.94 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +12.1wins | +0.15per pick | 36cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed Yes | 23c | 50.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed No | 68c | 46.38$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 76c | 39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked No | 66c | 38.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.16 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 76c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.64 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4502…9eedbacked Yes | 29c | 34$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-22?this page
- Will San Diego FC vs. Real Salt Lake end in a draw?Yes won
- Will San Diego FC win on 2026-03-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.