Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 145.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d72108079d5bb1f6a363d4f8e38c85d9f0aa3bddad711023102d07d8742237e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,380
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $97,380 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Under | 51c | 23,691$11,977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,714.06 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 50c | 10,690$5,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,337.24 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6157…9fb4backed Over | 53c | 5,611$2,974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.84 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42d0…77e2backed Under | 48c | 3,965$1,903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.83 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 49c | 2,478$1,214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.85 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 50c | 2,000$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.47 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4818…bf0bbacked Over | 52c | 1,618$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$841.44 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +6.3wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x30d9…41c7backed Over | 53c | 1,496$793 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$793.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1f7…c4e5backed Under | 48c | 1,266$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.09 | 133 | 43.6%58 W · 75 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ed…d4b2backed Under | 48c | 1,266$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.08 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e6…dcdfbacked Under | 48c | 1,207$579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…dbc6backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 104 | 43.3%45 W · 59 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7248…8cb4backed Over | 52c | 1,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$520 | 163 | 41.7%68 W · 95 L | -9.2wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfd2b…9ff9backed Over | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Under | 65c | 999.97$655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.99 | 98 | 39.8%39 W · 59 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 79c | 858.84$678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.35 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c9c…c3b3backed Under | 47c | 839.66$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4a9…4d64backed Under | 47c | 660.52$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.08 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | -7.6wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7771…009fbacked Under | 48c | 634.78$305 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.09 | 123 | 44.7%55 W · 68 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfc4…079fbacked Under | 48c | 632.77$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$329.04 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Over | 52c | 571.88$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.38 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under | 47c | 554.34$261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.8 | 906 | 45.4%411 W · 495 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 21c | 510.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.1 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Over | 52c | 495.63$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.73 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 49c | 352.19$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.08 | 187 | 44.9%84 W · 103 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 52c | 303.84$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Over | 49c | 253.14$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.04 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41f9…84e6backed Under | 49c | 198.25$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.11 | 206 | 42.7%88 W · 118 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 185.08$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.11 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5aa…4464backed Over | 52c | 171.47$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02ea…220cbacked Over | 50c | 148.69$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.34 | 57 | 40.4%23 W · 34 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Under | 53c | 132.18$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Over | 47c | 121.23$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.98 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Over | 21c | 118.23$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.83 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Over | 47c | 105.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 120 | 54.2%65 W · 55 L | +6.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f23…7333backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 53c | 99.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.54 | 202 | 54.5%110 W · 92 L | +9.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Over | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Under | 49c | 94.55$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.22 | 330 | 58.2%192 W · 138 L | +24.2wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe2c6…5fc0backed Over | 52c | 92.62$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.74 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed Under | 79c | 89.07$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 191 | 47.6%91 W · 100 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c34…2d7dbacked Under | 50c | 80.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.1 | 152 | 52.6%80 W · 72 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb171…7d2bbacked Under | 50c | 79.3$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.65 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Under | 50c | 75.53$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.77 | 507 | 45.2%229 W · 278 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b46…684dbacked Over | 49c | 75.14$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.8 | 231 | 49.8%115 W · 116 L | +14.2wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91db…6fb2backed Over | 52c | 73.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Under | 50c | 69.39$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.69 | 586 | 52.9%310 W · 276 L | +23.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 54c | 64.59$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.96 | 144 | 61.8%89 W · 55 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe864…ce58backed Under | 48c | 63.93$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.27 | 180 | 48.9%88 W · 92 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Under | 47c | 59.74$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.66 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e3…32eebacked Under | 49c | 58.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74fe…8243backed Over | 52c | 53.38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 89 | 52.8%47 W · 42 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 51c | 49.56$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.29 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e3d…bbfabacked Under | 80c | 42.57$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 75 | 58.7%44 W · 31 L | +4.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb083…d6a5backed Under | 48c | 41.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.48 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da3…1b45backed Over | 51c | 38.87$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xec15…9b0cbacked Over | 52c | 38.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 117 | 41.9%49 W · 68 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 53c | 37.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.83 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Over | 45c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.47 | 716 | 55.3%396 W · 320 L | +26.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Under | 79c | 26.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.51 | 334 | 45.5%152 W · 182 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81fa…c4d6backed Over | 53c | 22.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 43 | 30.2%13 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -36.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x304b…a619backed Over | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Over | 51c | 19.87$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 145.5this page
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-1.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-2.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-3.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-8.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-9.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State BuckeyesTCU Horned Frogs won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 129.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 130.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 131.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 133.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 134.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 139.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 140.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 141.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 142.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 143.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 144.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 146.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.