Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 139.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b761a352fec333dcf21f8686063213cfdbd502059ca28c2ad4cf2bdfad1953b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,249
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,249 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Under | 49c | 5,965$2,911 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.19 | 462 | 46.5%215 W · 247 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Over | 51c | 5,662$2,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,910.45 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43b6…9a9bbacked Over | 52c | 4,454$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.92 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Under | 48c | 2,697$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,402.47 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Under | 48c | 962.8$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.22 | 528 | 43.6%230 W · 298 L | -19.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 52c | 362.13$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.67 | 646 | 47.5%307 W · 339 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Under | 45c | 294.81$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.08 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5af…f9e3backed Under | 48c | 268.66$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.79 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 42c | 130.45$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…fe3bbacked Under | 48c | 123.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.43 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +4.0wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +114.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7473…89eebacked Over | 58c | 85.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.57 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11f1…8a2cbacked Under | 49c | 70$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c56…0615backed Under | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 94 | 52.1%49 W · 45 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe52e…ac6dbacked Under | 48c | 61.95$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.22 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +3.2wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0ef…39b6backed Under | 68c | 29.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 64 | 64.1%41 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf104…d34cbacked Over | 51c | 28.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.73 | 136 | 51.5%70 W · 66 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9df8…8206backed Under | 49c | 20.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 22 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 139.5this page
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-1.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- Spread: Ohio State Buckeyes (-2.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-1.5)TCU Horned Frogs won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-2.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-3.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-8.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- Spread: TCU Horned Frogs (-9.5)Ohio State Buckeyes won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State BuckeyesTCU Horned Frogs won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 129.5Over won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 130.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 131.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 133.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 134.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 140.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 141.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 142.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 143.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 144.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 145.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 146.5Under won
- TCU Horned Frogs vs. Ohio State Buckeyes: O/U 150.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.