NHL · resolved market
Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x55a8dde9e77478355385fbf5ca6e04c9d90f58c4c04b473a32d24589baa7f5b1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Hurricanesof Hurricanes, Maple Leafs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $393,299
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $393,299 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 514 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9976…67dabacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 43,293$14,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,719.47 | 198 | 48.5%96 W · 102 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 35,824$12,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,507.46 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Maple Leafs | 18c | 25,000$4,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,449.99 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Hurricanes | 79c | 24,034$19,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,006.22 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Hurricanes | 66c | 20,000$13,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,799.97 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 19,702$13,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,698.55 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Hurricanes | 66c | 19,080$12,669 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,411.42 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 16,832$5,762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,761.63 | 619 | 50.1%310 W · 309 L | -7.6wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Hurricanes | 65c | 15,685$10,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,456.05 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 15,000$5,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,099.96 | 329 | 46.8%154 W · 175 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe790…eadcbacked Hurricanes | 59c | 14,808$8,742 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,065.92 | 274 | 48.9%134 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Hurricanes | 66c | 12,530$8,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,320.03 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Hurricanes | 51c | 10,800$5,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,295.34 | 128 | 38.3%49 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x759c…5f4bbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 8,934$5,986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,948.33 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14ac…cb21backed Hurricanes | 66c | 8,000$5,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,720 | 217 | 55.3%120 W · 97 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb68…a240backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 8,000$2,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,719.92 | 500 | 49.6%248 W · 252 L | +16.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 7,500$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 139 | 48.2%67 W · 72 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…7ec7backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 7,400$2,516 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,515.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…b14fbacked Hurricanes | 65c | 6,927$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,424.99 | 366 | 48.6%178 W · 188 L | -14.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Hurricanes | 65c | 5,546$3,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,941.05 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 5,318$3,510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,808.18 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 5,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,700 | 895 | 47%421 W · 474 L | -18.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe06…d5d5backed Maple Leafs | 37c | 4,848$1,802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,802.36 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -2.0wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Maple Leafs | 50c | 4,663$2,328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,328.15 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf2a…0525backed Hurricanes | 66c | 4,286$2,829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.36 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x607d…53a1backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 4,164$1,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,415.62 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 4,000$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 617 | 48.5%299 W · 318 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Maple Leafs | 45c | 3,560$1,608 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,607.98 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Maple Leafs | 22c | 3,497$771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$770.66 | 603 | 37.5%226 W · 377 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 3,184$1,556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,555.54 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2586…c893backed Hurricanes | 63c | 3,108$1,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,150 | 836 | 52.8%441 W · 395 L | +28.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8c…c7b4backed Hurricanes | 64c | 3,107$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,106.77 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Maple Leafs | 36c | 3,084$1,111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,111 | 275 | 47.6%131 W · 144 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed Hurricanes | 65c | 3,000$1,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,049.96 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 2,941$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.99 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa668…36a0backed Hurricanes | 66c | 2,727$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$927.27 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.34per pick | 52cpaid | +62.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4134…2a4abacked Hurricanes | 66c | 2,652$1,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$901.52 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd1e…ff14backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 2,427$915 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$914.76 | 480 | 50.6%243 W · 237 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10d4…d953backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 2,400$816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +16.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Hurricanes | 62c | 2,316$1,436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.2 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hurricanes | 57c | 2,281$1,311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.5 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Hurricanes | 67c | 2,239$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$738.81 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Hurricanes | 67c | 2,222$1,489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$733.26 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 2,222$1,467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.48 | 108 | 50.9%55 W · 53 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Hurricanes | 59c | 2,189$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$891.41 | 183 | 44.8%82 W · 101 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Maple Leafs | 36c | 2,077$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$758.19 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Maple Leafs | 49c | 2,051$1,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.79 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x462a…f637backed Hurricanes | 66c | 2,021$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 2,000$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$680 | 278 | 50.4%140 W · 138 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Hurricanes | 66c | 1,930$1,274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.22 | 602 | 49.5%298 W · 304 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Hurricanes | 60c | 1,898$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.58 | 345 | 38.6%133 W · 212 L | -15.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Maple Leafs | 33c | 1,889$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.51 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99e4…e4c4backed Maple Leafs | 38c | 1,879$714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.04 | 109 | 38.5%42 W · 67 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Hurricanes | 63c | 1,833$1,155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.07 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Hurricanes | 65c | 1,802$1,171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630.57 | 305 | 52.5%160 W · 145 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf026…8df7backed Hurricanes | 58c | 1,669$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.08 | 91 | 41.8%38 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -26%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab4e…c4a0backed Hurricanes | 55c | 1,567$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$704.96 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +4.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Hurricanes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 435 | 48.5%211 W · 224 L | -7.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf606…440abacked Hurricanes | 66c | 1,500$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 1,471$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Hurricanes | 66c | 1,426$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$484.84 | 849 | 53.8%457 W · 392 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Maple Leafs | 51c | 1,416$722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$722.25 | 1,441 | 49.2%709 W · 732 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Maple Leafs | 39c | 1,296$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.62 | 950 | 49.1%466 W · 484 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Maple Leafs | 46c | 1,288$593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.59 | 896 | 36.9%331 W · 565 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa52f…8897backed Maple Leafs | 31c | 1,276$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Hurricanes | 60c | 1,265$754 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.07 | 332 | 34.3%114 W · 218 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 1,217$815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.55 | 457 | 51.6%236 W · 221 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1ae…f001backed Hurricanes | 62c | 1,080$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb20…3b5cbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 1,052$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.24 | 103 | 67%69 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Maple Leafs | 35c | 1,008$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf89f…32b0backed Hurricanes | 67c | 1,007$675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.31 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1a…5abfbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 989.96$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.19 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5031…1ffbbacked Maple Leafs | 37c | 949.07$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351.15 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x628f…0bedbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 949$636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.17 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xffd7…d2dfbacked Maple Leafs | 38c | 939.24$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.88 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6076…b218backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 923.01$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8db3…7bddbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 900$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdcf…7e4cbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 900$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23b5…6333backed Hurricanes | 67c | 889$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.37 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8938…1cd0backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 822.86$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Maple Leafs | 34c | 800$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272 | 1,087 | 45.1%490 W · 597 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3eba…3feabacked Hurricanes | 67c | 746.27$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.27 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.18per pick | 61cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Maple Leafs | 34c | 744$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.96 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e1…5ad0backed Maple Leafs | 44c | 736$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.09 | 331 | 51.7%171 W · 160 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d21…abc5backed Hurricanes | 55c | 727.27$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.27 | 148 | 37.2%55 W · 93 L | -7.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24bc…1b77backed Hurricanes | 48c | 722.41$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.41 | 122 | 58.2%71 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12c4…9bf5backed Hurricanes | 66c | 700$462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 64cpaid | +57.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69d9…9881backed Hurricanes | 66c | 672.73$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.73 | 306 | 57.8%177 W · 129 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cb…aed8backed Maple Leafs | 35c | 650$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Hurricanes | 55c | 647.67$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.79 | 519 | 49.5%257 W · 262 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb58…86a4backed Hurricanes | 67c | 631.64$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.44 | 317 | 53.9%171 W · 146 L | -14.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4e…c3c3backed Hurricanes | 47c | 630$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.9 | 215 | 34.4%74 W · 141 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Hurricanes | 66c | 628.79$415 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.79 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Hurricanes | 66c | 585.34$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.52 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd78d…56dfbacked Hurricanes | 67c | 546$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.18 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Maple Leafs | 49c | 544.33$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.79 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +11.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Hurricanes | 59c | 538.72$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.53 | 270 | 37.4%101 W · 169 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x913b…0852backed Maple Leafs | 47c | 525.73$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.11 | 303 | 48.8%148 W · 155 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b9…41a9backed Hurricanes | 60c | 507$304 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.65 | 231 | 59.3%137 W · 94 L | +22.7wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafsthis page
- Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 4.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 5.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 6.5Over won
- Hurricanes vs. Maple Leafs: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5)Maple Leafs won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.